Research article | Highlight paper |
| 14 May 2020
Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Jing Cheng
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Sha Yu
Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, University Research Court, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Liu Yan
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Chaopeng Hong
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yu Qin
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Hongyan Zhao
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yixuan Zheng
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Meng Li
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yuxuan Zhang
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Leon Clarke
Center for Global Sustainability, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
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Total article views: 18,110 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 16,743 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 16,663 with geography defined
and 80 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,367 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,254 with geography defined
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Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in China are of great concern to the community. Here we developed a sophisticated dynamic projection model to understand 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios. By coupling strong low-carbon transitions and clean air policy, emissions of major air pollutants in China will be reduced by 58–87 % during 2015–2050. This work can support future co-governance policy design.
Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in China are of great concern to the...
