Articles | Volume 19, issue 15
Research article
07 Aug 2019
Research article |  | 07 Aug 2019

Quantifying the contribution of anthropogenic influence to the East Asian winter monsoon in 1960–2012

Xin Hao, Shengping He, Huijun Wang, and Tingting Han

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Cited articles

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Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J. L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., Gao, X., Gutowski, W. J., Johns, T., Krinner, G., Shongwe, M., Tebaldi, C., Weaver, A. J., and Wehner, M.: Long-term climate change: projections, commitments and irreversibility, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G. K., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, 2013. 
Cui, X. P. and Sun, Z. B.: East Asian winter monsoon index and its variation analysis, J. Nanjing Inst. Meteo., 22, 321–325, 1999 (in Chinese). 
Short summary
The East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) can be greatly influenced by many factors that can be classified as anthropogenic forcing and natural forcing. Our results show that the increasing anthropogenic emissions in the past decades may have contributed to the weakening of the EAWM, the frequency of occurrence of strong EAWM may have decreased by 45 % due to the anthropogenic forcing, and the anthropogenic forcing is a dominant contributor to the occurrence of a weak EAWM.
Final-revised paper