Articles | Volume 19, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-4459-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-4459-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
05 Apr 2019
Research article |
| 05 Apr 2019
| 05 Apr 2019
Future climatic drivers and their effect on PM10 components in Europe and the Mediterranean Sea
Arineh Cholakian
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques
(LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris Est Créteil et
Université Paris Diderot (UPD), Institut Pierre Simon Laplace,
Créteil (IPSL), Créteil, France
Institut National de
l'Environnement Industriel et des Risques, Parc Technologique ALATA,
Verneuil-en-Halatte, France
now at: EPOC, UMR 5805, Université
de Bordeaux, Pessac, France
Augustin Colette
Institut National de
l'Environnement Industriel et des Risques, Parc Technologique ALATA,
Verneuil-en-Halatte, France
Isabelle Coll
Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques
(LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris Est Créteil et
Université Paris Diderot (UPD), Institut Pierre Simon Laplace,
Créteil (IPSL), Créteil, France
Giancarlo Ciarelli
Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques
(LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris Est Créteil et
Université Paris Diderot (UPD), Institut Pierre Simon Laplace,
Créteil (IPSL), Créteil, France
now at: Department of Chemical
Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, USA
Matthias Beekmann
Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques
(LISA), UMR CNRS 7583, Université Paris Est Créteil et
Université Paris Diderot (UPD), Institut Pierre Simon Laplace,
Créteil (IPSL), Créteil, France
Related authors
No articles found.
Marc Guevara, Augustin Colette, Antoine Guion, Valentin Petiot, Mario Adani, Joaquim Arteta, Anna Benedictow, Robert Bergström, Andrea Bolignano, Paula Camps, Ana C. Carvalho, Jesper Heile Christensen, Florian Couvidat, Ilaria D'Elia, Hugo Denier van der Gon, Gaël Descombes, John Douros, Hilde Fagerli, Yalda Fatahi, Elmar Friese, Lise Frohn, Michael Gauss, Camilla Geels, Risto Hänninen, Kaj Hansen, Oriol Jorba, Jacek W. Kaminski, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Richard Kranenburg, Jeroen Kuenen, Victor Lannuque, Frédérik Meleux, Agnes Nyíri, Yuliia Palamarchuk, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Lennard Robertson, Felicita Russo, Arjo Segers, Mikhail Sofiev, Joanna Struzewska, Renske Timmermans, Andreas Uppstu, Alvaro Valdebenito, and Zhuyun Ye
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 13245–13278, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13245-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13245-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Air quality models require hourly emissions to accurately represent dispersion and physico-chemical processes in the atmosphere. Since emission inventories are typically provided at the annual level, emissions are downscaled to a refined temporal resolution using temporal profiles. This study quantifies the impact of using new anthropogenic temporal profiles on the performance of an European air quality multi-model ensemble. Overall, the findings indicate an improvement of the modelling results.
Augustin Colette, Gaëlle Collin, François Besson, Etienne Blot, Vincent Guidard, Frédérik Meleux, Adrien Royer, Valentin Petiot, Claire Miller, Oihana Fermond, Alizé Jeant, Mario Adani, Joaquim Arteta, Anna Benedictow, Robert Bergström, Dene Bowdalo, Jorgen Brandt, Gino Briganti, Ana C. Carvalho, Jesper Heile Christensen, Florian Couvidat, Ilaria D'Elia, Massimo D'Isidoro, Hugo Denier van der Gon, Gaël Descombes, Enza Di Tomaso, John Douros, Jeronimo Escribano, Henk Eskes, Hilde Fagerli, Yalda Fatahi, Johannes Flemming, Elmar Friese, Lise Frohn, Michael Gauss, Camilla Geels, Guido Guarnieri, Marc Guevara, Antoine Guion, Jonathan Guth, Risto Hänninen, Kaj Hansen, Ulas Im, Ruud Janssen, Marine Jeoffrion, Mathieu Joly, Luke Jones, Oriol Jorba, Evgeni Kadantsev, Michael Kahnert, Jacek W. Kaminski, Rostislav Kouznetsov, Richard Kranenburg, Jeroen Kuenen, Anne Caroline Lange, Joachim Langner, Victor Lannuque, Francesca Macchia, Astrid Manders, Mihaela Mircea, Agnes Nyiri, Miriam Olid, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Yuliia Palamarchuk, Antonio Piersanti, Blandine Raux, Miha Razinger, Lennard Robertson, Arjo Segers, Martijn Schaap, Pilvi Siljamo, David Simpson, Mikhail Sofiev, Anders Stangel, Joanna Struzewska, Carles Tena, Renske Timmermans, Thanos Tsikerdekis, Svetlana Tsyro, Svyatoslav Tyuryakov, Anthony Ung, Andreas Uppstu, Alvaro Valdebenito, Peter van Velthoven, Lina Vitali, Zhuyun Ye, Vincent-Henri Peuch, and Laurence Rouïl
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 6835–6883, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6835-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6835-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service – Regional Production delivers daily forecasts, analyses, and reanalyses of air quality in Europe. The service relies on a distributed modelling production by 11 leading European modelling teams following stringent requirements with an operational design that has no equivalent in the world. All the products are free, open, and quality-assured and disseminated with a high level of reliability.
Myriam Agrò, Manuel Bettineschi, Silvia Melina, Diego Aliaga, Andrea Bergomi, Beatrice Biffi, Alessandro Bigi, Giancarlo Ciarelli, Cristina Colombi, Paola Fermo, Ivan Grigioni, Veli-Matti Kerminen, Markku Kulmala, Janne Lampilahti, Angela Marinoni, Celestine Oliewo, Juha Sulo, Gianluigi Valli, Roberta Vecchi, Tuukka Petäjä, Katrianne Lehtipalo, and Federico Bianchi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2387, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2387, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates New Particle Formation (NPF) in Milan, the most populated city in the Po Valley (Italy), using one year of particle number size distribution data (1.2–480 nm). NPF is enhanced under cleaner air conditions with lower pollution, reduced condensation sink, stronger ventilation, and stronger northwesterly winds (e.g., Foehn events). In contrast, longer air mass residence time in the Po Valley and higher air mass exposure to anthropogenic emissions suppress it.
Ludovico Di Antonio, Matthias Beekmann, Guillaume Siour, Vincent Michoud, Christopher Cantrell, Astrid Bauville, Antonin Bergé, Mathieu Cazaunau, Servanne Chevaillier, Manuela Cirtog, Joel F. de Brito, Paola Formenti, Cecile Gaimoz, Olivier Garret, Aline Gratien, Valérie Gros, Martial Haeffelin, Lelia N. Hawkins, Simone Kotthaus, Gael Noyalet, Diana L. Pereira, Jean-Eudes Petit, Eva Drew Pronovost, Véronique Riffault, Chenjie Yu, Gilles Foret, Jean-François Doussin, and Claudia Di Biagio
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 4803–4831, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4803-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4803-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The summer of 2022 has been considered a proxy for future climate scenarios due to its hot and dry conditions. In this paper, we use the measurements from the Atmospheric Chemistry of the Suburban Forest (ACROSS) campaign, conducted in the Paris area in June–July 2022, along with observations from existing networks, to evaluate a 3D chemistry transport model (WRF–CHIMERE) simulation. Results are shown to be satisfactory, allowing us to explain the gas and aerosol variability at the campaign sites.
