Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-8953-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Jun 2018
Research article |
| 28 Jun 2018
| 28 Jun 2018
The impact of future emission policies on tropospheric ozone using a parameterised approach
Steven T. Turnock
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Oliver Wild
Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Frank J. Dentener
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
Yanko Davila
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Louisa K. Emmons
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Johannes Flemming
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
Gerd A. Folberth
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Daven K. Henze
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Jan E. Jonson
EMEP MSC-W, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Terry J. Keating
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington D.C., USA
Sudo Kengo
Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya,
Japan
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC),
Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Meiyun Lin
Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton,
NJ, USA
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA
Marianne Lund
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo
(CICERO), Oslo, Norway
Simone Tilmes
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder,
CO, USA
Fiona M. O'Connor
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
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- Deep Learning for Prediction of the Air Quality Response to Emission Changes J. Xing et al. 10.1021/acs.est.0c02923
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- Future tropospheric ozone budget and distribution over east Asia under a net-zero scenario X. Hou et al. 10.5194/acp-23-15395-2023
- Ozone source apportionment over the Yangtze River Delta region, China: Investigation of regional transport, sectoral contributions and seasonal differences L. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.01.028
- Effects of elevated ozone and carbon dioxide on the dynamic photosynthesis of Fagus crenata seedlings under variable light conditions R. Ariura et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164398
- The effects of short-time air pollution, SO2, and ozone on biochemical, histo-pathological, oxidative stress, and carcinogenesis related genes expressions in the liver of the rats B. Sepehri et al. 10.1177/09603271241263569
- Mimicking atmospheric photochemical modeling with a deep neural network J. Xing et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105919
- The impact of short-lived climate pollutants on the human health N. Mathew et al. 10.1016/j.epm.2024.04.001
- Methane removal and the proportional reductions in surface temperature and ozone S. Abernethy et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0104
- Drivers of divergent trends in tropospheric ozone hotspots in Spain, 2008–2019 J. Massagué et al. 10.1007/s11869-023-01468-0
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- Ozone-induced effects on leaves in African crop species K. Sharps et al. 10.1016/j.envpol.2020.115789
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Latest update: 20 Jun 2025
Short summary
A simple parameterisation was developed in this study to provide a rapid assessment of the impacts and uncertainties associated with future emission control strategies by predicting changes to surface ozone air quality and near-term climate forcing of ozone. Future emissions scenarios based on currently implemented legislation are shown to worsen surface ozone air quality and enhance near-term climate warming, with changes in methane becoming increasingly important in the future.
A simple parameterisation was developed in this study to provide a rapid assessment of the...
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