Articles | Volume 22, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-14751-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-14751-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Multidecadal increases in global tropospheric ozone derived from ozonesonde and surface site observations: can models reproduce ozone trends?
Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Montana,
Missoula, MT 59812, USA
current address: Division of Energy, Matter & Systems,
University of Missouri – Kansas City, Kansas City, MO 64110, USA
Loretta J. Mickley
John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard
University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Junhua Liu
GESTAR II, Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD 21251, USA
Atmospheric Chemistry and Dynamics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space
Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Luke D. Oman
Atmospheric Chemistry and Dynamics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space
Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Montana,
Missoula, MT 59812, USA
Related authors
Amy Christiansen, Loretta J. Mickley, and Lu Hu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 4569–4589, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4569-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4569-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this work, we provide an additional constraint on emissions and trends of nitrogen oxides using nitrate wet deposition (NWD) fluxes over the United States and Europe from 1980–2020. We find that NWD measurements constrain total NOx emissions well. We also find evidence of NOx emission overestimates in both domains, but especially over Europe, where NOx emissions are overestimated by a factor of 2. Reducing NOx emissions over Europe improves model representation of ozone at the surface.
Yunqian Zhu, Hideharu Akiyoshi, Valentina Aquila, Elizabeth Asher, Ewa M. Bednarz, Slimane Bekki, Christoph Brühl, Amy H. Butler, Parker Case, Simon Chabrillat, Gabriel Chiodo, Margot Clyne, Peter R. Colarco, Sandip Dhomse, Lola Falletti, Eric Fleming, Ben Johnson, Andrin Jörimann, Mahesh Kovilakam, Gerbrand Koren, Ales Kuchar, Nicolas Lebas, Qing Liang, Cheng-Cheng Liu, Graham Mann, Michael Manyin, Marion Marchand, Olaf Morgenstern, Paul Newman, Luke D. Oman, Freja F. Østerstrøm, Yifeng Peng, David Plummer, Ilaria Quaglia, William Randel, Samuel Rémy, Takashi Sekiya, Stephen Steenrod, Timofei Sukhodolov, Simone Tilmes, Kostas Tsigaridis, Rei Ueyama, Daniele Visioni, Xinyue Wang, Shingo Watanabe, Yousuke Yamashita, Pengfei Yu, Wandi Yu, Jun Zhang, and Zhihong Zhuo
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 5487–5512, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5487-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5487-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
To understand the climate impact of the 2022 Hunga volcanic eruption, we developed a climate model–observation comparison project. The paper describes the protocols and models that participate in the experiments. We designed several experiments to achieve our goals of this activity: (1) to evaluate the climate model performance and (2) to understand the Earth system responses to this eruption.
Lifei Yin, Yiqi Zheng, Bin Bai, Bingqing Zhang, Rachel Silvern, Jingqiu Mao, Loretta Mickley, and Pengfei Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2872, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2872, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).
Short summary
Short summary
This study improves GEOS-Chem simulations of PM2.5–temperature sensitivity and identifies key processes driving regional variability across the US. We show that chemical production dominates in the east, primary emissions in the west, and transport processes affect interannual variability. Results highlight the need for accurate temperature-dependent process representation in air quality models.
Wade Permar, Mercedes Tucker, and Lu Hu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2937, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2937, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Furanoids are VOCs that act as major OH sinks and ozone precursors in the atmosphere. We evaluate PTR-ToF-MS measurements of five furanoids under lab conditions. Sensitivities were stable across humidity and electric field changes, though a few compounds fragmented or formed hydrated ions. Long-term gas standard concentrations were also very stable. Consequently, PTR-ToF-MS accurately measures furanoids with calibration, though is likely affected by interferences from unknown ions and fragments.
Caterina Mogno, Peter R. Colarco, Allison B. Collow, Sampa Das, Sarah A. Strode, Vanessa Valenti, Michael E. Manyin, Qing Liang, Luke Oman, Stephen D. Steenrod, and K. Emma Knowland
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2354, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2354, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).
Short summary
Short summary
We investigated a climate model's ability to simulate atmospheric aerosols focusing on the relationship between mass and optical properties, by comparing predictions with observations. Our analysis revealed that model errors in aerosol scattering primarily stem from inaccurate particle mass concentrations and relative humidity, rather than flawed optical property assumptions in the model. These findings point out improvements for enhancing the accuracy for aerosols representation in our model.
Amir H. Souri, Gonzalo González Abad, Bryan N. Duncan, and Luke D. Oman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1679, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1679, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).
Short summary
Short summary
We create long-term maps of PO3 magnitudes along with their corresponding sensitivity maps. This is achieved using a deep learning parameterization method that relies on satellite data, atmospheric models, and ground-based remote sensing. Our approach provides more quantitative information than commonly used methods that depend on ratio-based indicators (such as HCHO/NO2). Additionally, our method considers light and water vapor, making it suitable for applications with GEO satellites.
Joseph O. Palmo, Colette L. Heald, Donald R. Blake, Ilann Bourgeois, Matthew Coggon, Jeff Collett, Frank Flocke, Alan Fried, Georgios Gkatzelis, Samuel Hall, Lu Hu, Jose L. Jimenez, Pedro Campuzano-Jost, I-Ting Ku, Benjamin Nault, Brett Palm, Jeff Peischl, Ilana Pollack, Amy Sullivan, Joel Thornton, Carsten Warneke, Armin Wisthaler, and Lu Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1969, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates ozone production within wildfire smoke plumes as they age, using both aircraft observations and models. We find that the chemical environment and resulting ozone production within smoke changes as plumes evolve, with implications for climate and public health.
Bryan N. Duncan, Daniel C. Anderson, Arlene M. Fiore, Joanna Joiner, Nickolay A. Krotkov, Can Li, Dylan B. Millet, Julie M. Nicely, Luke D. Oman, Jason M. St. Clair, Joshua D. Shutter, Amir H. Souri, Sarah A. Strode, Brad Weir, Glenn M. Wolfe, Helen M. Worden, and Qindan Zhu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 13001–13023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-13001-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-13001-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Trace gases emitted to or formed within the atmosphere may be chemically or physically removed from the atmosphere. One trace gas, the hydroxyl radical (OH), is responsible for initiating the chemical removal of many trace gases, including some greenhouse gases. Despite its importance, scientists have not been able to adequately measure OH. In this opinion piece, we discuss promising new methods to indirectly constrain OH using satellite data of trace gases that control the abundance of OH.
Yingjie Shen, Rudra P. Pokhrel, Amy P. Sullivan, Ezra J. T. Levin, Lauren A. Garofalo, Delphine K. Farmer, Wade Permar, Lu Hu, Darin W. Toohey, Teresa Campos, Emily V. Fischer, and Shane M. Murphy
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 12881–12901, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12881-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12881-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The magnitude and evolution of brown carbon (BrC) absorption remain unclear, with uncertainty in climate models. Data from the WE-CAN airborne experiment show that model parameterizations overestimate the mass absorption cross section (MAC) of BrC. Observed decreases in BrC absorption with chemical markers are due to decreasing organic aerosol (OA) mass rather than a decreasing BrC MAC, which is currently implemented in models. Water-soluble BrC contributes 23 % of total absorption at 660 nm.
Amir H. Souri, Bryan N. Duncan, Sarah A. Strode, Daniel C. Anderson, Michael E. Manyin, Junhua Liu, Luke D. Oman, Zhen Zhang, and Brad Weir
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 8677–8701, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-8677-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-8677-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We explore a new method of using the wealth of information obtained from satellite observations of Aura OMI NO2, HCHO, and MERRA-2 reanalysis in NASA’s GEOS model equipped with an efficient tropospheric OH (TOH) estimator to enhance the representation of TOH spatial distribution and its long-term trends. This new framework helps us pinpoint regional inaccuracies in TOH and differentiate between established prior knowledge and newly acquired information from satellites on TOH trends.
Amy Christiansen, Loretta J. Mickley, and Lu Hu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 4569–4589, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4569-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-4569-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this work, we provide an additional constraint on emissions and trends of nitrogen oxides using nitrate wet deposition (NWD) fluxes over the United States and Europe from 1980–2020. We find that NWD measurements constrain total NOx emissions well. We also find evidence of NOx emission overestimates in both domains, but especially over Europe, where NOx emissions are overestimated by a factor of 2. Reducing NOx emissions over Europe improves model representation of ozone at the surface.
Xu Feng, Loretta J. Mickley, Michelle L. Bell, Tianjia Liu, Jenny A. Fisher, and Maria Val Martin
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 2985–3007, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2985-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2985-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
During severe wildfire seasons, smoke can have a significant impact on air quality in Australia. Our study demonstrates that characterization of the smoke plume injection fractions greatly affects estimates of surface smoke PM2.5. Using the plume behavior predicted by the machine learning method leads to the best model agreement with observed surface PM2.5 in key cities across Australia, with smoke PM2.5 accounting for 5 %–52 % of total PM2.5 on average during fire seasons from 2009 to 2020.
Adriana Rocha-Lima, Peter R. Colarco, Anton S. Darmenov, Edward P. Nowottnick, Arlindo M. da Silva, and Luke D. Oman
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 2443–2464, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2443-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2443-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Observations show an increasing aerosol optical depth trend in the Middle East between 2003–2012. We evaluate the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model's ability to capture these trends and examine the meteorological and surface parameters driving dust emissions. Our results highlight the importance of data assimilation for long-term trends of atmospheric aerosols and support the hypothesis that vegetation cover loss may have contributed to increasing dust emissions in the period.
Daniel C. Anderson, Bryan N. Duncan, Julie M. Nicely, Junhua Liu, Sarah A. Strode, and Melanie B. Follette-Cook
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 6319–6338, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6319-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6319-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We describe a methodology that combines machine learning, satellite observations, and 3D chemical model output to infer the abundance of the hydroxyl radical (OH), a chemical that removes many trace gases from the atmosphere. The methodology successfully captures the variability of observed OH, although further observations are needed to evaluate absolute accuracy. Current satellite observations are of sufficient quality to infer OH, but retrieval validation in the remote tropics is needed.
Ruijun Dang, Daniel J. Jacob, Viral Shah, Sebastian D. Eastham, Thibaud M. Fritz, Loretta J. Mickley, Tianjia Liu, Yi Wang, and Jun Wang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 6271–6284, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6271-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6271-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We use the GEOS-Chem model to better understand the magnitude and trend in free tropospheric NO2 over the contiguous US. Model underestimate of background NO2 is largely corrected by considering aerosol nitrate photolysis. Increase in aircraft emissions affects satellite retrievals by altering the NO2 shape factor, and this effect is expected to increase in future. We show the importance of properly accounting for the free tropospheric background in interpreting NO2 observations from space.
Lixu Jin, Wade Permar, Vanessa Selimovic, Damien Ketcherside, Robert J. Yokelson, Rebecca S. Hornbrook, Eric C. Apel, I-Ting Ku, Jeffrey L. Collett Jr., Amy P. Sullivan, Daniel A. Jaffe, Jeffrey R. Pierce, Alan Fried, Matthew M. Coggon, Georgios I. Gkatzelis, Carsten Warneke, Emily V. Fischer, and Lu Hu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 5969–5991, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5969-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5969-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Air quality in the USA has been improving since 1970 due to anthropogenic emission reduction. Those gains have been partly offset by increased wildfire pollution in the western USA in the past 20 years. Still, we do not understand wildfire emissions well due to limited measurements. Here, we used a global transport model to evaluate and constrain current knowledge of wildfire emissions with recent observational constraints, showing the underestimation of wildfire emissions in the western USA.
Vanessa Selimovic, Damien Ketcherside, Sreelekha Chaliyakunnel, Catherine Wielgasz, Wade Permar, Hélène Angot, Dylan B. Millet, Alan Fried, Detlev Helmig, and Lu Hu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 14037–14058, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-14037-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-14037-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Arctic warming has led to an increase in plants that emit gases in response to stress, but how these gases affect regional chemistry is largely unknown due to lack of observational data. Here we present the most comprehensive gas-phase measurements for this area to date and compare them to predictions from a global transport model. We report 78 gas-phase species and investigate their importance to atmospheric chemistry in the area, with broader implications for similar plant types.
Sarah A. Strode, Ghassan Taha, Luke D. Oman, Robert Damadeo, David Flittner, Mark Schoeberl, Christopher E. Sioris, and Ryan Stauffer
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 15, 6145–6161, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-6145-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-6145-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We use a global atmospheric chemistry model simulation to generate scaling factors that account for the daily cycle of NO2 and ozone. These factors facilitate comparisons between sunrise and sunset observations from SAGE III/ISS and observations from other instruments. We provide the scaling factors as monthly zonal means for different latitudes and altitudes. We find that applying these factors yields more consistent comparisons between observations from SAGE III/ISS and other instruments.
Daniel C. Anderson, Melanie B. Follette-Cook, Sarah A. Strode, Julie M. Nicely, Junhua Liu, Peter D. Ivatt, and Bryan N. Duncan
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6341–6358, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6341-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6341-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The hydroxyl radical (OH) is the most important chemical in the atmosphere for removing certain pollutants, including methane, the second-most-important greenhouse gas. We present a methodology to create an easily modifiable parameterization that can calculate OH concentrations in a computationally efficient way. The parameterization, which predicts OH within 5 %, can be integrated into larger climate models to allow for calculation of the interactions between OH, methane, and other chemicals.
Jerald R. Ziemke, Gordon J. Labow, Natalya A. Kramarova, Richard D. McPeters, Pawan K. Bhartia, Luke D. Oman, Stacey M. Frith, and David P. Haffner
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 14, 6407–6418, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-6407-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-6407-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Seasonal and interannual ozone profile climatologies are produced from combined MLS and MERRA-2 GMI ozone for the general public. Both climatologies extend from pole to pole at altitudes of 0–80 km (1 km spacing) for the time record from 1970 to 2018. These climatologies are important for use as a priori information in satellite ozone retrieval algorithms, as validation of other measured and model-simulated ozone, and in radiative transfer studies of the atmosphere.
Lee T. Murray, Eric M. Leibensperger, Clara Orbe, Loretta J. Mickley, and Melissa Sulprizio
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 5789–5823, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5789-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5789-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Chemical-transport models are tools used to study air pollution and inform public policy. However, they are limited by the availability of archived meteorology. Here, we describe how the GEOS-Chem chemical-transport model may now be driven by meteorology archived from a state-of-the-art general circulation model for past and future climates, allowing it to be used to explore the impact of climate change on air pollution and atmospheric composition.
Sampa Das, Peter R. Colarco, Luke D. Oman, Ghassan Taha, and Omar Torres
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 12069–12090, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-12069-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-12069-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Interactions of extreme fires with weather systems can produce towering smoke plumes that inject aerosols at very high altitudes (> 10 km). Three such major injections, largest at the time in terms of emitted aerosol mass, took place over British Columbia, Canada, in August 2017. We model the transport and impacts of injected aerosols on the radiation balance of the atmosphere. Our model results match the satellite-observed plume transport and residence time at these high altitudes very closely.
Youhua Tang, Huisheng Bian, Zhining Tao, Luke D. Oman, Daniel Tong, Pius Lee, Patrick C. Campbell, Barry Baker, Cheng-Hsuan Lu, Li Pan, Jun Wang, Jeffery McQueen, and Ivanka Stajner
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 2527–2550, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2527-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2527-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Chemical lateral boundary condition (CLBC) impact is essential for regional air quality prediction during intrusion events. We present a model mapping Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) to Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) CB05–AERO6 (Carbon Bond 5; version 6 of the aerosol module) species. Influence depends on distance from the inflow boundary and species and their regional characteristics. We use aerosol optical thickness to derive CLBCs, achieving reasonable prediction.
Yang Li, Loretta J. Mickley, and Jed O. Kaplan
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 57–68, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-57-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-57-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Climate models predict a shift toward warmer, drier environments in southwestern North America. Under future climate, the two main drivers of dust trends play opposing roles: (1) CO2 fertilization enhances vegetation and, in turn, decreases dust, and (2) increasing land use enhances dust emissions from northern Mexico. In the worst-case scenario, elevated dust concentrations spread widely over the domain by 2100 in spring, suggesting a large climate penalty on air quality and human health.
Hélène Angot, Katelyn McErlean, Lu Hu, Dylan B. Millet, Jacques Hueber, Kaixin Cui, Jacob Moss, Catherine Wielgasz, Tyler Milligan, Damien Ketcherside, M. Syndonia Bret-Harte, and Detlev Helmig
Biogeosciences, 17, 6219–6236, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-6219-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-6219-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We report biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs) ambient levels and emission rates from key vegetation species in the Alaskan arctic tundra, providing a new data set to further constrain isoprene chemistry under low NOx conditions in models. We add to the growing body of evidence that climate-induced changes in the vegetation composition will significantly affect the BVOC emission potential of the tundra, with implications for atmospheric oxidation processes and climate feedbacks.
Lei Zhu, Gonzalo González Abad, Caroline R. Nowlan, Christopher Chan Miller, Kelly Chance, Eric C. Apel, Joshua P. DiGangi, Alan Fried, Thomas F. Hanisco, Rebecca S. Hornbrook, Lu Hu, Jennifer Kaiser, Frank N. Keutsch, Wade Permar, Jason M. St. Clair, and Glenn M. Wolfe
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 12329–12345, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-12329-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-12329-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We develop a validation platform for satellite HCHO retrievals using in situ observations from 12 aircraft campaigns. The platform offers an alternative way to quickly assess systematic biases in HCHO satellite products over large domains and long periods, facilitating optimization of retrieval settings and the minimization of retrieval biases. Application to the NASA operational HCHO product indicates that relative biases range from −44.5 % to +112.1 % depending on locations and seasons.
Cited articles
Abalos, M., Polvani, L., Calvo, N., Kinnison, D., Ploeger, F., Randel, W.,
and Solomon, S.: New Insights on the Impact of Ozone-Depleting Substances on
the Brewer-Dobson Circulation, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124,
2435–2451, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029301, 2019.
Ainsworth, E. A., Yendrek, C. R., Sitch, S., Collins, W. J., and Emberson,
L. D.: The Effects of Tropospheric Ozone on Net Primary Productivity and
Implications for Climate Change, Annu. Rev. Plant Biol., 63, 637–661,
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-arplant-042110-103829, 2012.
Akimoto, H., Mori, Y., Sasaki, K., Nakanishi, H., Ohizumi, T., and Itano,
Y.: Analysis of monitoring data of ground-level ozone in Japan for long-term
trend during 1990–2010: Causes of temporal and spatial variation, Atmos.
Environ., 102, 302–310, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.12.001,
2015.
Ancellet, G., Godin-Beekmann, S., Smit, H. G. J., Stauffer, R. M., Van Malderen, R., Bodichon, R., and Pazmiño, A.: Homogenization of the Observatoire de Haute Provence electrochemical concentration cell (ECC) ozonesonde data record: comparison with lidar and satellite observations, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 15, 3105–3120, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-3105-2022, 2022.
