Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
14 May 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 14 May 2020

Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios

Dan Tong, Jing Cheng, Yang Liu, Sha Yu, Liu Yan, Chaopeng Hong, Yu Qin, Hongyan Zhao, Yixuan Zheng, Guannan Geng, Meng Li, Fei Liu, Yuxuan Zhang, Bo Zheng, Leon Clarke, and Qiang Zhang

Related authors

Carbon and air pollutant emissions from China's cement industry 1990–2015: trends, evolution of technologies, and drivers
Jun Liu, Dan Tong, Yixuan Zheng, Jing Cheng, Xinying Qin, Qinren Shi, Liu Yan, Yu Lei, and Qiang Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 1627–1647, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-1627-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-1627-2021, 2021
Short summary
Decadal changes in anthropogenic source contribution of PM2.5 pollution and related health impacts in China, 1990–2015
Jun Liu, Yixuan Zheng, Guannan Geng, Chaopeng Hong, Meng Li, Xin Li, Fei Liu, Dan Tong, Ruili Wu, Bo Zheng, Kebin He, and Qiang Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 7783–7799, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-7783-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-7783-2020, 2020
Short summary
Dominant role of emission reduction in PM2.5 air quality improvement in Beijing during 2013–2017: a model-based decomposition analysis
Jing Cheng, Jingping Su, Tong Cui, Xiang Li, Xin Dong, Feng Sun, Yanyan Yang, Dan Tong, Yixuan Zheng, Yanshun Li, Jinxiang Li, Qiang Zhang, and Kebin He
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 6125–6146, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6125-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6125-2019, 2019
Short summary
Spatial and temporal changes in SO2 regimes over China in the recent decade and the driving mechanism
Ting Wang, Pucai Wang, Nicolas Theys, Dan Tong, François Hendrick, Qiang Zhang, and Michel Van Roozendael
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 18063–18078, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-18063-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-18063-2018, 2018
Short summary
Trends in China's anthropogenic emissions since 2010 as the consequence of clean air actions
Bo Zheng, Dan Tong, Meng Li, Fei Liu, Chaopeng Hong, Guannan Geng, Haiyan Li, Xin Li, Liqun Peng, Ji Qi, Liu Yan, Yuxuan Zhang, Hongyan Zhao, Yixuan Zheng, Kebin He, and Qiang Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 14095–14111, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-14095-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-14095-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Gases | Research Activity: Field Measurements | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Chemistry (chemical composition and reactions)
Observation and modeling of atmospheric OH and HO2 radicals at a subtropical rural site and implications for secondary pollutants
Zhouxing Zou, Tianshu Chen, Qianjie Chen, Weihang Sun, Shichun Han, Zhuoyue Ren, Xinyi Li, Wei Song, Aoqi Ge, Qi Wang, Xiao Tian, Chenglei Pei, Xinming Wang, Yanli Zhang, and Tao Wang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 8147–8161, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8147-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8147-2025, 2025
Short summary
Tracing elevated abundance of CH2Cl2 in the subarctic upper troposphere to the Asian Summer Monsoon
Markus Jesswein, Valentin Lauther, Nicolas Emig, Peter Hoor, Timo Keber, Hans-Christoph Lachnitt, Linda Ort, Tanja Schuck, Johannes Strobel, Ronja Van Luijt, C. Michael Volk, Franziska Weyland, and Andreas Engel
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 8107–8126, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8107-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8107-2025, 2025
Short summary
Carbonyl compounds from typical combustion sources: emission characteristics, influencing factors, and their contribution to ozone formation
Yanjie Lu, Xinxin Feng, Yanli Feng, Minjun Jiang, Yu Peng, Tian Chen, and Yingjun Chen
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 8043–8059, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8043-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-8043-2025, 2025
Short summary
Formation drivers and photochemical effects of ClNO2 in a coastal city of Southeast China
Gaojie Chen, Xiaolong Fan, Haichao Wang, Yee Jun Tham, Ziyi Lin, Xiaoting Ji, Lingling Xu, Baoye Hu, and Jinsheng Chen
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 7815–7828, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7815-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7815-2025, 2025
Short summary
Significant influence of oxygenated volatile organic compounds on atmospheric chemistry: a case study in a typical industrial city in China
Jingwen Dai, Kun Zhang, Yanli Feng, Xin Yi, Rui Li, Jin Xue, Qing Li, Lishu Shi, Jiaqiang Liao, Yanan Yi, Fangting Wang, Liumei Yang, Hui Chen, Ling Huang, Jiani Tan, Yangjun Wang, and Li Li
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 7467–7484, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7467-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-7467-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Alcamo, J. and Kreileman, E.: Emission scenarios and global climate protection, Global Environ. Chang., 6, 305–334, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(96)00030-1, 1996. 
Amann, M., Klimont, Z. and Wagner, F.: Regional and Global Emissions of Air Pollutants: Recent Trends and Future Scenarios, Annu. Rev. Env. Resour., 38, 31–55, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-052912-173303, 2013. 
Belete, G. F., Voinov, A., Arto, I., Dhavala, K., Bulavskaya, T., Niamir, L., Moghayer, S., and Filatova, T.: Exploring Low-Carbon Futures: A Web Service Approach to Linking Diverse Climate-Energy-Economy Models, Energies, 12, 2880, https://doi.org/10.3390/en12152880, 2019. 
Belaissaoui, B., Le Moullec, Y., and Favre, E.: Energy efficiency of a hybrid membrane/condensation process for VOC (Volatile Organic Compounds) recovery from air: A generic approach, Energy, 95, 291–302, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.12.006, 2016. 
Braspenning Radu, O., van den Berg, M., Klimont, Z., Deetman, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Muntean, M., Heyes, C., Dentener, F., and van Vuuren, D. P.: Exploring synergies between climate and air quality policies using long-term global and regional emission scenarios, Atmos. Environ., 140, 577–591, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.05.021, 2016. 
Download
Short summary
Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in China are of great concern to the community. Here we developed a sophisticated dynamic projection model to understand 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios. By coupling strong low-carbon transitions and clean air policy, emissions of major air pollutants in China will be reduced by 58–87 % during 2015–2050. This work can support future co-governance policy design.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint