Articles | Volume 17, issue 20
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 12341–12360, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12341-2017
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 12341–12360, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12341-2017

Research article 17 Oct 2017

Research article | 17 Oct 2017

Multi-model ensemble simulations of olive pollen distribution in Europe in 2014: current status and outlook

Mikhail Sofiev et al.

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Cited articles

Aguilera, F., Ruiz, L., Fornaciari, M., Romano, B., Galán, C., Oteros, J., Ben Dhiab, A., Msallem, M., and Orlandi, F.: Heat accumulation period in the Mediterranean region: phenological response of the olive in different climate areas (Spain, Italy and Tunisia), Int. J. Biometeorol., 58, 867–876, 2013.
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Alba, F. and Diaz De La Guardia, C.: The effect of air temperature on the starting dates of the Ulmus, Platanus and Olea pollen seasons in the SE Iberian Peninsula, Aerobiologia, 14, 191–194, 1998.
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Short summary
This work presents the features and evaluates the quality of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service forecasts of olive pollen distribution in Europe. It is shown that the models can predict the main features of the observed pollen distribution but have more difficulties in capturing the season start and end, which appeared shifted by a few days. We also demonstrated that the combined use of model predictions with up-to-date measurements (data fusion) can strongly improve the results.
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