Anderson, D. C., Loughner, C. P., Diskin, G., Weinheimer, A., Canty, T. P.,
Salawitch, R. J., Worden, H. M., Fried, A., Mikoviny, T., Wisthaler, A., and
Dickerson, R. R.: Measured and modeled CO and NO y in DISCOVER-AQ: An
evaluation of emissions and chemistry over the eastern US, Atmos. Environ.,
96, 78–87, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.07.004, 2014.
Archibald, A. T., Neu, J. L., Elshorbany, Y. F., Cooper, O. R., Young, P.
J., Akiyoshi, H., Cox, R. A., Coyle, M., Derwent, R. G., Deushi, M., Finco,
A., Frost, G. J., Galbally, I. E., Gerosa, G., Granier, C., Griffiths, P.
T., Hossaini, R., Hu, L., Jöckel, P., Josse, B., Lin, M. Y., Mertens,
M., Morgenstern, O., Naja, M., Naik, V., Oltmans, S., Plummer, D. A.,
Revell, L. E., Saiz-Lopez, A., Saxena, P., Shin, Y. M., Shahid, I.,
Shallcross, D., Tilmes, S., Trickl, T., Wallington, T. J., Wang, T., Worden,
H. M., and Zeng, G.: Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report, Elem. Sci.
Anthr., 8, 034, https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2020.034, 2020.
Bak, J., Baek, K.-H., Kim, J.-H., Liu, X., Kim, J., and Chance, K.: Cross-evaluation of GEMS tropospheric ozone retrieval performance using OMI data and the use of an ozonesonde dataset over East Asia for validation, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 12, 5201–5215, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-12-5201-2019, 2019.
Banerjee, A., Archibald, A. T., Maycock, A. C., Telford, P., Abraham, N. L., Yang, X., Braesicke, P., and Pyle, J. A.: Lightning NOx, a key chemistry–climate interaction: impacts of future climate change and consequences for tropospheric oxidising capacity, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 9871–9881, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-9871-2014, 2014.
Barnes, E. A., Fiore, A. M., and Horowitz, L. W.: Detection of trends in
surface ozone in the presence of climate variability, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, 6112–6129, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024397, 2016.
Bates, K. H. and Jacob, D. J.: A new model mechanism for atmospheric oxidation of isoprene: global effects on oxidants, nitrogen oxides, organic products, and secondary organic aerosol, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 9613–9640, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9613-2019, 2019.
Bell, M. L., Peng, R. D., and Dominici, F.: The Exposure–Response Curve for
Ozone and Risk of Mortality and the Adequacy of Current Ozone Regulations,
Environ. Health Perspect., 114, 532–536, https://doi.org/10.1289/ehp.8816,
2006.
Bey, I., Jacob, D. J., Yantosca, R. M., Logan, J. A., Field, B. D., Fiore,
A. M., Li, Q., Liu, H. Y., Mickley, L. J., and Schultz, M. G.: Global
modeling of tropospheric chemistry with assimilated meteorology: Model
description and evaluation, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 106, 23073–23095,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JD000807, 2001.
Bourgeois, I., Peischl, J., Neuman, J. A., Brown, S. S., Thompson, C. R.,
Aikin, K. C., Allen, H. M., Angot, H., Apel, E. C., Baublitz, C. B., Brewer,
J. F., Campuzano-Jost, P., Commane, R., Crounse, J. D., Daube, B. C.,
DiGangi, J. P., Diskin, G. S., Emmons, L. K., Fiore, A. M., Gkatzelis, G.
I., Hills, A., Hornbrook, R. S., Huey, L. G., Jimenez, J. L., Kim, M.,
Lacey, F., McKain, K., Murray, L. T., Nault, B. A., Parrish, D. D., Ray, E.,
Sweeney, C., Tanner, D., Wofsy, S. C., and Ryerson, T. B.: Large
contribution of biomass burning emissions to ozone throughout the global
remote troposphere, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 118, e2109628118,
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2109628118, 2021.
Bowman, H., Turnock, S., Bauer, S. E., Tsigaridis, K., Deushi, M., Oshima, N., O'Connor, F. M., Horowitz, L., Wu, T., Zhang, J., Kubistin, D., and Parrish, D. D.: Changes in anthropogenic precursor emissions drive shifts in the ozone seasonal cycle throughout the northern midlatitude troposphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 3507–3524, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-3507-2022, 2022.
Boynard, A., Hurtmans, D., Garane, K., Goutail, F., Hadji-Lazaro, J., Koukouli, M. E., Wespes, C., Vigouroux, C., Keppens, A., Pommereau, J.-P., Pazmino, A., Balis, D., Loyola, D., Valks, P., Sussmann, R., Smale, D., Coheur, P.-F., and Clerbaux, C.: Validation of the IASI FORLI/EUMETSAT ozone products using satellite (GOME-2), ground-based (Brewer–Dobson, SAOZ, FTIR) and ozonesonde measurements, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 5125–5152, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-5125-2018, 2018.
Butchart, N., Scaife, A. A., Bourqui, M., de Grandpré, J., Hare, S. H.
E., Kettleborough, J., Langematz, U., Manzini, E., Sassi, F., Shibata, K.,
Shindell, D., and Sigmond, M.: Simulations of anthropogenic change in the
strength of the Brewer–Dobson circulation, Clim. Dynam., 27, 727–741,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0162-4, 2006.
Chang, K.-L., Cooper, O. R., Gaudel, A., Petropavlovskikh, I., and Thouret, V.: Statistical regularization for trend detection: an integrated approach for detecting long-term trends from sparse tropospheric ozone profiles, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 9915–9938, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9915-2020, 2020.
Checa-Garcia, R., Hegglin, M. I., Kinnison, D., Plummer, D. A., and Shine,
K. P.: Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing
Using the CMIP6 Database, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 3264–3273,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076770, 2018.
Christiansen, B., Jepsen, N., Kivi, R., Hansen, G., Larsen, N., and Korsholm, U. S.: Trends and annual cycles in soundings of Arctic tropospheric ozone, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 9347–9364, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-9347-2017, 2017.
Clifton, O. E., Fiore, A. M., Correa, G., Horowitz, L. W., and Naik, V.:
Twenty-first century reversal of the surface ozone seasonal cycle over the
northeastern United States: Reversal of the NE US high-O3 season, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 41, 7343–7350, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061378, 2014.
Cohen, Y., Petetin, H., Thouret, V., Marécal, V., Josse, B., Clark, H., Sauvage, B., Fontaine, A., Athier, G., Blot, R., Boulanger, D., Cousin, J.-M., and Nédélec, P.: Climatology and long-term evolution of ozone and carbon monoxide in the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere (UTLS) at northern midlatitudes, as seen by IAGOS from 1995 to 2013, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 5415–5453, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5415-2018, 2018.
Cooper, O. R., Gao, R.-S., Tarasick, D., Leblanc, T., and Sweeney, C.:
Long-term ozone trends at rural ozone monitoring sites across the United
States, 1990–2010: Rural U.S. Ozone trends, 1990–2010, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 117, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018261, 2012.
Cooper, O. R., Parrish, D. D., Ziemke, J., Balashov, N. V., Cupeiro, M.,
Galbally, I. E., Gilge, S., Horowitz, L., Jensen, N. R., Lamarque, J.-F.,
Naik, V., Oltmans, S. J., Schwab, J., Shindell, D. T., Thompson, A. M.,
Thouret, V., Wang, Y., and Zbinden, R. M.: Global distribution and trends of
tropospheric ozone: An observation-based review, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 2,
000029, https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000029, 2014.
Cooper, O. R., Schultz, M. G., Schröder, S., Chang, K.-L., Gaudel, A.,
Benítez, G. C., Cuevas, E., Fröhlich, M., Galbally, I. E., Molloy,
S., Kubistin, D., Lu, X., McClure-Begley, A., Nédélec, P., O'Brien,
J., Oltmans, S. J., Petropavlovskikh, I., Ries, L., Senik, I., Sjöberg,
K., Solberg, S., Spain, G. T., Spangl, W., Steinbacher, M., Tarasick, D.,
Thouret, V., and Xu, X.: Multi-decadal surface ozone trends at globally
distributed remote locations, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 8, 23,
https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.420, 2020.
De Backer, H., De Muer, D., and De Sadelaer, G.: Comparison of ozone
profiles obtained with Brewer-Mast and Z-ECC sensors during simultaneous
ascents, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 103, 19641–19648,
https://doi.org/10.1029/98JD01711, 1998.
Ding, A. J., Wang, T., Thouret, V., Cammas, J.-P., and Nédélec, P.: Tropospheric ozone climatology over Beijing: analysis of aircraft data from the MOZAIC program, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 1–13, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-1-2008, 2008.
Duncan, B. N.: Interannual and seasonal variability of biomass burning
emissions constrained by satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res., 108,
4100, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002378, 2003.
Eastham, S. D., Weisenstein, D. K., and Barrett, S. R. H.: Development and
evaluation of the unified tropospheric–stratospheric chemistry extension
(UCX) for the global chemistry-transport model GEOS-Chem, Atmos. Environ.,
89, 52–63, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.02.001, 2014.
Fiore, A. M., Oberman, J. T., Lin, M. Y., Zhang, L., Clifton, O. E., Jacob,
D. J., Naik, V., Horowitz, L. W., Pinto, J. P., and Milly, G. P.: Estimating
North American background ozone in U.S. surface air with two independent
global models: Variability, uncertainties, and recommendations, Atmos.
Environ., 96, 284–300, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.07.045,
2014.
Fu, Y. and Tai, A. P. K.: Impact of climate and land cover changes on tropospheric ozone air quality and public health in East Asia between 1980 and 2010, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 10093–10106, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10093-2015, 2015.
