Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-3471-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-3471-2023
Research article
 | 
20 Mar 2023
Research article |  | 20 Mar 2023

Assessing the climate and air quality effects of future aerosol mitigation in India using a global climate model combined with statistical downscaling

Tuuli Miinalainen, Harri Kokkola, Antti Lipponen, Antti-Pekka Hyvärinen, Vijay Kumar Soni, Kari E. J. Lehtinen, and Thomas Kühn

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Cited articles

Amann, M., Bertok, I., Borken-Kleefeld, J., Cofala, J., Heyes, C., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Klimont, Z., Nguyen, B., Posch, M., Rafaj, P., Sandler, R., Schöpp, W., Wagner, F., and Winiwarter, W.: Cost-effective control of air quality and greenhouse gases in Europe: Modeling and policy applications, Environ. Model. Softw., 26, 1489–1501, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.07.012, 2011. a
AMAP: AMAP Assessment 2015: Black carbon and ozone as Arctic climate forcers, Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway, https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/amap-assessment-2015-black-carbon-and-ozone-as-arctic-climate-forcers/1299 (last access: 14 March 2023), 2015. a
Auret, L. and Aldrich, C.: Interpretation of nonlinear relationships between process variables by use of random forests, Miner. Eng., 35, 27–42, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mineng.2012.05.008, 2012. a
Backman, J., Schmeisser, L., and Asmi, E.: Asian Emissions Explain Much of the Arctic Black Carbon Events, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091913, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091913, 2021. a
Bawase, M., Sathe, Y., Khandaskar, H., and Thipse, S.: Chemical composition and source attribution of PM2.5 and PM10 in Delhi-National Capital Region (NCR) of India: results from an extensive seasonal campaign, J. Atmos. Chem., 78, 35–58, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10874-020-09412-7, 2021. a
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Short summary
We simulated the effects of aerosol emission mitigation on both global and regional radiative forcing and city-level air quality with a global-scale climate model. We used a machine learning downscaling approach to bias-correct the PM2.5 values obtained from the global model for the Indian megacity New Delhi. Our results indicate that aerosol mitigation could result in both improved air quality and less radiative heating for India.
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