Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-6781-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-6781-2026
Research article
 | 
19 May 2026
Research article |  | 19 May 2026

Future volcanic eruptions may delay the recovery of lower stratospheric ozone over Antarctica and Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes

Man Mei Chim, Nathan Luke Abraham, Thomas J. Aubry, Ben Johnson, Hella Garny, Susan Solomon, and Anja Schmidt

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Cited articles

Aubry, T. J., Jellinek, A. M., Degruyter, W., Bonadonna, C., Radić, V., Clyne, M., and Quainoo, A.: Impact of global warming on the rise of volcanic plumes and implications for future volcanic aerosol forcing, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025405, 2016. 
Bednarz, E. M., Hossaini, R., Chipperfield, M. P., Abraham, N. L., and Braesicke, P.: Atmospheric impacts of chlorinated very short-lived substances over the recent past – Part 1: Stratospheric chlorine budget and the role of transport, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 10657–10676, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-10657-2022, 2022. 
Bethke, I., Outten, S., Otterå, O. H., Hawkins, E., Wagner, S., Sigl, M., and Thorne, P.: Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability, Nat. Clim. Change, 7, 799–805, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3394, 2017. 
Bobrowski, N., Hönninger, G., Galle, B., and Platt, U.: Detection of bromine monoxide in a volcanic plume, Nature, 423, 273–276, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01625, 2003. 
Bodeker, G. E. and Kremser, S.: Indicators of Antarctic ozone depletion: 1979 to 2019, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 5289–5300, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5289-2021, 2021. 
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Sulfate aerosols from explosive eruptions can provide surfaces for chemical reactions destroying ozone. Assessing the effects of volcanic sulfate aerosols is crucial for understanding future ozone recovery. We find sporadic eruptions can induce a small delay in stratospheric ozone recovery by a few years over Antarctica and Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Our results highlight the importance to continuously monitor atmospheric composition and processes to understand changes in ozone recovery.
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