Gao, Y., Fu, J. S., Drake, J. B., Lamarque, J.-F., and Liu, Y.: The impact of emission and climate change on ozone in the United States under representative concentration pathways (RCPs), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 9607–9621, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-9607-2013, 2013.
von der Gathen, P., Rex, M., Harris, N. R. P., Lucic, D., Knudsen, B. M.,
Braathen, G. O., De Backer, H., Fabian, R., Fast, H., Gil, M., Kyrö, E.,
Mikkelsen, I. S., Rummukainen, M., Stähelin, J., and Varotsos, C.:
Observational evidence for chemical ozone depletion over the Arctic in
winter 1991–92, Nature, 375, 131–134, https://doi.org/10.1038/375131a0,
1995.
Gaudel, A., Cooper, O. R., Ancellet, G., Barret, B., Boynard, A., Burrows,
J. P., Clerbaux, C., Coheur, P.-F., Cuesta, J., Cuevas, E., Doniki, S.,
Dufour, G., Ebojie, F., Foret, G., Garcia, O., Granados-Muñoz, M. J.,
Hannigan, J. W., Hase, F., Hassler, B., Huang, G., Hurtmans, D., Jaffe, D.,
Jones, N., Kalabokas, P., Kerridge, B., Kulawik, S., Latter, B., Leblanc,
T., Le Flochmoën, E., Lin, W., Liu, J., Liu, X., Mahieu, E.,
McClure-Begley, A., Neu, J. L., Osman, M., Palm, M., Petetin, H.,
Petropavlovskikh, I., Querel, R., Rahpoe, N., Rozanov, A., Schultz, M. G.,
Schwab, J., Siddans, R., Smale, D., Steinbacher, M., Tanimoto, H., Tarasick,
D. W., Thouret, V., Thompson, A. M., Trickl, T., Weatherhead, E., Wespes,
C., Worden, H. M., Vigouroux, C., Xu, X., Zeng, G., and Ziemke, J.:
Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Present-day distribution and trends of
tropospheric ozone relevant to climate and global atmospheric chemistry
model evaluation, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 6, 39,
https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.291, 2018.
Gaudel, A., Cooper, O. R., Chang, K.-L., Bourgeois, I., Ziemke, J. R.,
Strode, S. A., Oman, L. D., Sellitto, P., Nédélec, P., Blot, R.,
Thouret, V., and Granier, C.: Aircraft observations since the 1990s reveal
increases of tropospheric ozone at multiple locations across the Northern
Hemisphere, Sci. Adv., 6, eaba8272, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba8272,
2020.
Gelaro, R., McCarty, W., Suárez, M. J., Todling, R., Molod, A., Takacs,
L., Randles, C. A., Darmenov, A., Bosilovich, M. G., Reichle, R., Wargan,
K., Coy, L., Cullather, R., Draper, C., Akella, S., Buchard, V., Conaty, A.,
da Silva, A. M., Gu, W., Kim, G.-K., Koster, R., Lucchesi, R., Merkova, D.,
Nielsen, J. E., Partyka, G., Pawson, S., Putman, W., Rienecker, M.,
Schubert, S. D., Sienkiewicz, M., and Zhao, B.: The Modern-Era Retrospective
Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2), J. Climate, 30,
5419–5454, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0758.1, 2017.
Gettelman, A., Holton, J. R., and Rosenlof, K. H.: Mass fluxes of O3,
CH4 , N2 O and CF2 Cl2 in the lower stratosphere
calculated from observational data, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 102,
19149–19159, https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD01014, 1997.
Ghude, S. D., Pfister, G. G., Jena, C., van der A, R. J., Emmons, L. K., and
Kumar, R.: Satellite constraints of nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions
from India based on OMI observations and WRF-Chem simulations: Top-down NOx
emission for india, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 423–428,
https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50065, 2013.
Giglio, L., Randerson, J. T., and van der Werf, G. R.: Analysis of daily,
monthly, and annual burned area using the fourth-generation global fire
emissions database (GFED4): Analysis of burned area, J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeo., 118, 317–328, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrg.20042, 2013.
Granier, C., Bessagnet, B., Bond, T., D'Angiola, A., Denier van der Gon, H.,
Frost, G. J., Heil, A., Kaiser, J. W., Kinne, S., Klimont, Z., Kloster, S.,
Lamarque, J.-F., Liousse, C., Masui, T., Meleux, F., Mieville, A., Ohara,
T., Raut, J.-C., Riahi, K., Schultz, M. G., Smith, S. J., Thompson, A., van
Aardenne, J., van der Werf, G. R., and van Vuuren, D. P.: Evolution of
anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of air pollutants at global and
regional scales during the 1980–2010 period, Clim. Change, 109, 163–190,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0154-1, 2011.
Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., Shin, Y. M., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A. T.,
and Pyle, J. A.: On the Changing Role of the Stratosphere on the
Tropospheric Ozone Budget: 1979–2010, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086901, 2020.
Griffiths, P. T., Murray, L. T., Zeng, G., Shin, Y. M., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A. T., Deushi, M., Emmons, L. K., Galbally, I. E., Hassler, B., Horowitz, L. W., Keeble, J., Liu, J., Moeini, O., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Oshima, N., Tarasick, D., Tilmes, S., Turnock, S. T., Wild, O., Young, P. J., and Zanis, P.: Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 4187–4218, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-4187-2021, 2021.
Guenther, A. B., Jiang, X., Heald, C. L., Sakulyanontvittaya, T., Duhl, T., Emmons, L. K., and Wang, X.: The Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature version 2.1 (MEGAN2.1): an extended and updated framework for modeling biogenic emissions, Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 1471–1492, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-1471-2012, 2012.
Hassler, B., McDonald, B. C., Frost, G. J., Borbon, A., Carslaw, D. C.,
Civerolo, K., Granier, C., Monks, P. S., Monks, S., Parrish, D. D., Pollack,
I. B., Rosenlof, K. H., Ryerson, T. B., von Schneidemesser, E., and Trainer,
M.: Analysis of long-term observations of NOx and CO in megacities and
application to constraining emissions inventories: Megacities Observations
and Inventories, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9920–9930,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069894, 2016.
Hegglin, M. I. and Shepherd, T. G.: Large climate-induced changes in
ultraviolet index and stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone flux, Nat. Geosci.,
2, 687–691, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo604, 2009.
Hoesly, R. M., Smith, S. J., Feng, L., Klimont, Z., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Pitkanen, T., Seibert, J. J., Vu, L., Andres, R. J., Bolt, R. M., Bond, T. C., Dawidowski, L., Kholod, N., Kurokawa, J.-I., Li, M., Liu, L., Lu, Z., Moura, M. C. P., O'Rourke, P. R., and Zhang, Q.: Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS), Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 369–408, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-369-2018, 2018.
Holmes, C. D., Bertram, T. H., Confer, K. L., Graham, K. A., Ronan, A. C.,
Wirks, C. K., and Shah, V.: The Role of Clouds in the Tropospheric NOx Cycle: A New Modeling Approach for Cloud Chemistry and Its
Global Implications, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 4980–4990,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081990, 2019.
Hu, L., Jacob, D. J., Liu, X., Zhang, Y., Zhang, L., Kim, P. S., Sulprizio,
M. P., and Yantosca, R. M.: Global budget of tropospheric ozone: Evaluating
recent model advances with satellite (OMI), aircraft (IAGOS), and ozonesonde
observations, Atmos. Environ., 167, 323–334,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.08.036, 2017.
Huang, G., Liu, X., Chance, K., Yang, K., Bhartia, P. K., Cai, Z., Allaart, M., Ancellet, G., Calpini, B., Coetzee, G. J. R., Cuevas-Agulló, E., Cupeiro, M., De Backer, H., Dubey, M. K., Fuelberg, H. E., Fujiwara, M., Godin-Beekmann, S., Hall, T. J., Johnson, B., Joseph, E., Kivi, R., Kois, B., Komala, N., König-Langlo, G., Laneve, G., Leblanc, T., Marchand, M., Minschwaner, K. R., Morris, G., Newchurch, M. J., Ogino, S.-Y., Ohkawara, N., Piters, A. J. M., Posny, F., Querel, R., Scheele, R., Schmidlin, F. J., Schnell, R. C., Schrems, O., Selkirk, H., Shiotani, M., Skrivánková, P., Stübi, R., Taha, G., Tarasick, D. W., Thompson, A. M., Thouret, V., Tully, M. B., Van Malderen, R., Vömel, H., von der Gathen, P., Witte, J. C., and Yela, M.: Validation of 10-year SAO OMI Ozone Profile (PROFOZ) product using ozonesonde observations, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 10, 2455–2475, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-10-2455-2017, 2017.
Hudman, R. C., Moore, N. E., Mebust, A. K., Martin, R. V., Russell, A. R., Valin, L. C., and Cohen, R. C.: Steps towards a mechanistic model of global soil nitric oxide emissions: implementation and space based-constraints, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 7779–7795, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-7779-2012, 2012.
Hulswar, S., Soni, V. K., Sapate, J. P., More, R. S., and Mahajan, A. S.:
Validation of satellite retrieved ozone profiles using in-situ ozonesonde
observations over the Indian Antarctic station, Bharati, Polar Sci., 25,
100547, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2020.100547, 2020.
Jaeglé, L., Wood, R., and Wargan, K.: Multiyear Composite View of Ozone
Enhancements and Stratosphere-to-Troposphere Transport in Dry Intrusions of
Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones: Dry Intrusion Ozone Composites,
J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 122, 13436–13457,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027656, 2017.
Karset, I. H. H., Berntsen, T. K., Storelvmo, T., Alterskjær, K., Grini, A., Olivié, D., Kirkevåg, A., Seland, Ø., Iversen, T., and Schulz, M.: Strong impacts on aerosol indirect effects from historical oxidant changes, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 7669–7690, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-7669-2018, 2018.
