Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021
Research article
 | 
18 May 2021
Research article |  | 18 May 2021

Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios

Lixia Zhang, Laura J. Wilcox, Nick J. Dunstone, David J. Paynter, Shuai Hu, Massimo Bollasina, Donghuan Li, Jonathan K. P. Shonk, and Liwei Zou

Related authors

Competing effects of aerosol reductions and circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze
Liang Guo, Laura J. Wilcox, Massimo Bollasina, Steven T. Turnock, Marianne T. Lund, and Lixia Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 15299–15308, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15299-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15299-2021, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Aerosols | Research Activity: Atmospheric Modelling and Data Analysis | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Physics (physical properties and processes)
How to trace the origins of short-lived atmospheric species: an Arctic example
Anderson Da Silva, Louis Marelle, Jean-Christophe Raut, Yvette Gramlich, Karolina Siegel, Sophie L. Haslett, Claudia Mohr, and Jennie L. Thomas
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 5331–5354, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-5331-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-5331-2025, 2025
Short summary
Dust-producing weather patterns of the North American Great Plains
Stuart Evans
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 4833–4845, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4833-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4833-2025, 2025
Short summary
High-resolution air quality maps for Bucharest using a mixed-effects modeling framework
Camelia Talianu, Jeni Vasilescu, Doina Nicolae, Alexandru Ilie, Andrei Dandocsi, Anca Nemuc, and Livio Belegante
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 4639–4654, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4639-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-4639-2025, 2025
Short summary
Construction and application of a pollen emissions model based on phenology and random forests
Jiangtao Li, Xingqin An, Zhaobin Sun, Caihua Ye, Qing Hou, Yuxin Zhao, and Zhe Liu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 3583–3602, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3583-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3583-2025, 2025
Short summary
The impact of uncertainty in black carbon's refractive index on simulated optical depth and radiative forcing
Ruth A. R. Digby, Knut von Salzen, Adam H. Monahan, Nathan P. Gillett, and Jiangnan Li
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 3109–3130, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3109-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3109-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Amann, M., Bertok, I., Borken-Kleefeld, J., Cofala, J., Heyes, C., Hoglund-Isaksson, L., Kiesewetter, G., Klimont, Z., Schöpp, W., Vellinga, N., and Winiwarter, W.: Adjusted historic emission data, projections, and optimized emission reduction targets for 2030 – A comparison with COM data 2013, Part A: Results for EU-28, TSAP Report #16A, version 1.1., IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria, 2015. 
An, Z., Huang, R., Zhang, R., Tie, X., Li, G., Cao, J., Zhou, W., Shi, Z., Han, Y., Gu, Z., and Ji, Y.: Severe haze in northern China: A synergy of anthropogenic emissions and atmospheric processes, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 116, 8657–8666, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1900125116, 2019. 
Bellouin, N., Rae, J., Jones, A., Johnson, C., Haywood, J., and Boucher, O.: Aerosol forcing in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations by HadGEM2-ES and the role of ammonium nitrate, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D20206, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016074, 2011. 
Cai, W., Li, K., Liao, H., Wang, H., and Wu, L.: Weather conditions conducive to Beijing severe haze more frequent under climate change, Nat. Clim. Change., 7, 257–62, 2017. 
Callahan, C. W. and Mankin, J. S.: The influence of internal climate variability on projections of synoptically driven Beijing haze, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, e2020GL088548. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088548, 2020. 
Download
Short summary
The projected frequency of circulation patterns associated with haze events and global warming increases significantly due to weakening of the East Asian winter monsoon. Rapid reduction in anthropogenic aerosol further increases the frequency of circulation patterns, but haze events are less dangerous. We revealed competing effects of aerosol emission reductions on future haze events through their direct contribution to haze intensity and their influence on the atmospheric circulation patterns.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint