Articles | Volume 23, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-13387-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-13387-2023
Research article
 | 
24 Oct 2023
Research article |  | 24 Oct 2023

Stratospherically induced circulation changes under the extreme conditions of the no-Montreal-Protocol scenario

Franziska Zilker, Timofei Sukhodolov, Gabriel Chiodo, Marina Friedel, Tatiana Egorova, Eugene Rozanov, Jan Sedlacek, Svenja Seeber, and Thomas Peter

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Cited articles

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Brönnimann, S., Jacques-Coper, M., Rozanov, E., Fischer, A. M., Morgenstern, O., Zeng, G., Akiyoshi, H., and Yamashita, Y.: Tropical circulation and precipitation response to ozone depletion and recovery, Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 064011, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7416, 2017. a
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Short summary
The Montreal Protocol (MP) has successfully reduced the Antarctic ozone hole by banning chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) that destroy the ozone layer. Moreover, CFCs are strong greenhouse gases (GHGs) that would have strengthened global warming. In this study, we investigate the surface weather and climate in a world without the MP at the end of the 21st century, disentangling ozone-mediated and GHG impacts of CFCs. Overall, we avoided 1.7 K global surface warming and a poleward shift in storm tracks.
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