Articles | Volume 16, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Sep 2016
Research article |
| 28 Sep 2016
Future Arctic ozone recovery: the importance of chemistry and dynamics
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Amanda C. Maycock
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science – Climate, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
now at: School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds,
Leeds, UK
N. Luke Abraham
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science – Climate, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Peter Braesicke
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science – Climate, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
now at: Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute for
Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe, Germany
Olivier Dessens
University College London, London, UK
John A. Pyle
Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science – Climate, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
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50 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Clear-sky ultraviolet radiation modelling using output from the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative K. Lamy et al. 10.5194/acp-19-10087-2019
- The Strong Stratospheric Polar Vortex in March 2020 in Sub‐Seasonal to Seasonal Models: Implications for Empirical Prediction of the Low Arctic Total Ozone Extreme J. Rao & C. Garfinkel 10.1029/2020JD034190
- Diagnosing the radiative and chemical contributions to future changes in tropical column ozone with the UM-UKCA chemistry–climate model J. Keeble et al. 10.5194/acp-17-13801-2017
- Detecting recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer M. Chipperfield et al. 10.1038/nature23681
- Separating the role of direct radiative heating and photolysis in modulating the atmospheric response to the amplitude of the 11-year solar cycle forcing E. Bednarz et al. 10.5194/acp-19-9833-2019
- Arctic Stratosphere Circulation Changes in the 21st Century in Simulations of INM CM5 P. Vargin et al. 10.3390/atmos13010025
- Simulation of Record Arctic Stratospheric Ozone Depletion in 2020 J. Grooß & R. Müller 10.1029/2020JD033339
- Signal‐To‐Noise Calculations of Emergence and De‐Emergence of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion F. Robertson et al. 10.1029/2023GL104246
- Effect of lower stratospheric temperature on total ozone column (TOC) during the ozone depletion and recovery phases S. Ningombam et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104686
- The recent signs of total column ozone recovery over mid-latitudes: The effects of the Montreal Protocol mandate S. Ningombam et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.05.011
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- Chemical Evolution of the Exceptional Arctic Stratospheric Winter 2019/2020 Compared to Previous Arctic and Antarctic Winters I. Wohltmann et al. 10.1029/2020JD034356
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1 citations as recorded by crossref.
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Latest update: 18 Apr 2024
Short summary
Future trends in springtime Arctic ozone, and its chemical dynamical and radiative drivers, are analysed using a 7-member ensemble of chemistry–climate model integrations, allowing for a detailed assessment of interannual variability. Despite the future long-term recovery of Arctic ozone, there is large interannual variability and episodic reductions in springtime Arctic column ozone. Halogen chemistry will become a smaller but non-negligible driver of Arctic ozone variability over the century.
Future trends in springtime Arctic ozone, and its chemical dynamical and radiative drivers, are...
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