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Volume 16, issue 18
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 12159–12176, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 12159–12176, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 28 Sep 2016

Research article | 28 Sep 2016

Future Arctic ozone recovery: the importance of chemistry and dynamics

Ewa M. Bednarz et al.

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Cited articles

Anderson, J. G., Brune, W. H., and Proffitt, M. H.: Ozone destruction by chlorine radicals within the Antarctic vortex – the spatial and temporal evolution of ClO-O3 anticorrelation based on insitu ER-2 data, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 94, 11465–11479, https://doi.org/10.1029/JD094iD09p11465, 1989.
Andrews, D. G., Holton, J. R., and Leovy, C. B.: Middle Atmosphere Dynamics, Academic Press, 489 pp., San Diego, 1987.
Austin, J. and Wilson, R. J.: Ensemble simulations of the decline and recovery of stratospheric ozone, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D16314, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd006907, 2006.
Bell, C. J., Gray, L. J., and Kettleborough, J.: Changes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric variability under increased CO2 concentrations, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 1181–1190, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.633, 2010.
Bodeker, G. E., Shiona, H., and Eskes, H.: Indicators of Antarctic ozone depletion, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 2603–2615, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-5-2603-2005, 2005.
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Future trends in springtime Arctic ozone, and its chemical dynamical and radiative drivers, are analysed using a 7-member ensemble of chemistry–climate model integrations, allowing for a detailed assessment of interannual variability. Despite the future long-term recovery of Arctic ozone, there is large interannual variability and episodic reductions in springtime Arctic column ozone. Halogen chemistry will become a smaller but non-negligible driver of Arctic ozone variability over the century.
Future trends in springtime Arctic ozone, and its chemical dynamical and radiative drivers, are...
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