Articles | Volume 26, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-15479-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-15479-2026
Research article
 | 
04 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 04 Nov 2026

Evidence for Hunga-Tonga eruption influence on the anomalously strong Northern-Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex in 2024/2025

Ales Kuchar, Matthias Stocker, Alistair Bell, Bruno Lehner, Jessica Kult-Herdin, Gabriel Chiodo, Timofei Sukhodolov, Eugene Rozanov, Gunter Stober, and Harald E. Rieder

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Cited articles

Abalos, M., Birner, T., Chrysanthou, A., Davis, S., de la Cámara, A., Dhomse, S., Garny, H., Hegglin, M. I., Hubert, D., Ivaniha, O., Keeble, J., Linz, M., Minganti, D., Neu, J., Plummer, D., Saunders, L., Shah, K., Stiller, G., Tourpali, K., Waugh, D., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Chipperfield, M. P., Jöckel, P., Josse, B., Marchand, M., Martineau, P., Morgenstern, O., Sukhodolov, T., Watanabe, S., and Yamashita, Y.: Evaluation of stratospheric transport in three generations of Chemistry-Climate Models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 5249–5291, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-5249-2026, 2026. a
Andrews, D. G. and McIntyre, M. E.: JR Holton, and CB Leovy, 1987: Middle Atmosphere Dynamics, Academic Press Inc. (London) Ltd., ISBN 0-12-058575-8, 1987. a
APARC: The Hunga Volcanic Eruption Atmospheric Impacts Report, APARC Report 11, World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), wCRP Report 10/2025, https://doi.org/10.34734/FZJ-2025-05237, 2025. a, b, c
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Bednarz, E. M., Butler, A. H., Wang, X., Zhuo, Z., Yu, W., Stenchikov, G., Toohey, M., and Zhu, Y.: Indirect climate impacts of the Hunga eruption, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 197–215, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-197-2026, 2026. a, b, c
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Short summary
We investigated why the Northern Hemisphere winter polar vortex became unusually strong in the winter of 2024/2025. Using satellite and reanalysis datasets, and model simulations, we found that extra water erupted high in the atmosphere by the 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption led to cooling of polar latitudes of the upper atmosphere, helping the winds aloft intensify. This link suggests such volcanic eruptions can shape winters in the upper atmosphere for several years.
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