Ludovico Di Antonio, Claudia Di Biagio, Paola Formenti, Aline Gratien, Vincent Michoud, Christopher Cantrell, Astrid Bauville, Antonin Bergé, Mathieu Cazaunau, Servanne Chevaillier, Manuela Cirtog, Patrice Coll, Barbara D'Anna, Joel F. de Brito, David O. De Haan, Juliette R. Dignum, Shravan Deshmukh, Olivier Favez, Pierre-Marie Flaud, Cecile Gaimoz, Lelia N. Hawkins, Julien Kammer, Brigitte Language, Franck Maisonneuve, Griša Močnik, Emilie Perraudin, Jean-Eudes Petit, Prodip Acharja, Laurent Poulain, Pauline Pouyes, Eva Drew Pronovost, Véronique Riffault, Kanuri I. Roundtree, Marwa Shahin, Guillaume Siour, Eric Villenave, Pascal Zapf, Gilles Foret, Jean-François Doussin, and Matthias Beekmann
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 3161–3189, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3161-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3161-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The spectral complex refractive index (CRI) and single scattering albedo were retrieved from submicron aerosol measurements at three sites within the greater Paris area during the ACROSS field campaign (June–July 2022). Measurements revealed urban emission impact on surrounding areas. CRI full period averages at 520 nm were 1.41 – 0.037i (urban), 1.52 – 0.038i (peri-urban), and 1.50 – 0.025i (rural). Organic aerosols dominated the aerosol mass and contributed up to 22 % of absorption at 370 nm.
Antoine Guion, Florian Couvidat, Marc Guevara, and Augustin Colette
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2807–2827, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2807-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2807-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The residential sector can cause high background levels of pollutants and pollution peaks in winter. Its emissions are dominated by space heating and show strong daily variations linked to changes in outside temperature. Using heating degree days, we provide country- and species-dependent parameters for the distribution of these emissions, improving the performance of the CHIMERE air quality model. This also allows annual residential emissions to be projected before official publications.
Matthieu Vida, Gilles Foret, Guillaume Siour, Florian Couvidat, Olivier Favez, Gaelle Uzu, Arineh Cholakian, Sébastien Conil, Matthias Beekmann, and Jean-Luc Jaffrezo
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 10601–10615, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10601-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10601-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We simulate 2 years of atmospheric fungal spores over France and use observations of polyols and primary biogenic factors from positive matrix factorisation. The representation of emissions taking into account a proxy for vegetation surface and specific humidity enables us to reproduce very accurately the seasonal cycle of fungal spores. Furthermore, we estimate that fungal spores can account for 20 % of PM10 and 40 % of the organic fraction of PM10 over vegetated areas in summer.
Jing Cai, Juha Sulo, Yifang Gu, Sebastian Holm, Runlong Cai, Steven Thomas, Almuth Neuberger, Fredrik Mattsson, Marco Paglione, Stefano Decesari, Matteo Rinaldi, Rujing Yin, Diego Aliaga, Wei Huang, Yuanyuan Li, Yvette Gramlich, Giancarlo Ciarelli, Lauriane Quéléver, Nina Sarnela, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Nora Zannoni, Cheng Wu, Wei Nie, Juha Kangasluoma, Claudia Mohr, Markku Kulmala, Qiaozhi Zha, Dominik Stolzenburg, and Federico Bianchi
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 2423–2441, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2423-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2423-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
By combining field measurements, simulations and recent chamber experiments, we investigate new particle formation (NPF) and growth in the Po Valley, where both haze and frequent NPF occur. Our results show that sulfuric acid, ammonia and amines are the dominant NPF precursors there. A high NPF rate and a lower condensation sink lead to a greater survival probability for newly formed particles, highlighting the importance of gas-to-particle conversion for aerosol concentrations.
Giancarlo Ciarelli, Sara Tahvonen, Arineh Cholakian, Manuel Bettineschi, Bruno Vitali, Tuukka Petäjä, and Federico Bianchi
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 545–565, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-545-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-545-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The terrestrial ecosystem releases large quantities of biogenic gases in the Earth's Atmosphere. These gases can effectively be converted into so-called biogenic aerosol particles and, eventually, affect the Earth's climate. Climate prediction varies greatly depending on how these processes are represented in model simulations. In this study, we present a detailed model evaluation analysis aimed at understanding the main source of uncertainty in predicting the formation of biogenic aerosols.
Ludovico Di Antonio, Claudia Di Biagio, Gilles Foret, Paola Formenti, Guillaume Siour, Jean-François Doussin, and Matthias Beekmann
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 12455–12475, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12455-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12455-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Long-term (2000–2021) 1 km resolution satellite data have been used to investigate the climatological aerosol optical depth (AOD) variability and trends at different scales in Europe. Average enhancements of the local-to-regional AOD ratio at 550 nm of 57 %, 55 %, 39 % and 32 % are found for large metropolitan areas such as Barcelona, Lisbon, Paris and Athens, respectively, suggesting a non-negligible enhancement of the aerosol burden through local emissions.
Jean-Philippe Putaud, Enrico Pisoni, Alexander Mangold, Christoph Hueglin, Jean Sciare, Michael Pikridas, Chrysanthos Savvides, Jakub Ondracek, Saliou Mbengue, Alfred Wiedensohler, Kay Weinhold, Maik Merkel, Laurent Poulain, Dominik van Pinxteren, Hartmut Herrmann, Andreas Massling, Claus Nordstroem, Andrés Alastuey, Cristina Reche, Noemí Pérez, Sonia Castillo, Mar Sorribas, Jose Antonio Adame, Tuukka Petaja, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Jarkko Niemi, Véronique Riffault, Joel F. de Brito, Augustin Colette, Olivier Favez, Jean-Eudes Petit, Valérie Gros, Maria I. Gini, Stergios Vratolis, Konstantinos Eleftheriadis, Evangelia Diapouli, Hugo Denier van der Gon, Karl Espen Yttri, and Wenche Aas
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 10145–10161, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10145-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10145-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Many European people are still exposed to levels of air pollution that can affect their health. COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 were used to assess the impact of the reduction in human mobility on air pollution across Europe by comparing measurement data with values that would be expected if no lockdown had occurred. We show that lockdown measures did not lead to consistent decreases in the concentrations of fine particulate matter suspended in the air, and we investigate why.
Sachiko Okamoto, Juan Cuesta, Matthias Beekmann, Gaëlle Dufour, Maxim Eremenko, Kazuyuki Miyazaki, Cathy Boonne, Hiroshi Tanimoto, and Hajime Akimoto
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 7399–7423, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7399-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7399-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We present a detailed analysis of the daily evolution of the lowermost tropospheric ozone documented by IASI+GOME2 multispectral satellite observations and that of its precursors from TCR-2 tropospheric chemistry reanalysis. It reveals that the ozone outbreak across Europe in July 2017 was produced during favorable condition for photochemical production of ozone and was associated with multiple sources of ozone precursors: biogenic, anthropogenic, and biomass burning emissions.
