Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Jing Cheng
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Sha Yu
Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, University Research Court, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Liu Yan
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Chaopeng Hong
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yu Qin
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Hongyan Zhao
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yixuan Zheng
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Guannan Geng
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Meng Li
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Yuxuan Zhang
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution
Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Leon Clarke
Center for Global Sustainability, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Qiang Zhang
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling,
Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
People's Republic of China
Data sets
DPEC: China’s future emission scenario and database (2015-2050) D. Tong et al. http://www.meicmodel.org/dataset-dpec.html
Short summary
Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in China are of great concern to the community. Here we developed a sophisticated dynamic projection model to understand 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios. By coupling strong low-carbon transitions and clean air policy, emissions of major air pollutants in China will be reduced by 58–87 % during 2015–2050. This work can support future co-governance policy design.
Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in China are of great concern to the...
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