Keller, C. A., Long, M. S., Yantosca, R. M., Da Silva, A. M., Pawson, S., and Jacob, D. J.: HEMCO v1.0: a versatile, ESMF-compliant component for calculating emissions in atmospheric models, Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 1409–1417, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1409-2014, 2014.
Kerr, G. H., Waugh, D. W., Strode, S. A., Steenrod, S. D., Oman, L. D., and
Strahan, S. E.: Disentangling the Drivers of the Summertime
Ozone-Temperature Relationship Over the United States, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124, 10503–10524, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030572, 2019.
Knowland, K. E., Ott, L. E., Duncan, B. N., and Wargan, K.: Stratospheric
Intrusion-Influenced Ozone Air Quality Exceedances Investigated in the NASA
MERRA-2 Reanalysis: SI-Influenced O3 exceedances in MERRA-2, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 44, 10691–10701, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074532, 2017.
Koenker, R. and Bassett, G.: Regression Quantiles, Econometrica, 46, 33,
https://doi.org/10.2307/1913643, 1978.
Koumoutsaris, S. and Bey, I.: Can a global model reproduce observed trends in summertime surface ozone levels?, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 6983–6998, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-6983-2012, 2012.
Kumar, P., Kuttippurath, J., von der Gathen, P., Petropavlovskikh, I.,
Johnson, B., McClure-Begley, A., Cristofanelli, P., Bonasoni, P., Barlasina,
M. E., and Sánchez, R.: The Increasing Surface Ozone and Tropospheric
Ozone in Antarctica and Their Possible Drivers, Environ. Sci. Technol., 55,
8542–8553, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.0c08491, 2021.
Lawrence, M. G. and Lelieveld, J.: Atmospheric pollutant outflow from southern Asia: a review, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 11017–11096, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-11017-2010, 2010.
Lefohn, A. S., Shadwick, D., and Oltmans, S. J.: Characterizing changes in
surface ozone levels in metropolitan and rural areas in the United States
for 1980–2008 and 1994–2008, Atmos. Environ., 44, 5199–5210,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.08.049, 2010.
Li, K., Jacob, D. J., Shen, L., Lu, X., De Smedt, I., and Liao, H.: Increases in surface ozone pollution in China from 2013 to 2019: anthropogenic and meteorological influences, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 11423–11433, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11423-2020, 2020.
Lin, M., Horowitz, L. W., Oltmans, S. J., Fiore, A. M., and Fan, S.:
Tropospheric ozone trends at Mauna Loa Observatory tied to decadal climate
variability, Nat. Geosci., 7, 136–143, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2066,
2014.
Lin, M., Horowitz, L. W., Payton, R., Fiore, A. M., and Tonnesen, G.: US surface ozone trends and extremes from 1980 to 2014: quantifying the roles of rising Asian emissions, domestic controls, wildfires, and climate, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 2943–2970, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-2943-2017, 2017.
Lin, M., Horowitz, L. W., Xie, Y., Paulot, F., Malyshev, S., Shevliakova,
E., Finco, A., Gerosa, G., Kubistin, D., and Pilegaard, K.: Vegetation
feedbacks during drought exacerbate ozone air pollution extremes in Europe,
Nat. Clim. Change, 10, 444–451, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0743-y,
2020.
Liu, J., Rodriguez, J. M., Thompson, A. M., Logan, J. A., Douglass, A. R.,
Olsen, M. A., Steenrod, S. D., and Posny, F.: Origins of tropospheric ozone
interannual variation over Réunion: A model investigation: Model
analysis of tropospheric ozone iav, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121,
521–537, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023981, 2016.
Liu, J., Rodriguez, J. M., Steenrod, S. D., Douglass, A. R., Logan, J. A., Olsen, M. A., Wargan, K., and Ziemke, J. R.: Causes of interannual variability over the southern hemispheric tropospheric ozone maximum, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 3279–3299, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-3279-2017, 2017.
Liu, J., Rodriguez, J. M., Oman, L. D., Douglass, A. R., Olsen, M. A., and Hu, L.: Stratospheric impact on the Northern Hemisphere winter and spring ozone interannual variability in the troposphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 6417–6433, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-6417-2020, 2020.
Liu, X., Bhartia, P. K., Chance, K., Spurr, R. J. D., and Kurosu, T. P.: Ozone profile retrievals from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 2521–2537, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-2521-2010, 2010.
Logan, J. A., Staehelin, J., Megretskaia, I. A., Cammas, J.-P., Thouret, V.,
Claude, H., De Backer, H., Steinbacher, M., Scheel, H.-E., Stübi, R.,
Fröhlich, M., and Derwent, R.: Changes in ozone over Europe: Analysis of
ozone measurements from sondes, regular aircraft (MOZAIC) and alpine surface
sites: Changes in ozone over europe, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 117, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016952, 2012.
Lu, X., Zhang, L., Zhao, Y., Jacob, D. J., Hu, Y., Hu, L., Gao, M., Liu, X.,
Petropavlovskikh, I., McClure-Begley, A., and Querel, R.: Surface and
tropospheric ozone trends in the Southern Hemisphere since 1990: possible
linkages to poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, Sci. Bull., 64,
400–409, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2018.12.021, 2019.
Mao, J., Zhao, T., Keller, C. A., Wang, X., McFarland, P. J., Jenkins, J.
M., and Brune, W. H.: Global Impact of Lightning-Produced Oxidants, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 48, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095740, 2021.
Mar, K. A., Ojha, N., Pozzer, A., and Butler, T. M.: Ozone air quality simulations with WRF-Chem (v3.5.1) over Europe: model evaluation and chemical mechanism comparison, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 3699–3728, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3699-2016, 2016.
McDonald, B. C., Gentner, D. R., Goldstein, A. H., and Harley, R. A.:
Long-Term Trends in Motor Vehicle Emissions in U.S. Urban Areas, Environ.
Sci. Technol., 47, 10022–10031, https://doi.org/10.1021/es401034z, 2013.
McDonald, B. C., McKeen, S. A., Cui, Y. Y., Ahmadov, R., Kim, S.-W., Frost,
G. J., Pollack, I. B., Peischl, J., Ryerson, T. B., Holloway, J. S., Graus,
M., Warneke, C., Gilman, J. B., de Gouw, J. A., Kaiser, J., Keutsch, F. N.,
Hanisco, T. F., Wolfe, G. M., and Trainer, M.: Modeling Ozone in the Eastern
U.S. using a Fuel-Based Mobile Source Emissions Inventory, Environ. Sci.
Technol., 52, 7360–7370, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b00778, 2018.
McDuffie, E. E., Smith, S. J., O'Rourke, P., Tibrewal, K., Venkataraman, C., Marais, E. A., Zheng, B., Crippa, M., Brauer, M., and Martin, R. V.: A global anthropogenic emission inventory of atmospheric pollutants from sector- and fuel-specific sources (1970–2017): an application of the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS), Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 3413–3442, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3413-2020, 2020.
McLinden, C. A., Olsen, S. C., Hannegan, B., Wild, O., Prather, M. J., and
Sundet, J.: Stratospheric ozone in 3-D models: A simple chemistry and the
cross-tropopause flux, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 105, 14653–14665,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900124, 2000.
Mills, G., Pleijel, H., Malley, C. S., Sinha, B., Cooper, O. R., Schultz, M.
G., Neufeld, H. S., Simpson, D., Sharps, K., Feng, Z., Gerosa, G., Harmens,
H., Kobayashi, K., Saxena, P., Paoletti, E., Sinha, V., and Xu, X.:
Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Present-day tropospheric ozone
distribution and trends relevant to vegetation, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 6, 47,
https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.302, 2018.
Molod, A., Takacs, L., Suarez, M., and Bacmeister, J.: Development of the GEOS-5 atmospheric general circulation model: evolution from MERRA to MERRA2, Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 1339–1356, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1339-2015, 2015.
Monks, P. S., Archibald, A. T., Colette, A., Cooper, O., Coyle, M., Derwent, R., Fowler, D., Granier, C., Law, K. S., Mills, G. E., Stevenson, D. S., Tarasova, O., Thouret, V., von Schneidemesser, E., Sommariva, R., Wild, O., and Williams, M. L.: Tropospheric ozone and its precursors from the urban to the global scale from air quality to short-lived climate forcer, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 8889–8973, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8889-2015, 2015.
Morgenstern, O., Hegglin, M. I., Rozanov, E., O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Archibald, A. T., Bekki, S., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Deushi, M., Dhomse, S. S., Garcia, R. R., Hardiman, S. C., Horowitz, L. W., Jöckel, P., Josse, B., Kinnison, D., Lin, M., Mancini, E., Manyin, M. E., Marchand, M., Marécal, V., Michou, M., Oman, L. D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Saint-Martin, D., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K., Sudo, K., Tanaka, T. Y., Tilmes, S., Yamashita, Y., Yoshida, K., and Zeng, G.: Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI), Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 639–671, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-639-2017, 2017.
Murray, L. T.: Lightning NOx and Impacts on Air Quality, Curr. Pollut.
Rep., 2, 115–133, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40726-016-0031-7, 2016.
Murray, L. T., Jacob, D. J., Logan, J. A., Hudman, R. C., and Koshak, W. J.:
Optimized regional and interannual variability of lightning in a global
chemical transport model constrained by LIS/OTD satellite data: Iav of
lightning constrained by LIS/OTD, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 117,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD017934, 2012.
Murray, L. T., Leibensperger, E. M., Orbe, C., Mickley, L. J., and Sulprizio, M.: GCAP 2.0: a global 3-D chemical-transport model framework for past, present, and future climate scenarios, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 5789–5823, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5789-2021, 2021.
