Articles | Volume 19, issue 13
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 8383–8397, 2019
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 8383–8397, 2019
Research article
02 Jul 2019
Research article | 02 Jul 2019

Large-scale dynamics of tropical cyclone formation associated with ITCZ breakdown

Quan Wang et al.

Related subject area

Subject: Dynamics | Research Activity: Atmospheric Modelling | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Physics (physical properties and processes)
Quantifying the impact of meteorological uncertainty on emission estimates and the risk to aviation using source inversion for the Raikoke 2019 eruption
Natalie J. Harvey, Helen F. Dacre, Cameron Saint, Andrew T. Prata, Helen N. Webster, and Roy G. Grainger
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 8529–8545,,, 2022
Short summary
Acceleration of the southern African easterly jet driven by the radiative effect of biomass burning aerosols and its impact on transport during AEROCLO-sA
Jean-Pierre Chaboureau, Laurent Labbouz, Cyrille Flamant, and Alma Hodzic
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 8639–8658,,, 2022
Short summary
The Sun's role in decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic
Annika Drews, Wenjuan Huo, Katja Matthes, Kunihiko Kodera, and Tim Kruschke
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 7893–7904,,, 2022
Short summary
Future projections of daily haze-conducive and clear weather conditions over the North China Plain using a perturbed parameter ensemble
Shipra Jain, Ruth M. Doherty, David Sexton, Steven Turnock, Chaofan Li, Zixuan Jia, Zongbo Shi, and Lin Pei
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 7443–7460,,, 2022
Short summary
Refining an ensemble of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite retrievals: Raikoke 2019
Antonio Capponi, Natalie J. Harvey, Helen F. Dacre, Keith Beven, Cameron Saint, Cathie Wells, and Mike R. James
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 6115–6134,,, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Agee, E. M.: Note on itcz wave disturbances and formation of tropical storm anna, Mon. Weather Rev., 100, 733–737,<0733:NOIWDA>2.3.CO;2, 1972. a
Aiyyer, A. R. and Molinari, J.: Evolution of mixed rossby-gravity waves in idealized mjo environments. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 2837–2855,<2837:EOMRWI>2.0.CO;2, 2003. a
Avila, L. A. and Pasch, R. J.: Atlantic tropical systems of 1991, Mon. Weather Rev., 120, 2688–2696,<2688:ATSO>2.0.CO;2, 1992. a
Bister, M. and Emanuel, K. A.: The genesis of hurricane guillermo: Texmex analyses and a modeling study, Mon. Weather Rev., 125, 2662–2682,<2662:TGOHGT>2.0.CO;2, 1997. 
Charney, J. G. and DeVore, J. G.: Multiple flow equilibria in the atmosphere and blocking, J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1205–1216,<1205:MFEITA>2.0.CO;2, 1979. a, b
Short summary
This study presents an analytical model to study large-scale tropical cyclone (TC) formation that can help us understand the maximum capacity of the Earth's atmosphere to produce TCs. Using a barotropic model for the intertropical convergence zone and recent advances in nonlinear dynamical transition, it is found that the Earth's atmosphere can support a limited number of TCs at any given time (<12) in the current climate, thus providing new theoretical insights into the TC formation process.
Final-revised paper