Jean-Maxime Bertrand, Frédérik Meleux, Anthony Ung, Gaël Descombes, and Augustin Colette
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 5317–5333, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5317-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5317-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Post-processing methods based on machine learning algorithms were applied to refine the forecasts of four key pollutants at monitoring sites across Europe. Performances show significant improvements compared to those of the deterministic model raw outputs. Taking advantage of the large modelling domain extension, an innovative
globalapproach is proposed to drastically reduce the period necessary to train the models and thus facilitate the implementation in an operational context.
Arineh Cholakian, Matthias Beekmann, Guillaume Siour, Isabelle Coll, Manuela Cirtog, Elena Ormeño, Pierre-Marie Flaud, Emilie Perraudin, and Eric Villenave
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 3679–3706, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-3679-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-3679-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
This article revolves around the simulation of biogenic secondary organic aerosols in the Landes forest (southwestern France). Several sensitivity cases involving biogenic emission factors, land cover data, anthropogenic emissions, and physical or meteorological parameters were performed and each compared to measurements both in the forest canopy and around the forest. The chemistry behind the formation of these aerosols and their production and transport in the forest canopy is discussed.
John Douros, Henk Eskes, Jos van Geffen, K. Folkert Boersma, Steven Compernolle, Gaia Pinardi, Anne-Marlene Blechschmidt, Vincent-Henri Peuch, Augustin Colette, and Pepijn Veefkind
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 509–534, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-509-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-509-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We focus on the challenges associated with comparing atmospheric composition models with satellite products such as tropospheric NO2 columns. The aim is to highlight the methodological difficulties and propose sound ways of doing such comparisons. Building on the comparisons, a new satellite product is proposed and made available, which takes advantage of higher-resolution, regional atmospheric modelling to improve estimates of troposheric NO2 columns over Europe.
Svetlana Tsyro, Wenche Aas, Augustin Colette, Camilla Andersson, Bertrand Bessagnet, Giancarlo Ciarelli, Florian Couvidat, Kees Cuvelier, Astrid Manders, Kathleen Mar, Mihaela Mircea, Noelia Otero, Maria-Teresa Pay, Valentin Raffort, Yelva Roustan, Mark R. Theobald, Marta G. Vivanco, Hilde Fagerli, Peter Wind, Gino Briganti, Andrea Cappelletti, Massimo D'Isidoro, and Mario Adani
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 7207–7257, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-7207-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-7207-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Particulate matter (PM) air pollution causes adverse health effects. In Europe, the emissions caused by anthropogenic activities have been reduced in the last decades. To assess the efficiency of emission reductions in improving air quality, we have studied the evolution of PM pollution in Europe. Simulations with six air quality models and observational data indicate a decrease in PM concentrations by 10 % to 30 % across Europe from 2000 to 2010, which is mainly a result of emission reductions.
Elsa Real, Florian Couvidat, Anthony Ung, Laure Malherbe, Blandine Raux, Alicia Gressent, and Augustin Colette
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 2419–2443, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2419-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2419-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This paper describes a 16-year (2000–2015) dataset of air pollution concentrations and air quality indicators over France combining background measurements and modeling. Hourly concentrations and regulatory indicators of NO2, O3, PM10 and PM2.5 are produced with 4 km spatial resolution. The overall dataset has been cross-validated and showed overall very good results. We hope that this open-access publication will facilitate further studies on the impacts of air pollution.
Ranjeet S. Sokhi, Nicolas Moussiopoulos, Alexander Baklanov, John Bartzis, Isabelle Coll, Sandro Finardi, Rainer Friedrich, Camilla Geels, Tiia Grönholm, Tomas Halenka, Matthias Ketzel, Androniki Maragkidou, Volker Matthias, Jana Moldanova, Leonidas Ntziachristos, Klaus Schäfer, Peter Suppan, George Tsegas, Greg Carmichael, Vicente Franco, Steve Hanna, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Guus J. M. Velders, and Jaakko Kukkonen
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 4615–4703, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4615-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4615-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This review of air quality research focuses on developments over the past decade. The article considers current and future challenges that are important from air quality research and policy perspectives and highlights emerging prominent gaps of knowledge. The review also examines how air pollution management needs to adapt to new challenges and makes recommendations to guide the direction for future air quality research within the wider community and to provide support for policy.
Juan Cuesta, Lorenzo Costantino, Matthias Beekmann, Guillaume Siour, Laurent Menut, Bertrand Bessagnet, Tony C. Landi, Gaëlle Dufour, and Maxim Eremenko
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 4471–4489, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4471-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4471-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We present the first comprehensive study integrating satellite observations of near-surface ozone pollution, surface in situ measurements, and a chemistry-transport model for quantifying the role of anthropogenic emission reductions during the COVID-19 lockdown in spring 2020. It confirms the occurrence of a net enhancement of ozone in central Europe and a reduction elsewhere, except for some hotspots, linked with the reduction of precursor emissions from Europe and the Northern Hemisphere.
Augustin Colette, Laurence Rouïl, Frédérik Meleux, Vincent Lemaire, and Blandine Raux
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 1441–1465, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-1441-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-1441-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We introduce the first toolbox that allows exploration of the benefits of air pollution mitigation scenarios in the every-day air quality forecasts through a web interface. The toolbox relies on the joint use of chemistry-transport models (CTMs) and surrogate modelling techniques.
Andrea Pazmiño, Matthias Beekmann, Florence Goutail, Dmitry Ionov, Ariane Bazureau, Manuel Nunes-Pinharanda, Alain Hauchecorne, and Sophie Godin-Beekmann
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 18303–18317, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18303-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18303-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
UV-Visible Système d'Analyse par Observations Zénithales (SAOZ) NO2 tropospheric columns were evaluated to quantify the impact of the lockdown in limiting the COVID-19 propagation. Meteorological conditions and NO2 trends were considered. The negative anomaly in tropospheric columns in 2020, attributed to the lockdown (17 March–10 May and related emissions reductions), was 56 % at Paris and 46 % at a suburban site. A similar anomaly was found in the Airparif data of surface concentrations.
Igor B. Konovalov, Nikolai A. Golovushkin, Matthias Beekmann, Mikhail V. Panchenko, and Meinrat O. Andreae
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 14, 6647–6673, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-6647-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-6647-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The absorption of solar light by organic matter, known as brown carbon (BrC), contributes significantly to the radiative budget of the Earth’s atmosphere, but its representation in atmospheric models is uncertain. This paper advances a methodology to constrain model parameters characterizing BrC absorption of atmospheric aerosol originating from biomass burning with the available remote ground-based observations of atmospheric aerosol.
Rebecca D. Kutzner, Juan Cuesta, Pascale Chelin, Jean-Eudes Petit, Mokhtar Ray, Xavier Landsheere, Benoît Tournadre, Jean-Charles Dupont, Amandine Rosso, Frank Hase, Johannes Orphal, and Matthias Beekmann
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 12091–12111, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-12091-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-12091-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Our work investigates the diurnal evolution of atmospheric ammonia concentrations during a major pollution event. It analyses it in regard of both chemical (gas–particle conversion) and physical (vertical mixing, meteorology) processes in the atmosphere. These mechanisms are key for understanding the evolution of the physicochemical state of the atmosphere; therefore, it clearly fits into the scope of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.
Jean-Philippe Putaud, Luca Pozzoli, Enrico Pisoni, Sebastiao Martins Dos Santos, Friedrich Lagler, Guido Lanzani, Umberto Dal Santo, and Augustin Colette
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 7597–7609, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7597-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7597-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
To determine the impact of the COVID lockdown on air quality in northern Italy, measurements of atmospheric pollutants (NO2, PM10, O3, NO, SO2 ) were compared to the output of a model ignoring the lockdown. We found that NO2 decreased on average by −30 % to −40 %. Unlike NO2, PM10 was not significantly affected due to the compensation of decreased emissions from traffic by increased emissions from domestic heating and/or by changes in atmospheric chemistry enhancing secondary aerosol formation.
Jérôme Barré, Hervé Petetin, Augustin Colette, Marc Guevara, Vincent-Henri Peuch, Laurence Rouil, Richard Engelen, Antje Inness, Johannes Flemming, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Dene Bowdalo, Frederik Meleux, Camilla Geels, Jesper H. Christensen, Michael Gauss, Anna Benedictow, Svetlana Tsyro, Elmar Friese, Joanna Struzewska, Jacek W. Kaminski, John Douros, Renske Timmermans, Lennart Robertson, Mario Adani, Oriol Jorba, Mathieu Joly, and Rostislav Kouznetsov
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 7373–7394, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7373-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7373-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This study provides a comprehensive assessment of air quality changes across the main European urban areas induced by the COVID-19 lockdown using satellite observations, surface site measurements, and the forecasting system from the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). We demonstrate the importance of accounting for weather and seasonal variability when calculating such estimates.
Georgia N. Theodoritsi, Giancarlo Ciarelli, and Spyros N. Pandis
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 2041–2055, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-2041-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-2041-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Two schemes based on the volatility basis set were used for the simulation of biomass burning organic aerosol (bbOA) in the continental US. The first is the default scheme of the PMCAMx-SR model, and the second is a recently developed scheme based on laboratory experiments. The alternative bbOA scheme predicts much higher concentrations. The default scheme performed better during summer and fall, while the alternative scheme was a little better during spring.
Cited articles
Aksoyoglu, S., Ciarelli, G., El-Haddad, I., Baltensperger, U., and
Prévôt, A. S. H.: Secondary inorganic aerosols in Europe: sources and
the significant influence of biogenic VOC emissions, especially on ammonium
nitrate, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 7757–7773,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-7757-2017, 2017.
Amann, M., Klimont, Z., and Wagner, F.: Regional and Global Emissions of Air
Pollutants: Recent Trends and Future Scenarios, Annu. Rev. Env. Resour., 38,
31–55, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-052912-173303, 2013.
Anderson, J. O., Thundiyil, J. G., and Stolbach, A.: Clearing the Air: A
Review of the Effects of Particulate Matter Air Pollution on Human Health, J.
Med. Toxicol., 8, 166–175, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13181-011-0203-1, 2012.
Arino, O., Bicheron, P., Achard, F., Latham, J., Witt, R., and Weber, J.:
Globcover: The most detailed protrait of Earth, Eur. Sp. Agency Bull., 36,
24–31, 2008.
Arneth, A., Miller, P. A., Scholze, M., Hickler, T., Schurgers, G., Smith,
B., and Prentice, I. C.: CO2 inhibition of global terrestrial
isoprene emissions: Potential implications for atmospheric chemistry,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L18813, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030615, 2007.
Bessagnet, B., Menut, L., Curci, G., Hodzic, A., Guillaume, B., Liousse, C.,
Moukhtar, S., Pun, B., Seigneur, C., and Schulz, M.: Regional modeling of
carbonaceous aerosols over Europe – focus on secondary organic aerosols, J.
Atmos. Chem., 61, 175–202, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10874-009-9129-2, 2008.
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Solman, S., Miranda, A. I., and Borrego, C.:
Climate-driven changes in air quality over Europe by the end of the 21st
century, with special reference to Portugal, Environ. Sci. Policy, 13,
445–458, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENVSCI.2010.05.001, 2010.
Ciarelli, G., Theobald, M. R., Vivanco, M. G., Beekmann, M., Aas, W.,
Andersson, C., Bergström, R., Manders-Groot, A., Couvidat, F., Mircea,
M., Tsyro, S., Fagerli, H., Mar, K., Raffort, V., Roustan, Y., Pay, M.-T.,
Schaap, M., Kranenburg, R., Adani, M., Briganti, G., Cappelletti, A.,
D'Isidoro, M., Cuvelier, C., Cholakian, A., Bessagnet, B., Wind, P., and
Colette, A.: Trends of inorganic and organic aerosols and precursor gases in
Europe: insights from the EURODELTA multi-model experiment over the
1990–2010 period, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-70, in
review, 2019.
Cholakian, A., Beekmann, M., Colette, A., Coll, I., Siour, G., Sciare, J.,
Marchand, N., Couvidat, F., Pey, J., Gros, V., Sauvage, S., Michoud, V.,
Sellegri, K., Colomb, A., Sartelet, K., Langley DeWitt, H., Elser, M.,
Prévot, A. S. H., Szidat, S., and Dulac, F.: Simulation of fine organic
aerosols in the western Mediterranean area during the ChArMEx 2013 summer
campaign, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7287–7312,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7287-2018, 2018.
Colette, A., Bessagnet, B., Vautard, R., Szopa, S., Rao, S., Schucht, S.,
Klimont, Z., Menut, L., Clain, G., Meleux, F., Curci, G., and Rouïl, L.:
European atmosphere in 2050, a regional air quality and climate perspective
under CMIP5 scenarios, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 7451–7471,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-7451-2013, 2013.
Colette, A., Andersson, C., Baklanov, A., Bessagnet, B., Brandt, J.,
Christensen, J. H., Doherty, R., Engardt, M., Geels, C., Giannakopoulos, C.,
Hedegaard, G. B., Katragkou, E., Langner, J., Lei, H., Manders, A., Melas,
D., Meleux, F., Rouïl, L., Sofiev, M., Soares, J., Stevenson, D. S.,
Tombrou-Tzella, M., Varotsos, K. V., and Young, P.: Is the ozone climate
penalty robust in Europe?, Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 084015,
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084015, 2015.
Dale, V. H., Joyce, L. A., McNulty, S., Neilson, R. P., Ayres, M. P.,
Flannigan, M. D., Hanson, P. J., Irland, L. C., Lugo, A. E., Peterson, C. J.,
Simberloff, D., Swanson, F. J., Stocks, B. J., and Wotton, B. M.: Climate
Change and Forest Disturbances: Climate change can affect forests by altering
the frequency, intensity, duration, and timing of fire, drought, introduced
species, insect and pathogen outbreaks, hurricanes, windstorms, ice storms,
or landslides, Bioscience, 51, 723–734,
https://doi.org/10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0723:ccafd]2.0.co;2, 2001.