Myhre, G., Shindell, D., Breon, F.-M., Collins, W., Fuglestvedt, J., Huang,
J., Koch, D., Lamarque, J.-F., Lee, D., Mendoza, B., Nakajima, T., Robock,
A., Stephens, G., Takemura, T., and Zhang, H.: Anthropogenic and Natural
Radiative Forcing, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K.,
Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and
Midgley, P. M., Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on climate Change, https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter08_FINAL.pdf
last access: 7 November 2022), 2013.
Myhre, G., Aas, W., Cherian, R., Collins, W., Faluvegi, G., Flanner, M., Forster, P., Hodnebrog, Ø., Klimont, Z., Lund, M. T., Mülmenstädt, J., Lund Myhre, C., Olivié, D., Prather, M., Quaas, J., Samset, B. H., Schnell, J. L., Schulz, M., Shindell, D., Skeie, R. B., Takemura, T., and Tsyro, S.: Multi-model simulations of aerosol and ozone radiative forcing due to anthropogenic emission changes during the period 1990–2015, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 2709–2720, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-2709-2017, 2017.
Naik, V., Mauzerall, D., Horowitz, L., Schwarzkopf, M. D., Ramaswamy, V.,
and Oppenheimer, M.: Net radiative forcing due to changes in regional
emissions of tropospheric ozone precursors, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D24306,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD005908, 2005.
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center: MERRA-2 GMI [data set], https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Projects/GEOSCCM/MERRA2GMI/, last access: 4 May 2022.
Neu, J. L., Flury, T., Manney, G. L., Santee, M. L., Livesey, N. J., and
Worden, J.: Tropospheric ozone variations governed by changes in
stratospheric circulation, Nat. Geosci., 7, 340–344,
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2138, 2014.
Nielsen, J. E., Pawson, S., Molod, A., Auer, B., da Silva, A. M., Douglass,
A. R., Duncan, B., Liang, Q., Manyin, M., Oman, L. D., Putman, W., Strahan,
S. E., and Wargan, K.: Chemical Mechanisms and Their Applications in the
Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Earth System Model, J. Adv. Model.
Earth Syst., 9, 3019–3044, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001011, 2017.
Oetjen, H., Payne, V. H., Neu, J. L., Kulawik, S. S., Edwards, D. P., Eldering, A., Worden, H. M., and Worden, J. R.: A joint data record of tropospheric ozone from Aura-TES and MetOp-IASI, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 10229–10239, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-10229-2016, 2016.
Oltmans, S. J., Lefohn, A. S., Shadwick, D., Harris, J. M., Scheel, H. E.,
Galbally, I., Tarasick, D. W., Johnson, B. J., Brunke, E.-G., Claude, H.,
Zeng, G., Nichol, S., Schmidlin, F., Davies, J., Cuevas, E., Redondas, A.,
Naoe, H., Nakano, T., and Kawasato, T.: Recent tropospheric ozone changes –
A pattern dominated by slow or no growth, Atmos. Environ., 67, 331–351,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.10.057, 2013.
Orbe, C., Waugh, D. W., Yang, H., Lamarque, J., Tilmes, S., and Kinnison, D.
E.: Tropospheric transport differences between models using the same
large-scale meteorological fields, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 1068–1078,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071339, 2017.
Orbe, C., Wargan, K., Pawson, S., and Oman, L. D.: Mechanisms Linked to
Recent Ozone Decreases in the Northern Hemisphere Lower Stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 125, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031631, 2020.
Ordóñez, C., Brunner, D., Staehelin, J., Hadjinicolaou, P., Pyle, J.
A., Jonas, M., Wernli, H., and Prévôt, A. S. H.: Strong influence of
lowermost stratospheric ozone on lower tropospheric background ozone changes
over Europe, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L07805,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL029113, 2007.
Parrish, D. D., Law, K. S., Staehelin, J., Derwent, R., Cooper, O. R., Tanimoto, H., Volz-Thomas, A., Gilge, S., Scheel, H.-E., Steinbacher, M., and Chan, E.: Long-term changes in lower tropospheric baseline ozone concentrations at northern mid-latitudes, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 11485–11504, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-11485-2012, 2012.
Parrish, D. D., Lamarque, J.-F., Naik, V., Horowitz, L., Shindell, D. T.,
Staehelin, J., Derwent, R., Cooper, O. R., Tanimoto, H., Volz-Thomas, A.,
Gilge, S., Scheel, H.-E., Steinbacher, M., and Fröhlich, M.: Long-term
changes in lower tropospheric baseline ozone concentrations: Comparing
chemistry-climate models and observations at northern midlatitudes, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 119, 5719–5736,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JD021435, 2014.
Petzold, A., Thouret, V., Gerbig, C., Zahn, A., Brenninkmeijer, C. A. M.,
Gallagher, M., Hermann, M., Pontaud, M., Ziereis, H., Boulanger, D.,
Marshall, J., Nédélec, P., Smit, H. G. J., Friess, U., Flaud, J.-M.,
Wahner, A., Cammas, J.-P., Volz-Thomas, A., and IAGOS Team: Global-scale
atmosphere monitoring by in-service aircraft – current achievements and
future prospects of the European Research Infrastructure IAGOS, Tellus B, 67, 28452, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusb.v67.28452,
2015.
Pusede, S. E., Steiner, A. L., and Cohen, R. C.: Temperature and Recent
Trends in the Chemistry of Continental Surface Ozone, Chem. Rev., 115,
3898–3918, https://doi.org/10.1021/cr5006815, 2015.
R Core Team: R: A language and environment for statistical computing., R
Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, https://www.r-project.org/ (last access: 8 November 2022), 2013.
Rienecker, M. M., Suarez, M. J., Gelaro, R., Todling, R., Bacmeister, J.,
Liu, E., Bosilovich, M. G., Schubert, S. D., Takacs, L., Kim, G.-K., Bloom,
S., Chen, J., Collins, D., Conaty, A., da Silva, A., Gu, W., Joiner, J.,
Koster, R. D., Lucchesi, R., Molod, A., Owens, T., Pawson, S., Pegion, P.,
Redder, C. R., Reichle, R., Robertson, F. R., Ruddick, A. G., Sienkiewicz,
M., and Woollen, J.: MERRA: NASA's Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for
Research and Applications, J. Climate, 24, 3624–3648,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00015.1, 2011.
Saunois, M., Emmons, L., Lamarque, J.-F., Tilmes, S., Wespes, C., Thouret, V., and Schultz, M.: Impact of sampling frequency in the analysis of tropospheric ozone observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 6757–6773, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-6757-2012, 2012.
von Schneidemesser, E., Coates, J., Denier van der Gon, H. A. C.,
Visschedijk, A. J. H., and Butler, T. M.: Variation of the NMVOC speciation
in the solvent sector and the sensitivity of modelled tropospheric ozone,
Atmos. Environ., 135, 59–72,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.03.057, 2016.
Schultz, M. G., Schröder, S., Lyapina, O., Cooper, O. R., Galbally, I.,
Petropavlovskikh, I., von Schneidemesser, E., Tanimoto, H., Elshorbany, Y.,
Naja, M., Seguel, R. J., Dauert, U., Eckhardt, P., Feigenspan, S., Fiebig,
M., Hjellbrekke, A.-G., Hong, Y.-D., Kjeld, P. C., Koide, H., Lear, G.,
Tarasick, D., Ueno, M., Wallasch, M., Baumgardner, D., Chuang, M.-T.,
Gillett, R., Lee, M., Molloy, S., Moolla, R., Wang, T., Sharps, K., Adame,
J. A., Ancellet, G., Apadula, F., Artaxo, P., Barlasina, M. E., Bogucka, M.,
Bonasoni, P., Chang, L., Colomb, A., Cuevas-Agulló, E., Cupeiro, M.,
Degorska, A., Ding, A., Fröhlich, M., Frolova, M., Gadhavi, H., Gheusi,
F., Gilge, S., Gonzalez, M. Y., Gros, V., Hamad, S. H., Helmig, D.,
Henriques, D., Hermansen, O., Holla, R., Hueber, J., Im, U., Jaffe, D. A.,
Komala, N., Kubistin, D., Lam, K.-S., Laurila, T., Lee, H., Levy, I.,
Mazzoleni, C., Mazzoleni, L. R., McClure-Begley, A., Mohamad, M., Murovec,
M., Navarro-Comas, M., Nicodim, F., Parrish, D., Read, K. A., Reid, N.,
Ries, L., Saxena, P., Schwab, J. J., Scorgie, Y., Senik, I., Simmonds, P.,
Sinha, V., Skorokhod, A. I., Spain, G., Spangl, W., Spoor, R., Springston,
S. R., Steer, K., Steinbacher, M., Suharguniyawan, E., Torre, P., Trickl,
T., Weili, L., Weller, R., Xiaobin, X., Xue, L., and Zhiqiang, M.:
Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Database and metrics data of global
surface ozone observations, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 5, 58,
https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.244, 2017.
Shah, V., Jacob, D. J., Dang, R., Lamsal, L. N., Strode, S. A., Steenrod, S. D., Boersma, K. F., Eastham, S. D., Fritz, T. M., Thompson, C., Peischl, J., Bourgeois, I., Pollack, I. B., Nault, B. A., Cohen, R. C., Campuzano-Jost, P., Jimenez, J. L., Andersen, S. T., Carpenter, L. J., Sherwen, T., and Evans, M. J.: Nitrogen oxides in the free troposphere: Implications for tropospheric oxidants and the interpretation of satellite NO2 measurements, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-656, 2022.
