Articles | Volume 23, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-2499-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-2499-2023
Research article
 | 
23 Feb 2023
Research article |  | 23 Feb 2023

Impacts of reductions in non-methane short-lived climate forcers on future climate extremes and the resulting population exposure risks in eastern and southern Asia

Yingfang Li, Zhili Wang, Yadong Lei, Huizheng Che, and Xiaoye Zhang

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Allen, J. R., Horowitz, W. L., Naik, V., Oshima, N., O'Connor, M. F., Turnock, S., Shim, S., Sager, L. P., Noije, V. T., Tsigaridis, K., Bauer, E. S., Sentman, L. T., John, J. G., Broderick, C., Deushi, M., Folberth, A. G., Fujimori, S., and Collins, J. W.: Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions, Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 034010, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe06b, 2021. 
An, J., Fu, B., Li, W., Peng, S., and Li, B.: Future Prediction of Typical Extreme Climatic Indices and Population Exposure to High Temperature in East Asia, Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis, 56, 884–892, https://doi.org/10.13209/j.0479-8023.2020.071, 2020. 
Apte, J. S., Marshall, J. D., Cohen, A. J., and Brauer, M.: Addressing Global Mortality from Ambient PM2.5, Environ. Sci. Technol., 49, 8057–8066, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5b01236, 2015. 
Baker, L. H., Collins, W. J., Olivié, D. J. L., Cherian, R., Hodnebrog, Ø., Myhre, G., and Quaas, J.: Climate responses to anthropogenic emissions of short-lived climate pollutants, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 8201–8216, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8201-2015, 2015. 
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Since few studies have assessed the impacts of future combined reductions in aerosols, ozone, and their precursors on future climate change, we use models with an interactive representation of tropospheric aerosols and atmospheric chemistry schemes to quantify the impact of their reductions on the Asian climate. Our results suggest that their reductions will exacerbate the warming effect caused by greenhouse gases, increasing future climate extremes and associated population exposure risk.
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