Dawson, J. P., Adams, P. J., and Pandis, S. N.: Sensitivity of
PM2.5 to climate in the Eastern US: a modeling case study, Atmos.
Chem. Phys., 7, 4295-4309, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-7-4295-2007, 2007.
de Winter, R. C., Sterl, A., and Ruessink, B. G.: Wind extremes in the North
Sea Basin under climate change: An ensemble study of 12 CMIP5 GCMs, J.
Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 1601–1612, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50147, 2013.
Dobrynin, M., Murawsky, J., and Yang, S.: Evolution of the global wind wave
climate in CMIP5 experiments, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18606,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052843, 2012.
Dufresne, J.-L., Foujols, M.-A., Denvil, S., Caubel, A., Marti, O., Aumont,
O., Balkanski, Y., Bekki, S., Bellenger, H., Benshila, R., Bony, S., Bopp,
L., Braconnot, P., Brockmann, P., Cadule, P., Cheruy, F., Codron, F., Cozic,
A., Cugnet, D., de Noblet, N., Duvel, J.-P., Ethé, C., Fairhead, L.,
Fichefet, T., Flavoni, S., Friedlingstein, P., Grandpeix, J.-Y., Guez, L.,
Guilyardi, E., Hauglustaine, D., Hourdin, F., Idelkadi, A., Ghattas, J.,
Joussaume, S., Kageyama, M., Krinner, G., Labetoulle, S., Lahellec, A.,
Lefebvre, M.-P., Lefevre, F., Levy, C., Li, Z. X., Lloyd, J., Lott, F.,
Madec, G., Mancip, M., Marchand, M., Masson, S., Meurdesoif, Y., Mignot, J.,
Musat, I., Parouty, S., Polcher, J., Rio, C., Schulz, M., Swingedouw, D.,
Szopa, S., Talandier, C., Terray, P., Viovy, N., and Vuichard, N.: Climate
change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to
CMIP5, Clim. Dynam., 40, 2123–2165, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1, 2013.
EEA: Air pollution and climate change policies in Europe: exploring linkages
and the added value of an integrated approach, European Environment Agency,
Copenhagen, available at:
https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/technical_report_2004_5 (last
access: 7 December 2017), 2004.
EEA: Air quality in Europe – 2016, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen,
available at:
https://www.eea.europa.eu//publications/air-quality-in-europe-2016
(last access: 11 December 2017), 2016.
Evan, A. T., Flamant, C., Fiedler, S., and Doherty, O.: An analysis of
aeolian dust in climate models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5996–6001,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060545, 2014.
Fichefet, T. and Maqueda, M. A. M.: Modelling the influence of snow
accumulation and snow-ice formation on the seasonal cycle of the Antarctic
sea-ice cover, Clim. Dynam., 15, 251–268, https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050280, 1999.
Fiore, A. M., Naik, V., Spracklen, D. V., Steiner, A., Unger, N., Prather,
M., Bergmann, D., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Cionni, I., Collins, W. J.,
Dalsøren, S., Eyring, V., Folberth, G. A., Ginoux, P., Horowitz, L. W.,
Josse, B., Lamarque, J.-F., MacKenzie, I. A., Nagashima, T., O'Connor, F. M.,
Righi, M., Rumbold, S. T., Shindell, D. T., Skeie, R. B., Sudo, K., Szopa,
S., Takemura, T., and Zeng, G.: Global air quality and climate, Chem. Soc.
Rev., 41, 6663, https://doi.org/10.1039/c2cs35095e, 2012.
Fortems-Cheiney, A., Foret, G., Siour, G., Vautard, R., Szopa, S., Dufour,
G., Colette, A., Lacressonniere, G., and Beekmann, M.: A 3C global RCP8.5
emission trajectory cancels benefits of European emission reductions on air
quality, Nat. Commun., 8, 89, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-00075-9, 2017.
Fountoukis, C. and Nenes, A.: ISORROPIA II: a computationally efficient
thermodynamic equilibrium model for
K+-Ca2+-Mg2+-
Ginoux, P., Prospero, J. M., Torres, O., and Chin, M.: Long-term simulation
of global dust distribution with the GOCART model: correlation with North
Atlantic Oscillation, Environ. Modell. Softw., 19, 113–128,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-8152(03)00114-2, 2004.
Giorgi, F.: Climate change hot-spots, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, 1–4,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025734, 2006.
Grantz, D., Garner, J. H., and Johnson, D.: Ecological effects of particulate
matter, Environ. Int., 29, 213–239, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0160-4120(02)00181-2,
2003.
Guenther, A., Karl, T., Harley, P., Wiedinmyer, C., Palmer, P. I., and Geron,
C.: Estimates of global terrestrial isoprene emissions using MEGAN (Model of
Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 6,
3181–3210, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-6-3181-2006, 2006.
Hantson, S., Knorr, W., Schurgers, G., Pugh, T. A. M., and Arneth, A.: Global
isoprene and monoterpene emissions under changing climate, vegetation,
CO2 and land use, Atmos. Environ., 155, 35–45,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.02.010, 2017.
Harrison, S. P., Kohfeld, K. E., Roelandt, C., and Claquin, T.: The role of
dust in climate changes today, at the last glacial maximum and in the future,
Earth-Sci. Rev., 54, 43–80, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0012-8252(01)00041-1, 2001.
Hauglustaine, D. A., Balkanski, Y., and Schulz, M.: A global model simulation
of present and future nitrate aerosols and their direct radiative forcing of
climate, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 11031–11063,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-11031-2014, 2014.
Heald, C. L., Henze, D. K., Horowitz, L. W., Feddema, J., Lamarque, J.-F.,
Guenther, A., Hess, P. G., Vitt, F., Seinfeld, J. H., Goldstein, A. H., and
Fung, I.: Predicted change in global secondary organic aerosol concentrations
in response to future climate, emissions, and land use change, J. Geophys.
Res.-Atmos., 113, D05211, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD009092, 2008.
Hedegaard, G. B., Brandt, J., Christensen, J. H., Frohn, L. M., Geels, C.,
Hansen, K. M., and Stendel, M.: Impacts of Climate Change on Air Pollution
Levels in the Northern Hemisphere with Special Focus on Europe and the
Arctic, in: Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application XIX, 568–576,
Springer Netherlands, Dordrecht, 2008.
Hedegaard, G. B., Christensen, J. H., and Brandt, J.: The relative importance
of impacts from climate change vs. emissions change on air pollution levels
in the 21st century, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 3569–3585,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-3569-2013, 2013.
Hodzic, A. and Jimenez, J. L.: Modeling anthropogenically controlled
secondary organic aerosols in a megacity: a simplified framework for global
and climate models, Geosci. Model Dev., 4, 901–917,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-901-2011, 2011.
Hourdin, F., Musat, I., Bony, S., Braconnot, P., Codron, F., Dufresne, J.-L.,
Fairhead, L., Filiberti, M.-A., Friedlingstein, P., Grandpeix, J.-Y.,
Krinner, G., LeVan, P., Li, Z.-X., and Lott, F.: The LMDZ4 general
circulation model: climate performance and sensitivity to parametrized
physics with emphasis on tropical convection, Clim. Dynam., 27, 787–813,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0158-0, 2006.