Sherwen, T., Evans, M. J., Carpenter, L. J., Schmidt, J. A., and Mickley, L. J.: Halogen chemistry reduces tropospheric O3 radiative forcing, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 1557–1569, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-1557-2017, 2017.
Shi, C., Zhang, C., and Guo, D.: Comparison of Electrochemical Concentration
Cell Ozonesonde and Microwave Limb Sounder Satellite Remote Sensing Ozone
Profiles for the Center of the South Asian High, Remote Sens., 9, 1012,
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs9101012, 2017.
Simon, H., Reff, A., Wells, B., Xing, J., and Frank, N.: Ozone Trends Across
the United States over a Period of Decreasing NOx and VOC Emissions,
Environ. Sci. Technol., 49, 186–195, https://doi.org/10.1021/es504514z,
2015.
Skeie, R. B., Myhre, G., Hodnebrog, Ø., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Deushi, M.,
Hegglin, M. I., Horowitz, L. W., Kramer, R. J., Michou, M., Mills, M. J.,
Olivié, D. J. L., Connor, F. M. O., Paynter, D., Samset, B. H., Sellar,
A., Shindell, D., Takemura, T., Tilmes, S., and Wu, T.: Historical total
ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations, Npj Clim.
Atmos. Sci., 3, 32, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-00131-0, 2020.
Staehelin, J., Tummon, F., Revell, L., Stenke, A., and Peter, T.:
Tropospheric Ozone at Northern Mid-Latitudes: Modeled and Measured Long-Term
Changes, Atmosphere, 8, 163, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8090163, 2017.
Stauffer, R. M., Thompson, A. M., Oman, L. D., and Strahan, S. E.: The
Effects of a 1998 Observing System Change on MERRA-2-Based Ozone Profile
Simulations, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030257, 2019.
Stauffer, R. M., Thompson, A. M., Kollonige, D. E., Witte, J. C., Tarasick,
D. W., Davies, J., Vömel, H., Morris, G. A., Van Malderen, R., Johnson,
B. J., Querel, R. R., Selkirk, H. B., Stübi, R., and Smit, H. G. J.: A
Post-2013 Dropoff in Total Ozone at a Third of Global Ozonesonde Stations:
Electrochemical Concentration Cell Instrument Artifacts?, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 47, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086791, 2020.
Stauffer, R. M., Thompson, A. M., Kollonige, D. E., Tarasick, D. W., Van
Malderen, R., Smit, H. G. J., Vömel, H., Morris, G. A., Johnson, B. J.,
Cullis, P. D., Stübi, R., Davies, J., and Yan, M. M.: An Examination of
the Recent Stability of Ozonesonde Global Network Data, Earth Space Sci., 9,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EA002459, 2022.
Steiner, A. L., Tonse, S., Cohen, R. C., Goldstein, A. H., and Harley, R.
A.: Influence of future climate and emissions on regional air quality in
California, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D18303,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006935, 2006.
Sterling, C. W., Johnson, B. J., Oltmans, S. J., Smit, H. G. J., Jordan, A. F., Cullis, P. D., Hall, E. G., Thompson, A. M., and Witte, J. C.: Homogenizing and estimating the uncertainty in NOAA's long-term vertical ozone profile records measured with the electrochemical concentration cell ozonesonde, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 3661–3687, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-3661-2018, 2018.
Stevenson, D. S., Young, P. J., Naik, V., Lamarque, J.-F., Shindell, D. T., Voulgarakis, A., Skeie, R. B., Dalsoren, S. B., Myhre, G., Berntsen, T. K., Folberth, G. A., Rumbold, S. T., Collins, W. J., MacKenzie, I. A., Doherty, R. M., Zeng, G., van Noije, T. P. C., Strunk, A., Bergmann, D., Cameron-Smith, P., Plummer, D. A., Strode, S. A., Horowitz, L., Lee, Y. H., Szopa, S., Sudo, K., Nagashima, T., Josse, B., Cionni, I., Righi, M., Eyring, V., Conley, A., Bowman, K. W., Wild, O., and Archibald, A.: Tropospheric ozone changes, radiative forcing and attribution to emissions in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 3063–3085, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-3063-2013, 2013.
Stone, D., Whalley, L. K., and Heard, D. E.: Tropospheric OH and HO2
radicals: field measurements and model comparisons, Chem. Soc. Rev., 41,
6348, https://doi.org/10.1039/c2cs35140d, 2012.
Strode, S. A., Rodriguez, J. M., Logan, J. A., Cooper, O. R., Witte, J. C.,
Lamsal, L. N., Damon, M., Van Aartsen, B., Steenrod, S. D., and Strahan, S.
E.: Trends and variability in surface ozone over the United States, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 120, 9020–9042,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022784, 2015.
Strode, S. A., Ziemke, J. R., Oman, L. D., Lamsal, L. N., Olsen, M. A., and
Liu, J.: Global changes in the diurnal cycle of surface ozone, Atmos.
Environ., 199, 323–333, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.11.028,
2019.
Stübi, R., Levrat, G., Hoegger, B., Viatte, P., Staehelin, J., and
Schmidlin, F. J.: In-flight comparison of Brewer-Mast and electrochemical
concentration cell ozonesondes, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D13302,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD009091, 2008.
Sullivan, J. T., McGee, T. J., Thompson, A. M., Pierce, R. B., Sumnicht, G.
K., Twigg, L. W., Eloranta, E., and Hoff, R. M.: Characterizing the lifetime
and occurrence of stratospheric-tropospheric exchange events in the rocky
mountain region using high-resolution ozone measurements: Characterizing
rocky mountain ste events, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 120, 12410–12424,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023877, 2015.
Tai, A. P. K., Mickley, L. J., Heald, C. L., and Wu, S.: Effect of CO 2
inhibition on biogenic isoprene emission: Implications for air quality under
2000 to 2050 changes in climate, vegetation, and land use: CO2-isoprene interaction and air quality, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3479–3483,
https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50650, 2013.
Tanimoto, H., Zbinden, R. M., Thouret, V., and Nédélec, P.:
Consistency of tropospheric ozone observations made by different platforms
and techniques in the global databases, Tellus B, 67,
27073, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusb.v67.27073, 2015.
Tarasick, D., Galbally, I. E., Cooper, O. R., Schultz, M. G., Ancellet, G.,
Leblanc, T., Wallington, T. J., Ziemke, J., Liu, X., Steinbacher, M.,
Staehelin, J., Vigouroux, C., Hannigan, J. W., García, O., Foret, G.,
Zanis, P., Weatherhead, E., Petropavlovskikh, I., Worden, H., Osman, M.,
Liu, J., Chang, K.-L., Gaudel, A., Lin, M., Granados-Muñoz, M.,
Thompson, A. M., Oltmans, S. J., Cuesta, J., Dufour, G., Thouret, V.,
Hassler, B., Trickl, T., and Neu, J. L.: Tropospheric Ozone Assessment
Report: Tropospheric ozone from 1877 to 2016, observed levels, trends and
uncertainties, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 7, 39,
https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.376, 2019.
Tarasick, D. W., Davies, J., Smit, H. G. J., and Oltmans, S. J.: A re-evaluated Canadian ozonesonde record: measurements of the vertical distribution of ozone over Canada from 1966 to 2013, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 9, 195–214, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-9-195-2016, 2016.
Tarasick, D. W., Smit, H. G. J., Thompson, A. M., Morris, G. A., Witte, J.
C., Davies, J., Nakano, T., Van Malderen, R., Stauffer, R. M., Johnson, B.
J., Stübi, R., Oltmans, S. J., and Vömel, H.: Improving ECC
Ozonesonde Data Quality: Assessment of Current Methods and Outstanding
Issues, Earth Space Sci., 8, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EA000914, 2021.
Terrenoire, E., Bessagnet, B., Rouïl, L., Tognet, F., Pirovano, G., Létinois, L., Beauchamp, M., Colette, A., Thunis, P., Amann, M., and Menut, L.: High-resolution air quality simulation over Europe with the chemistry transport model CHIMERE, Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 21–42, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-21-2015, 2015.
Thompson, A. M.: Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozonesondes (SHADOZ)
1998–2000 tropical ozone climatology 1. Comparison with Total Ozone Mapping
Spectrometer (TOMS) and ground-based measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 108,
8238, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JD000967, 2003.
Thompson, A. M., Witte, J. C., Oltmans, S. J., and Schmidlin, F. J.:
Shadoz – a tropical ozonesonde–radiosonde network for the atmospheric
community, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85, 1549–1564,
https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-85-10-1549, 2004.
Thompson, A. M., Stone, J. B., Witte, J. C., Miller, S. K., Oltmans, S. J.,
Kucsera, T. L., Ross, K. L., Pickering, K. E., Merrill, J. T., Forbes, G.,
Tarasick, D. W., Joseph, E., Schmidlin, F. J., McMillan, W. W., Warner, J.,
Hintsa, E. J., and Johnson, J. E.: Intercontinental Chemical Transport
Experiment Ozonesonde Network Study (IONS) 2004: 2. Tropospheric ozone
budgets and variability over northeastern North America, J. Geophys. Res.,
112, D12S13, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD007670, 2007.
Thompson, A. M., Oltmans, S. J., Tarasick, David. W., von der Gathen, P.,
Smit, H. G. J., and Witte, J. C.: Strategic ozone sounding networks: Review
of design and accomplishments, Atmos. Environ., 45, 2145–2163,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.05.002, 2011.
Thompson, A. M., Stauffer, R. M., Wargan, K., Witte, J. C., Kollonige, D.
E., and Ziemke, J. R.: Regional and Seasonal Trends in Tropical Ozone From
SHADOZ Profiles: Reference for Models and Satellite Products, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 126, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034691, 2021.
Travis, K. R. and Jacob, D. J.: Systematic bias in evaluating chemical transport models with maximum daily 8 h average (MDA8) surface ozone for air quality applications: a case study with GEOS-Chem v9.02, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3641–3648, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3641-2019, 2019.
Van Malderen, R., Allaart, M. A. F., De Backer, H., Smit, H. G. J., and De Muer, D.: On instrumental errors and related correction strategies of ozonesondes: possible effect on calculated ozone trends for the nearby sites Uccle and De Bilt, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 9, 3793–3816, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-9-3793-2016, 2016.
Van Malderen, R., De Muer, D., De Backer, H., Poyraz, D., Verstraeten, W. W., De Bock, V., Delcloo, A. W., Mangold, A., Laffineur, Q., Allaart, M., Fierens, F., and Thouret, V.: Fifty years of balloon-borne ozone profile measurements at Uccle, Belgium: a short history, the scientific relevance, and the achievements in understanding the vertical ozone distribution, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 12385–12411, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-12385-2021, 2021.
Verstraeten, W. W., Neu, J. L., Williams, J. E., Bowman, K. W., Worden, J.
R., and Boersma, K. F.: Rapid increases in tropospheric ozone production and
export from China, Nat. Geosci., 8, 690–695,
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2493, 2015.
Wang, H., Lu, X., Jacob, D. J., Cooper, O. R., Chang, K.-L., Li, K., Gao, M., Liu, Y., Sheng, B., Wu, K., Wu, T., Zhang, J., Sauvage, B., Nédélec, P., Blot, R., and Fan, S.: Global tropospheric ozone trends, attributions, and radiative impacts in 1995–2017: an integrated analysis using aircraft (IAGOS) observations, ozonesonde, and multi-decadal chemical model simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 13753–13782, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-13753-2022, 2022.
Wang, X., Jacob, D. J., Eastham, S. D., Sulprizio, M. P., Zhu, L., Chen, Q., Alexander, B., Sherwen, T., Evans, M. J., Lee, B. H., Haskins, J. D., Lopez-Hilfiker, F. D., Thornton, J. A., Huey, G. L., and Liao, H.: The role of chlorine in global tropospheric chemistry, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 3981–4003, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-3981-2019, 2019.
Wang, X., Jacob, D. J., Downs, W., Zhai, S., Zhu, L., Shah, V., Holmes, C. D., Sherwen, T., Alexander, B., Evans, M. J., Eastham, S. D., Neuman, J. A., Veres, P. R., Koenig, T. K., Volkamer, R., Huey, L. G., Bannan, T. J., Percival, C. J., Lee, B. H., and Thornton, J. A.: Global tropospheric halogen (Cl, Br, I) chemistry and its impact on oxidants, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13973–13996, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13973-2021, 2021.
Wargan, K., Labow, G., Frith, S., Pawson, S., Livesey, N., and Partyka, G.:
Evaluation of the Ozone Fields in NASA's MERRA-2 Reanalysis, J. Climate, 30,
2961–2988, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0699.1, 2017.
Wargan, K., Orbe, C., Pawson, S., Ziemke, J. R., Oman, L. D., Olsen, M. A.,
Coy, L., and Emma Knowland, K.: Recent Decline in Extratropical Lower
Stratospheric Ozone Attributed to Circulation Changes, Geophys. Res. Lett.,
45, 5166–5176, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077406, 2018.
Williams, R. S., Hegglin, M. I., Kerridge, B. J., Jöckel, P., Latter, B. G., and Plummer, D. A.: Characterising the seasonal and geographical variability in tropospheric ozone, stratospheric influence and recent changes, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 3589–3620, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-3589-2019, 2019.
Witte, J. C., Thompson, A. M., Smit, H. G. J., Vömel, H., Posny, F., and
Stübi, R.: First Reprocessing of Southern Hemisphere ADditional
OZonesondes Profile Records: 3. Uncertainty in Ozone Profile and Total
Column, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 123, 3243–3268,
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027791, 2018.
WMO: SPARC/IOC/GAW assessment of trends in the vertical distribution of
ozone. SPARC Rep. 1,
https://www.sparc-climate.org/fileadmin/customer/6_Publications/SPARC_reports_PDF/1_Ozone_SPARCreportNo1_May1998_redFile.pdf (last access: 7 November 2022), 1998.
Worden, H. M., Bowman, K. W., Worden, J. R., Eldering, A., and Beer, R.:
Satellite measurements of the clear-sky greenhouse effect from tropospheric
ozone, Nat. Geosci., 1, 305–308, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo182, 2008.
Xu, W., Lin, W., Xu, X., Tang, J., Huang, J., Wu, H., and Zhang, X.: Long-term trends of surface ozone and its influencing factors at the Mt Waliguan GAW station, China – Part 1: Overall trends and characteristics, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 6191–6205, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-6191-2016, 2016.
Xu, W., Xu, X., Lin, M., Lin, W., Tarasick, D., Tang, J., Ma, J., and Zheng, X.: Long-term trends of surface ozone and its influencing factors at the Mt Waliguan GAW station, China – Part 2: The roles of anthropogenic emissions and climate variability, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 773–798, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-773-2018, 2018.
Xu, X., Lin, W., Wang, T., Yan, P., Tang, J., Meng, Z., and Wang, Y.: Long-term trend of surface ozone at a regional background station in eastern China 1991–2006: enhanced variability, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 2595–2607, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-2595-2008, 2008.
Yan, Y., Pozzer, A., Ojha, N., Lin, J., and Lelieveld, J.: Analysis of European ozone trends in the period 1995–2014, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 5589–5605, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5589-2018, 2018a.
Yan, Y., Lin, J., and He, C.: Ozone trends over the United States at different times of day, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 1185–1202, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-1185-2018, 2018b.
Yeung, L. Y., Murray, Lee. T., Martinerie, P., Witrant, E., Hu, H.,
Banerjee, A., Orsi, A., and Chappellaz, J.: Isotopic constraint on the
twentieth-century increase in tropospheric ozone, Nature, 570, 224–227,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1277-1, 2019.
Young, P. J., Naik, V., Fiore, A. M., Gaudel, A., Guo, J., Lin, M. Y., Neu,
J. L., Parrish, D. D., Rieder, H. E., Schnell, J. L., Tilmes, S., Wild, O.,
Zhang, L., Ziemke, J., Brandt, J., Delcloo, A., Doherty, R. M., Geels, C.,
Hegglin, M. I., Hu, L., Im, U., Kumar, R., Luhar, A., Murray, L., Plummer,
D., Rodriguez, J., Saiz-Lopez, A., Schultz, M. G., Woodhouse, M. T., and
Zeng, G.: Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Assessment of global-scale
model performance for global and regional ozone distributions, variability,
and trends, Elem. Sci. Anthr., 6, 10, https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.265,
2018.
Yu, K., Keller, C. A., Jacob, D. J., Molod, A. M., Eastham, S. D., and Long, M. S.: Errors and improvements in the use of archived meteorological data for chemical transport modeling: an analysis using GEOS-Chem v11-01 driven by GEOS-5 meteorology, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 305–319, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-305-2018, 2018.
Zeng, G., Morgenstern, O., Shiona, H., Thomas, A. J., Querel, R. R., and Nichol, S. E.: Attribution of recent ozone changes in the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes using statistical analysis and chemistry–climate model simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 10495–10513, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-10495-2017, 2017.
Zhang, Y., Cooper, O. R., Gaudel, A., Thompson, A. M., Nédélec, P.,
Ogino, S.-Y., and West, J. J.: Tropospheric ozone change from 1980 to 2010
dominated by equatorward redistribution of emissions, Nat. Geosci., 9,
875–879, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2827, 2016.
Zhang, Y., West, J. J., Emmons, L. K., Flemming, J., Jonson, J. E., Lund, M.
T., Sekiya, T., Sudo, K., Gaudel, A., Chang, K., Nédélec, P., and
Thouret, V.: Contributions of World Regions to the Global Tropospheric Ozone
Burden Change From 1980 to 2010, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089184, 2021.
Zhu, J., Liao, H., Mao, Y., Yang, Y., and Jiang, H.: Interannual variation, decadal trend, and future change in ozone outflow from East Asia, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 3729–3747, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-3729-2017, 2017.
Ziemke, J. R., Chandra, S., Labow, G. J., Bhartia, P. K., Froidevaux, L., and Witte, J. C.: A global climatology of tropospheric and stratospheric ozone derived from Aura OMI and MLS measurements, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 9237–9251, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-9237-2011, 2011.
Ziemke, J. R., Oman, L. D., Strode, S. A., Douglass, A. R., Olsen, M. A., McPeters, R. D., Bhartia, P. K., Froidevaux, L., Labow, G. J., Witte, J. C., Thompson, A. M., Haffner, D. P., Kramarova, N. A., Frith, S. M., Huang, L.-K., Jaross, G. R., Seftor, C. J., Deland, M. T., and Taylor, S. L.: Trends in global tropospheric ozone inferred from a composite record of TOMS/OMI/MLS/OMPS satellite measurements and the MERRA-2 GMI simulation, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 3257–3269, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-3257-2019, 2019.
Short summary
Understanding tropospheric ozone trends is crucial for accurate predictions of future air quality and climate, but drivers of trends are not well understood. We analyze global tropospheric ozone trends since 1980 using ozonesonde and surface measurements, and we evaluate two models for their ability to reproduce trends. We find observational evidence of increasing tropospheric ozone, but models underestimate these increases. This hinders our ability to estimate ozone radiative forcing.
Understanding tropospheric ozone trends is crucial for accurate predictions of future air...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint