Articles | Volume 19, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9903-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9903-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Quantifying the contribution of anthropogenic influence to the East Asian winter monsoon in 1960–2012
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Shengping He
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen 0025, Norway
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Huijun Wang
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Climate Change Research Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Tingting Han
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University for Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Inter‐model spreading of changes in East Asian winter monsoon circulation under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming targets Z. Xu & K. Fan 10.1002/joc.7471
- Modulated Responses of East Asian Winter Climate to Anthropogenic Aerosols by Urban Cover in Eastern China J. Deng et al. 10.3390/atmos12040471
- The East Asian Winter Monsoon and its Relationship with El Niño–Southern Oscillation: Present and Future W. GUO et al. 10.3724/j.1006-8775.2025.020
- Detection and Attribution of Changes in Thermal Discomfort over China during 1961–2014 and Future Projections W. Li et al. 10.1007/s00376-021-1168-x
- Impacts of the Interannual Variability of the Kuroshio Extension on the East Asian Trough in Winter J. Sun et al. 10.3390/atmos13070996
- Interactions between the Arctic Stratosphere and the Tropical Pacific on Extreme Winter Precipitation Variability in the Eastern China-Yellow Sea-Korea Region for 2021/2022 and 2023/2024 M. Lee et al. 10.5467/JKESS.2025.46.1.1
- Evaluation of PM2.5 fluxes in the “2+26” cities: Transport pathways and intercity contributions M. Qi et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2021.03.011
- Detectable anthropogenic changes in daily-scale circulations driving summer rainfall shifts over eastern China B. Zhou et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0f28
- Coral-derived seasonal seawater δ18O records from the Northern South China Sea: Hydroclimatic insights into the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age H. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104718
- Anthropogenic influence on Northern Hemisphere blocking during the winter 1960/1961–2012/2013 D. Chen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1d0e
- Future changes in the meteorological potential for winter haze over Beijing during periods of peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality in China projected by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models J. Wang et al. 10.1002/joc.7352
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Inter‐model spreading of changes in East Asian winter monsoon circulation under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming targets Z. Xu & K. Fan 10.1002/joc.7471
- Modulated Responses of East Asian Winter Climate to Anthropogenic Aerosols by Urban Cover in Eastern China J. Deng et al. 10.3390/atmos12040471
- The East Asian Winter Monsoon and its Relationship with El Niño–Southern Oscillation: Present and Future W. GUO et al. 10.3724/j.1006-8775.2025.020
- Detection and Attribution of Changes in Thermal Discomfort over China during 1961–2014 and Future Projections W. Li et al. 10.1007/s00376-021-1168-x
- Impacts of the Interannual Variability of the Kuroshio Extension on the East Asian Trough in Winter J. Sun et al. 10.3390/atmos13070996
- Interactions between the Arctic Stratosphere and the Tropical Pacific on Extreme Winter Precipitation Variability in the Eastern China-Yellow Sea-Korea Region for 2021/2022 and 2023/2024 M. Lee et al. 10.5467/JKESS.2025.46.1.1
- Evaluation of PM2.5 fluxes in the “2+26” cities: Transport pathways and intercity contributions M. Qi et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2021.03.011
- Detectable anthropogenic changes in daily-scale circulations driving summer rainfall shifts over eastern China B. Zhou et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0f28
- Coral-derived seasonal seawater δ18O records from the Northern South China Sea: Hydroclimatic insights into the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age H. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104718
- Anthropogenic influence on Northern Hemisphere blocking during the winter 1960/1961–2012/2013 D. Chen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac1d0e
- Future changes in the meteorological potential for winter haze over Beijing during periods of peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality in China projected by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models J. Wang et al. 10.1002/joc.7352
Latest update: 13 Aug 2025
Short summary
The East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) can be greatly influenced by many factors that can be classified as anthropogenic forcing and natural forcing. Our results show that the increasing anthropogenic emissions in the past decades may have contributed to the weakening of the EAWM, the frequency of occurrence of strong EAWM may have decreased by 45 % due to the anthropogenic forcing, and the anthropogenic forcing is a dominant contributor to the occurrence of a weak EAWM.
The East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) can be greatly influenced by many factors that can be...
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