Im, U., Brandt, J., Geels, C., Hansen, K. M., Christensen, J. H., Andersen,
M. S., Solazzo, E., Kioutsioukis, I., Alyuz, U., Balzarini, A., Baro, R.,
Bellasio, R., Bianconi, R., Bieser, J., Colette, A., Curci, G., Farrow, A.,
Flemming, J., Fraser, A., Jimenez-Guerrero, P., Kitwiroon, N., Liang, C.-K.,
Nopmongcol, U., Pirovano, G., Pozzoli, L., Prank, M., Rose, R., Sokhi, R.,
Tuccella, P., Unal, A., Vivanco, M. G., West, J., Yarwood, G., Hogrefe, C.,
and Galmarini, S.: Assessment and economic valuation of air pollution impacts
on human health over Europe and the United States as calculated by a
multi-model ensemble in the framework of AQMEII3, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18,
5967–5989, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5967-2018, 2018.
Jacob, D.: IMPACT2C – An introduction, Clim. Serv., 7, 1–2,
https://doi.org/10.1016/J.CLISER.2017.07.006, 2017.
Jacob, D., Petersen, J., Eggert, B., Alias, A., Christensen, O. B., Bouwer,
L. M., Braun, A., Colette, A., Déqué, M., Georgievski, G.,
Georgopoulou, E., Gobiet, A., Menut, L., Nikulin, G., Haensler, A.,
Hempelmann, N., Jones, C., Keuler, K., Kovats, S., Kröner, N., Kotlarski,
S., Kriegsmann, A., Martin, E., van Meijgaard, E., Moseley, C., Pfeifer, S.,
Preuschmann, S., Radermacher, C., Radtke, K., Rechid, D., Rounsevell, M.,
Samuelsson, P., Somot, S., Soussana, J.-F., Teichmann, C., Valentini, R.,
Vautard, R., Weber, B., and Yiou, P.: EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution
climate change projections for European impact research, Reg. Environ.
Change, 14, 563–578, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2, 2014.
Jacob, D. J. and Winner, D. A.: Effect of Climate Change on Air Quality,
Atmos. Environ., 43, 51–63, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.09.051, 2009.
Jiménez-Guerrero, P., Montávez, J. P., Gómez-Navarro, J. J.,
Jerez, S., and Lorente-Plazas, R.: Impacts of climate change on ground level
gas-phase pollutants and aerosols in the Iberian Peninsula for the late XXI
century, Atmos. Environ., 55, 483–495, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.02.048,
2012.
Juda-Rezler, K., Reizer, M., Huszar, P., Krüger, B., Zanis, P., Syrakov,
D., Katragkou, E., Trapp, W., Melas, D., Chervenkov, H., Tegoulias, I., and
Halenka, T.: Modelling the effects of climate change on air quality over
Central and Eastern Europe: concept, evaluation and projections, Clim. Res.,
53, 179–203, https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01072, 2012.
Kampa, M. and Castanas, E.: Human health effects of air pollution, Environ.
Pollut., 151, 362–367, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENVPOL.2007.06.012, 2008.
Katragkou, E., García-Díez, M., Vautard, R., Sobolowski, S., Zanis,
P., Alexandri, G., Cardoso, R. M., Colette, A., Fernandez, J., Gobiet, A.,
Goergen, K., Karacostas, T., Knist, S., Mayer, S., Soares, P. M. M.,
Pytharoulis, I., Tegoulias, I., Tsikerdekis, A., and Jacob, D.: Regional
climate hindcast simulations within EURO-CORDEX: evaluation of a WRF
multi-physics ensemble, Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 603–618,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-603-2015, 2015.
Kerkhoff, C., Künsch, H. R., and Schär, C.: A Bayesian Hierarchical
Model for Heterogeneous RCM–GCM Multimodel Ensembles, J. Climate, 28,
6249–6266, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00606.1, 2015.
Kinney, P. L.: Climate Change, Air Quality, and Human Health, Am. J. Prev.
Med., 35, 459–467, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.025, 2008.
Klimont, Z., Smith, S. J., and Cofala, J.: The last decade of global
anthropogenic sulfur dioxide: 2000–2011 emissions, Environ. Res. Lett., 8,
014003, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014003, 2013.
Klimont, Z., Kupiainen, K., Heyes, C., Purohit, P., Cofala, J., Rafaj, P.,
Borken-Kleefeld, J., and Schöpp, W.: Global anthropogenic emissions of
particulate matter including black carbon, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17,
8681–8723, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-8681-2017, 2017.
Knutti, R. and Sedláček, J.: Robustness and uncertainties in the new
CMIP5 climate model projections, Nat. Clim. Chang., 3, 369–373,
https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE1716, 2012.
Kotlarski, S., Keuler, K., Christensen, O. B., Colette, A., Déqué,
M., Gobiet, A., Goergen, K., Jacob, D., Lüthi, D., van Meijgaard, E.,
Nikulin, G., Schär, C., Teichmann, C., Vautard, R., Warrach-Sagi, K., and
Wulfmeyer, V.: Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard
evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble, Geosci. Model Dev., 7,
1297–1333, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1297-2014, 2014.
Krinner, G., Viovy, N., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Ogée, J., Polcher,
J., Friedlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Sitch, S., and Prentice, I. C.: A dynamic
global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere
system, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 19, GB1015, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GB002199, 2005.
Lacressonnière, G., Peuch, V.-H., Vautard, R., Arteta, J., Déqué,
M., Joly, M., and Josse, B.: European air quality in the 2030s and 2050s:
Impacts of global and regional emission trends and of climate change, Atmos.
Environ., 92, 348–358, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2014.04.033, 2014.
Lacressonnière, G., Foret, G., Beekmann, M., Siour, G., Engardt, M.,
Gauss, M., Watson, L., Andersson, C., Colette, A., Josse, B., Marécal,
V., Nyiri, A., and Vautard, R.: Impacts of regional climate change on air
quality projections and associated uncertainties, Climatic Change, 136,
309–324, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1619-z, 2016.
Lacressonnière, G., Watson, L., Gauss, M., Magnuz, E., Andersson, C. B.
M., Augustin, C., Gilles, F., Josse, B., Marécal, V., Nyiri, A., Siour,
G., Sobolowski, S., and Vautard, R.: Particulate matter air pollution in
Europe in a +2 ∘C warming world, Atmos. Environ., 154, 129–140,
https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2017.01.037, 2017.
Langner, J., Engardt, M., Baklanov, A., Christensen, J. H., Gauss, M., Geels,
C., Hedegaard, G. B., Nuterman, R., Simpson, D., Soares, J., Sofiev, M.,
Wind, P., and Zakey, A.: A multi-model study of impacts of climate change on
surface ozone in Europe, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 10423–10440,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-10423-2012, 2012.
Lathière, J., Hauglustaine, D. A., De Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Krinner,
G., and Folberth, G. A.: Past and future changes in biogenic volatile organic
compound emissions simulated with a global dynamic vegetation model, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 32, L20818, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024164, 2005.
