Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Jun 2018
Research article |
| 28 Jun 2018
| 28 Jun 2018
The impact of future emission policies on tropospheric ozone using a parameterised approach
Steven T. Turnock
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Oliver Wild
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Frank J. Dentener
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
Yanko Davila
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Louisa K. Emmons
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Johannes Flemming
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
Gerd A. Folberth
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Daven K. Henze
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Jan E. Jonson
EMEP MSC-W, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Terry J. Keating
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., USA
Sudo Kengo
Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya,
Japan
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC),
Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Meiyun Lin
Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton,
NJ, USA
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA
Marianne Lund
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo
(CICERO), Oslo, Norway
Simone Tilmes
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Fiona M. O'Connor
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 5,217 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 Jan 2018)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,375 | 1,661 | 181 | 5,217 | 538 | 180 | 204 |
- HTML: 3,375
- PDF: 1,661
- XML: 181
- Total: 5,217
- Supplement: 538
- BibTeX: 180
- EndNote: 204
Total article views: 4,223 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 28 Jun 2018)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,917 | 1,137 | 169 | 4,223 | 363 | 170 | 190 |
- HTML: 2,917
- PDF: 1,137
- XML: 169
- Total: 4,223
- Supplement: 363
- BibTeX: 170
- EndNote: 190
Total article views: 994 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 Jan 2018)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458 | 524 | 12 | 994 | 175 | 10 | 14 |
- HTML: 458
- PDF: 524
- XML: 12
- Total: 994
- Supplement: 175
- BibTeX: 10
- EndNote: 14
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 5,217 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 5,145 with geography defined
and 72 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 4,223 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,192 with geography defined
and 31 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 994 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 953 with geography defined
and 41 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
46 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The effects of intercontinental emission sources on European air pollution levels J. Jonson et al. 10.5194/acp-18-13655-2018
- Quantifying the impact of ozone on crops in Sub-Saharan Africa demonstrates regional and local hotspots of production loss K. Sharps et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-14967-3
- Marginal Damage of Methane Emissions: Ozone Impacts on Agriculture J. Sampedro et al. 10.1007/s10640-022-00750-6
- Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19 P. Forster et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0
- Deep Learning for Prediction of the Air Quality Response to Emission Changes J. Xing et al. 10.1021/acs.est.0c02923
- Salt Stress Reduced the Seedling Growth of Two Larch Species Under Elevated Ozone T. Sugai et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2019.00053
- Impact of methane and other precursor emission reductions on surface ozone in Europe: scenario analysis using the European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme (EMEP) Meteorological Synthesizing Centre – West (MSC-W) model W. van Caspel et al. 10.5194/acp-24-11545-2024
- Drivers of change in peak-season surface ozone concentrations and impacts on human health over the historical period (1850–2014) S. Turnock et al. 10.5194/acp-25-7111-2025
- Cause of a Lower‐Tropospheric High‐Ozone Layer in Spring Over Hanoi S. Ogino et al. 10.1029/2021JD035727
- Lower air pollution during COVID-19 lock-down: improving models and methods estimating ozone impacts on crops F. Dentener et al. 10.1098/rsta.2020.0188
- Substantial yield reduction in sweet potato due to tropospheric ozone, the dose-response function A. Holder & F. Hayes 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119209
- 300 years of tropospheric ozone changes using CMIP6 scenarios with a parameterised approach S. Turnock et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.07.001
- A new classification approach to enhance future VOCs emission policies: Taking solvent-consuming industry as an example X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115868
- Future tropospheric ozone budget and distribution over east Asia under a net-zero scenario X. Hou et al. 10.5194/acp-23-15395-2023
- Effects of elevated ozone and carbon dioxide on the dynamic photosynthesis of Fagus crenata seedlings under variable light conditions R. Ariura et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164398
- TM5-FASST: a global atmospheric source–receptor model for rapid impact analysis of emission changes on air quality and short-lived climate pollutants R. Van Dingenen et al. 10.5194/acp-18-16173-2018
- Greater fuel efficiency is potentially preferable to reducing NOx emissions for aviation’s climate impacts A. Skowron et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20771-3
- Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change – progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP S. Fiedler et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024
- Ozone-induced effects on leaves in African crop species K. Sharps et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115789
- Impacts of Elevated Ozone and Ozone Protectants on Plant Growth, Nutrients, Biochemical and Yield Properties of Turnip (Brassica Rapa L.) B. K et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4008207
- Attribution of surface ozone to NOx and volatile organic compound sources during two different high ozone events A. Lupaşcu et al. 10.5194/acp-22-11675-2022
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Impacts of Elevated Ozone and Ozone Protectants on Plant Growth, Nutrients, Biochemical and Yield Properties of Turnip ( Brassica Rapa L.) B. Kovilpillai et al. 10.1080/01919512.2023.2165475
- Intramolecular carbon isotope signals reflect metabolite allocation in plants T. Wieloch et al. 10.1093/jxb/erac028
- Increasing ambient surface ozone levels over the UK accompanied by fewer extreme events D. Finch & P. Palmer 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117627
- Air quality and related health impact in the UNECE region: source attribution and scenario analysis C. Belis & R. Van Dingenen 10.5194/acp-23-8225-2023
- Historical and future changes in air pollutants from CMIP6 models S. Turnock et al. 10.5194/acp-20-14547-2020
- Growth and photosynthetic responses to ozone of Siebold's beech seedlings grown under elevated CO2 and soil nitrogen supply M. Watanabe et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119233
- Synoptic condition-driven summertime ozone formation regime in Shanghai and the implication for dynamic ozone control strategies H. Luo et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141130
- Implementation of trait-based ozone plant sensitivity in the Yale Interactive terrestrial Biosphere model v1.0 to assess global vegetation damage Y. Ma et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-2261-2023
- Predicting ozone formation in petrochemical industrialized Lanzhou city by interpretable ensemble machine learning L. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.120798
- Ozone source apportionment over the Yangtze River Delta region, China: Investigation of regional transport, sectoral contributions and seasonal differences L. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.01.028
- The effects of short-time air pollution, SO2, and ozone on biochemical, histo-pathological, oxidative stress, and carcinogenesis related genes expressions in the liver of the rats B. Sepehri et al. 10.1177/09603271241263569
- Mimicking atmospheric photochemical modeling with a deep neural network J. Xing et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105919
- The impact of short-lived climate pollutants on the human health N. Mathew et al. 10.1016/j.epm.2024.04.001
- Methane removal and the proportional reductions in surface temperature and ozone S. Abernethy et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0104
- Drivers of divergent trends in tropospheric ozone hotspots in Spain, 2008–2019 J. Massagué et al. 10.1007/s11869-023-01468-0
- Can Reduced Irrigation Mitigate Ozone Impacts on an Ozone-Sensitive African Wheat Variety? H. Harmens et al. 10.3390/plants8070220
- Effects of ozone on stomatal ozone uptake in leaves of Fagus crenata seedlings grown under different CO 2 concentrations Y. Lyu et al. 10.1080/13416979.2023.2283981
- Sensitivity of agricultural crops to tropospheric ozone: a review of Indian researches A. Gupta et al. 10.1007/s10661-022-10526-6
- Beyond CO2 equivalence: The impacts of methane on climate, ecosystems, and health K. Mar et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.027
- Assessment of pre-industrial to present-day anthropogenic climate forcing in UKESM1 F. O'Connor et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1211-2021
- Foreign influences on tropospheric ozone over East Asia through global atmospheric transport H. Han et al. 10.5194/acp-19-12495-2019
- On the changes in surface ozone over the twenty-first century: sensitivity to changes in surface temperature and chemical mechanisms A. Archibald et al. 10.1098/rsta.2019.0329
- Differences of stomatal ozone uptake in leaves of mature trees and seedlings of Zelkova serrata M. Nakadera et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2024.119673
- Methyl, Ethyl, and Propyl Nitrates: Global Distribution and Impacts on Reactive Nitrogen in Remote Marine Environments J. Fisher et al. 10.1029/2018JD029046
45 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The effects of intercontinental emission sources on European air pollution levels J. Jonson et al. 10.5194/acp-18-13655-2018
- Quantifying the impact of ozone on crops in Sub-Saharan Africa demonstrates regional and local hotspots of production loss K. Sharps et al. 10.1007/s11356-021-14967-3
- Marginal Damage of Methane Emissions: Ozone Impacts on Agriculture J. Sampedro et al. 10.1007/s10640-022-00750-6
- Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19 P. Forster et al. 10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0
- Deep Learning for Prediction of the Air Quality Response to Emission Changes J. Xing et al. 10.1021/acs.est.0c02923
- Salt Stress Reduced the Seedling Growth of Two Larch Species Under Elevated Ozone T. Sugai et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2019.00053
- Impact of methane and other precursor emission reductions on surface ozone in Europe: scenario analysis using the European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme (EMEP) Meteorological Synthesizing Centre – West (MSC-W) model W. van Caspel et al. 10.5194/acp-24-11545-2024
- Drivers of change in peak-season surface ozone concentrations and impacts on human health over the historical period (1850–2014) S. Turnock et al. 10.5194/acp-25-7111-2025
- Cause of a Lower‐Tropospheric High‐Ozone Layer in Spring Over Hanoi S. Ogino et al. 10.1029/2021JD035727
- Lower air pollution during COVID-19 lock-down: improving models and methods estimating ozone impacts on crops F. Dentener et al. 10.1098/rsta.2020.0188
- Substantial yield reduction in sweet potato due to tropospheric ozone, the dose-response function A. Holder & F. Hayes 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119209
- 300 years of tropospheric ozone changes using CMIP6 scenarios with a parameterised approach S. Turnock et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.07.001
- A new classification approach to enhance future VOCs emission policies: Taking solvent-consuming industry as an example X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115868
- Future tropospheric ozone budget and distribution over east Asia under a net-zero scenario X. Hou et al. 10.5194/acp-23-15395-2023
- Effects of elevated ozone and carbon dioxide on the dynamic photosynthesis of Fagus crenata seedlings under variable light conditions R. Ariura et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164398
- TM5-FASST: a global atmospheric source–receptor model for rapid impact analysis of emission changes on air quality and short-lived climate pollutants R. Van Dingenen et al. 10.5194/acp-18-16173-2018
- Greater fuel efficiency is potentially preferable to reducing NOx emissions for aviation’s climate impacts A. Skowron et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20771-3
- Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change – progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP S. Fiedler et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024
- Ozone-induced effects on leaves in African crop species K. Sharps et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115789
- Impacts of Elevated Ozone and Ozone Protectants on Plant Growth, Nutrients, Biochemical and Yield Properties of Turnip (Brassica Rapa L.) B. K et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4008207
- Attribution of surface ozone to NOx and volatile organic compound sources during two different high ozone events A. Lupaşcu et al. 10.5194/acp-22-11675-2022
- Tropospheric ozone and its natural precursors impacted by climatic changes in emission and dynamics S. Dewan & A. Lakhani 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1007942
- Impacts of Elevated Ozone and Ozone Protectants on Plant Growth, Nutrients, Biochemical and Yield Properties of Turnip ( Brassica Rapa L.) B. Kovilpillai et al. 10.1080/01919512.2023.2165475
- Intramolecular carbon isotope signals reflect metabolite allocation in plants T. Wieloch et al. 10.1093/jxb/erac028
- Increasing ambient surface ozone levels over the UK accompanied by fewer extreme events D. Finch & P. Palmer 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117627
- Air quality and related health impact in the UNECE region: source attribution and scenario analysis C. Belis & R. Van Dingenen 10.5194/acp-23-8225-2023
- Historical and future changes in air pollutants from CMIP6 models S. Turnock et al. 10.5194/acp-20-14547-2020
- Growth and photosynthetic responses to ozone of Siebold's beech seedlings grown under elevated CO2 and soil nitrogen supply M. Watanabe et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119233
- Synoptic condition-driven summertime ozone formation regime in Shanghai and the implication for dynamic ozone control strategies H. Luo et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141130
- Implementation of trait-based ozone plant sensitivity in the Yale Interactive terrestrial Biosphere model v1.0 to assess global vegetation damage Y. Ma et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-2261-2023
- Predicting ozone formation in petrochemical industrialized Lanzhou city by interpretable ensemble machine learning L. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.120798
- Ozone source apportionment over the Yangtze River Delta region, China: Investigation of regional transport, sectoral contributions and seasonal differences L. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.01.028
- The effects of short-time air pollution, SO2, and ozone on biochemical, histo-pathological, oxidative stress, and carcinogenesis related genes expressions in the liver of the rats B. Sepehri et al. 10.1177/09603271241263569
- Mimicking atmospheric photochemical modeling with a deep neural network J. Xing et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105919
- The impact of short-lived climate pollutants on the human health N. Mathew et al. 10.1016/j.epm.2024.04.001
- Methane removal and the proportional reductions in surface temperature and ozone S. Abernethy et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0104
- Drivers of divergent trends in tropospheric ozone hotspots in Spain, 2008–2019 J. Massagué et al. 10.1007/s11869-023-01468-0
- Can Reduced Irrigation Mitigate Ozone Impacts on an Ozone-Sensitive African Wheat Variety? H. Harmens et al. 10.3390/plants8070220
- Effects of ozone on stomatal ozone uptake in leaves of Fagus crenata seedlings grown under different CO 2 concentrations Y. Lyu et al. 10.1080/13416979.2023.2283981
- Sensitivity of agricultural crops to tropospheric ozone: a review of Indian researches A. Gupta et al. 10.1007/s10661-022-10526-6
- Beyond CO2 equivalence: The impacts of methane on climate, ecosystems, and health K. Mar et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.027
- Assessment of pre-industrial to present-day anthropogenic climate forcing in UKESM1 F. O'Connor et al. 10.5194/acp-21-1211-2021
- Foreign influences on tropospheric ozone over East Asia through global atmospheric transport H. Han et al. 10.5194/acp-19-12495-2019
- On the changes in surface ozone over the twenty-first century: sensitivity to changes in surface temperature and chemical mechanisms A. Archibald et al. 10.1098/rsta.2019.0329
- Differences of stomatal ozone uptake in leaves of mature trees and seedlings of Zelkova serrata M. Nakadera et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2024.119673
Latest update: 29 Jul 2025
Short summary
A simple parameterisation was developed in this study to provide a rapid assessment of the impacts and uncertainties associated with future emission control strategies by predicting changes to surface ozone air quality and near-term climate forcing of ozone. Future emissions scenarios based on currently implemented legislation are shown to worsen surface ozone air quality and enhance near-term climate warming, with changes in methane becoming increasingly important in the future.
A simple parameterisation was developed in this study to provide a rapid assessment of the...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint