Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
Research article
 | 
28 Jun 2018
Research article |  | 28 Jun 2018

The impact of future emission policies on tropospheric ozone using a parameterised approach

Steven T. Turnock, Oliver Wild, Frank J. Dentener, Yanko Davila, Louisa K. Emmons, Johannes Flemming, Gerd A. Folberth, Daven K. Henze, Jan E. Jonson, Terry J. Keating, Sudo Kengo, Meiyun Lin, Marianne Lund, Simone Tilmes, and Fiona M. O'Connor

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Cited articles

Brunekreef, B. and Holgate, S. T.: Air pollution and health, Lancet, 360, 1233–1242, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(02)11274-8, 2002. 
Collins, W. J., Derwent, R. G., Johnson, C. E., and Stevenson, D. S.: The Oxidation of Organic Compounds in the Troposphere and their Global Warming Potential, Clim. Change, 52, 453–479, 2002. 
Crippa, M., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Dentener, F., Guizzardi, D., Sindelarova, K., Muntean, M., Van Dingenen, R., and Granier, C.: Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 3825–3841, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-3825-2016, 2016. 
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A simple parameterisation was developed in this study to provide a rapid assessment of the impacts and uncertainties associated with future emission control strategies by predicting changes to surface ozone air quality and near-term climate forcing of ozone. Future emissions scenarios based on currently implemented legislation are shown to worsen surface ozone air quality and enhance near-term climate warming, with changes in methane becoming increasingly important in the future.
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