Laurent, B., Marticorena, B., Bergametti, G., Chazette, P., Maignan, F., and
Schmechtig, C.: Simulation of the mineral dust emission frequencies from
desert areas of China and Mongolia using an aerodynamic roughness length map
derived from the POLDER/ADEOS 1 surface products, J. Geophys. Res., 110,
D18S04, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004JD005013, 2005.
Lemaire, V. E. P., Colette, A., and Menut, L.: Using statistical models to
explore ensemble uncertainty in climate impact studies: the example of air
pollution in Europe, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2559–2574,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2559-2016, 2016.
Liao, H., Chen, W.-T., and Seinfeld, J. H.: Role of climate change in global
predictions of future tropospheric ozone and aerosols, J. Geophys. Res., 111,
D12304, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006852, 2006.
Madec, G. and Delecluse, P.: OPA 8.1 Ocean General Circulation Model
Reference Manual, Inst. Pierre Simon Laplace des Sci. l'environnement Glob.,
available at:
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Gurvan_Madec/publication/243055542_OPA_81_Ocean_General_Circulation_Model_reference_manual/links/02e7e51d1b695c81c5000000/OPA-81-Ocean-General-Circulation-Model-reference-manual.pdf
(last access: 26 January 2018), 1998.
Markakis, K., Valari, M., Colette, A., Sanchez, O., Perrussel, O., Honore,
C., Vautard, R., Klimont, Z., and Rao, S.: Air quality in the mid-21st
century for the city of Paris under two climate scenarios; from the regional
to local scale, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 7323–7340,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-7323-2014, 2014.
Marticorena, B. and Bergametti, G.: Modeling the atmospheric dust cycle: 1.
Design of a soil-derived dust emission scheme, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 16415,
https://doi.org/10.1029/95JD00690, 1995.
Megaritis, A. G., Fountoukis, C., Charalampidis, P. E., Denier van der Gon,
H. A. C., Pilinis, C., and Pandis, S. N.: Linking climate and air quality
over Europe: effects of meteorology on PM2.5 concentrations, Atmos.
Chem. Phys., 14, 10283–10298, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-10283-2014,
2014.
Meinshausen, M., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M. L. T.,
Lamarque, J.-F., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K.,
Thomson, A., Velders, G. J. M., and van Vuuren, D. P. P.: The RCP greenhouse
gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300, Climatic Change,
109, 21–241, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z, 2011.
Meleux, F., Solmon, F., and Giorgi, F.: Increase in summer European ozone
amounts due to climate change, Atmos. Environ., 41, 7577–7587,
https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2007.05.048, 2007.
Menut, L., Tripathi, O. P., Colette, A., Vautard, R., Menut, L., Flaounas,
E., Tripathi, O. P., Vautard, R., and Bessagnet, B.: Evaluation of regional
climate simulations for air quality modelling purposes, Clim. Dynam., 40,
2515–2533, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1345-9, 2012.
Menut, L., Bessagnet, B., Khvorostyanov, D., Beekmann, M., Blond, N.,
Colette, A., Coll, I., Curci, G., Foret, G., Hodzic, A., Mailler, S., Meleux,
F., Monge, J.-L., Pison, I., Siour, G., Turquety, S., Valari, M., Vautard,
R., and Vivanco, M. G.: CHIMERE 2013: a model for regional atmospheric
composition modelling, Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 981–1028,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-981-2013, 2013.
Menut, L., Rea, G., Mailler, S., Khvorostyanov, D., and Turquety, S.: Aerosol
forecast over the Mediterranean area during July 2013 (ADRIMED/CHARMEX),
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 7897–7911, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-7897-2015,
2015.
Olesen, J. E., Carter, T. R., Díaz-Ambrona, C. H., Fronzek, S., Heidmann,
T., Hickler, T., Holt, T., Minguez, M. I., Morales, P., Palutikof, J. P.,
Quemada, M., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Rubæk, G. H., Sau, F., Smith, B., and Sykes,
M. T.: Uncertainties in projected impacts of climate change on European
agriculture and terrestrial ecosystems based on scenarios from regional
climate models, Climatic Change, 81, 123–143,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9216-1, 2007.
Pacifico, F., Folberth, G. A., Jones, C. D., Harrison, S. P., and Collins, W.
J.: Sensitivity of biogenic isoprene emissions to past, present, and future
environmental conditions and implications for atmospheric chemistry, J.
Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 117, D22302, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018276, 2012.
Petetin, H., Beekmann, M., Sciare, J., Bressi, M., Rosso, A., Sanchez, O.,
and Ghersi, V.: A novel model evaluation approach focusing on local and
advected contributions to urban PM2.5 levels – application to
Paris, France, Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 1483–1505,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1483-2014, 2014.
Pope, C. A. and Dockery, D. W.: Health Effects of Fine Particulate Air
Pollution: Lines that Connect, J. Air Waste Manage., 56, 709–742,
https://doi.org/10.1080/10473289.2006.10464485, 2006.
Pope, C. A., Ezzati, M., and Dockery, D. W.: Fine-Particulate Air Pollution
and Life Expectancy in the United States, N. Engl. J. Med., 360, 376–386,
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMsa0805646, 2009.
Rea, G., Turquety, S., Menut, L., Briant, R., Mailler, S., and Siour, G.:
Source contributions to 2012 summertime aerosols in the Euro-Mediterranean
region, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 8013–8036,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8013-2015, 2015.
Sartelet, K. N., Couvidat, F., Seigneur, C., and Roustan, Y.: Impact of
biogenic emissions on air quality over Europe and North America, Atmos.
Environ., 53, 131–141, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2011.10.046, 2012.
Seinfeld, J. H. and Pandis, S. N.: Atmospheric chemistry and physics: from
air pollution to climate change, John Wiley & Sons, 2016.
Shindell, D. T., Lamarque, J.-F., Schulz, M., Flanner, M., Jiao, C., Chin,
M., Young, P. J., Lee, Y. H., Rotstayn, L., Mahowald, N., Milly, G.,
Faluvegi, G., Balkanski, Y., Collins, W. J., Conley, A. J., Dalsoren, S.,
Easter, R., Ghan, S., Horowitz, L., Liu, X., Myhre, G., Nagashima, T., Naik,
V., Rumbold, S. T., Skeie, R., Sudo, K., Szopa, S., Takemura, T.,
Voulgarakis, A., Yoon, J.-H., and Lo, F.: Radiative forcing in the ACCMIP
historical and future climate simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13,
2939–2974, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-2939-2013, 2013.
Szopa, S., Hauglustaine, D. A., Vautard, R., and Menut, L.: Future global
tropospheric ozone changes and impact on European air quality, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 33, L14805, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025860, 2006.
Szopa, S., Balkanski, Y., Schulz, M., Bekki, S., Cugnet, D., Fortems-Cheiney,
A., Turquety, S., Cozic, A., Déandreis, C., Hauglustaine, D., Idelkadi,
A., Lathière, J., Lefevre, F., Marchand, M., Vuolo, R., Yan, N., and
Dufresne, J.-L.: Aerosol and ozone changes as forcing for climate evolution
between 1850 and 2100, Clim. Dynam., 40, 2223–2250,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1408-y, 2013.
Tai, A. P. K., Mickley, L. J., Heald, C. L., and Wu, S.: Effect of
CO2 inhibition on biogenic isoprene emission: Implications for air
quality under 2000 to 2050 changes in climate, vegetation, and land use,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3479–3483, https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50650, 2013.
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., Meehl, G. A., Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J.,
and Meehl, G. A.: An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design, B. Am.
Meteorol. Soc., 93, 485–498, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1, 2012.
Tegen, I., Werner, M., Harrison, S. P., and Kohfeld, K. E.: Relative
importance of climate and land use in determining present and future global
soil dust emission, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L05105,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL019216, 2004.
Teichmann, C., Eggert, B., Elizalde, A., Haensler, A., Jacob, D., Kumar, P.,
Moseley, C., Pfeifer, S., Rechid, D., Remedio, A., Ries, H., Petersen, J.,
Preuschmann, S., Raub, T., Saeed, F., Sieck, K., Weber, T., Teichmann, C.,
Eggert, B., Elizalde, A., Haensler, A., Jacob, D., Kumar, P., Moseley, C.,
Pfeifer, S., Rechid, D., Remedio, A. R., Ries, H., Petersen, J., Preuschmann,
S., Raub, T., Saeed, F., Sieck, K., and Weber, T.: How Does a Regional
Climate Model Modify the Projected Climate Change Signal of the Driving GCM:
A Study over Different CORDEX Regions Using REMO, Atmosphere, 4, 214–236,
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos4020214, 2013.
Thomson, A. M., Calvin, K. V, Smith, S. J., Page Kyle, G., Volke, A., Patel,
P., Delgado-Arias, S., Bond-Lamberty, B., Wise, M. A., Clarke, L. E., and
Edmonds, J. A.: RCP4.5: a pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing by
2100, Climatic Change, 109, 77, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0151-4, 2011.
Vautard, R., Gobiet, A., Sobolowski, S., Kjellström, E., Stegehuis, A.,
Watkiss, P., Mendlik, T., Landgren, O., Nikulin, G., Teichmann, C., and
Jacob, D.: The European climate under a 2 ∘C global warming,
Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 34006, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034006, 2014.
Vautard, R., Colette, A., van Meijgaard, E., Meleux, F., Jan van Oldenborgh,
G., Otto, F., Tobin, I., Yiou, P., Vautard, R., Colette, A., Meijgaard, E.
van, Meleux, F., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Otto, F., Tobin, I., and Yiou, P.:
Attribution of Wintertime Anticyclonic Stagnation Contributing to Air
Pollution in Western Europe, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 99, S70–S75,
https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0113.1, 2018.
Vincent, J., Laurent, B., Losno, R., Bon Nguyen, E., Roullet, P., Sauvage,
S., Chevaillier, S., Coddeville, P., Ouboulmane, N., di Sarra, A. G.,
Tovar-Sánchez, A., Sferlazzo, D., Massanet, A., Triquet, S., Morales
Baquero, R., Fornier, M., Coursier, C., Desboeufs, K., Dulac, F., and
Bergametti, G.: Variability of mineral dust deposition in the western
Mediterranean basin and south-east of France, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16,
8749–8766, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-8749-2016, 2016.
van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., J den Elzen, M. G., Kram, T., van Vliet, J.,
Deetman, S., Isaac, M., Klein Goldewijk, K., Hof, A., Mendoza Beltran, A.,
Oostenrijk, R., and van Ruijven, B.: RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to
keep global mean temperature increase below 2 ∘C, Climatic Change,
109, 95–116, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0152-3, 2011a.
van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard,
K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., Masui, T.,
Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic, N., Smith, S. J., and Rose, S. K.: The
representative concentration pathways: an overview, Climatic Change, 109,
5–31, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z, 2011b.
Wang, W., Bruyère, C., Duda, M., Dudhia, J., Gill, D., Kavulich, M.,
Keene, K., Lin, H.-C., Michalakes, J., Rizvi, S., Zhang, X., Berner, J., and
Smith, K.: WRF ARW Version 3 Modeling System User's Guide, 1–428,
https://doi.org/10.1525/jps.2007.37.1.204, 2015.
Werner, M., Tegen, I., Harrison, S. P., Kohfeld, K. E., Prentice, I. C.,
Balkanski, Y., Rodhe, H., and Roelandt, C.: Seasonal and interannual
variability of the mineral dust cycle under present and glacial climate
conditions, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4744, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002365, 2002.
Wild, M.: Global dimming and brightening: A review, J. Geophys. Res., 114,
D00D16, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011470, 2009.
Woodward, S., Roberts, D. L., and Betts, R. A.: A simulation of the effect of
climate change-induced desertification on mineral dust aerosol, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 32, L18810, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL023482, 2005.
Young, P. J., Arneth, A., Schurgers, G., Zeng, G., and Pyle, J. A.: The
CO2 inhibition of terrestrial isoprene emission significantly affects
future ozone projections, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 2793–2803,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-2793-2009, 2009.
Young, P. J., Archibald, A. T., Bowman, K. W., Lamarque, J.-F., Naik, V.,
Stevenson, D. S., Tilmes, S., Voulgarakis, A., Wild, O., Bergmann, D.,
Cameron-Smith, P., Cionni, I., Collins, W. J., Dalsøren, S. B., Doherty,
R. M., Eyring, V., Faluvegi, G., Horowitz, L. W., Josse, B., Lee, Y. H.,
MacKenzie, I. A., Nagashima, T., Plummer, D. A., Righi, M., Rumbold, S. T.,
Skeie, R. B., Shindell, D. T., Strode, S. A., Sudo, K., Szopa, S., and Zeng,
G.: Pre-industrial to end 21st century projections of tropospheric ozone from
the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP),
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 2063–2090, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-2063-2013,
2013.
Zhang, Q. J., Beekmann, M., Drewnick, F., Freutel, F., Schneider, J., Crippa,
M., Prevot, A. S. H., Baltensperger, U., Poulain, L., Wiedensohler, A.,
Sciare, J., Gros, V., Borbon, A., Colomb, A., Michoud, V., Doussin, J.-F.,
Denier van der Gon, H. A. C., Haeffelin, M., Dupont, J.-C., Siour, G.,
Petetin, H., Bessagnet, B., Pandis, S. N., Hodzic, A., Sanchez, O.,
Honoré, C., and Perrussel, O.: Formation of organic aerosol in the Paris
region during the MEGAPOLI summer campaign: evaluation of the
volatility-basis-set approach within the CHIMERE model, Atmos. Chem. Phys.,
13, 5767–5790, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-5767-2013, 2013.
Short summary
Multiple future scenario sets have been compared to reference simulations in order to assess the effects of different climate change drivers (regional climate, anthropogenic emissions, long-range transport) on the concentration of PM10 and its components. The effect of different meteorological parameters has been explored on the concentration of PM components in the case of changes due to regional climate. A cumulative impact study on the three aforementioned drivers has also been included.
Multiple future scenario sets have been compared to reference simulations in order to assess the...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint