Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016

Research article 23 Feb 2016

Research article | 23 Feb 2016

On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event

Costas A. Varotsos et al.

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Cited articles

Barnston, A. G., Tippett, M. K., L'Heureux, M. L., Li, S. H., and DeWitt, D. G.: Skill of real-time seasonal ENSO model predictions during 2002–11: is our capability increasing?, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 631–651, 2012.
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Cheng, Y. J., Tang, Y. M., and Chen, D. K.: Relationship between predictability and forecast skill of ENSO on various time scales, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C12006, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007249, 2011.
Cracknell, A. P. and Varotsos, C. A.: The Antarctic 2006 ozone hole, Int. J. Remote Sens., 28, 1–2, 2007.
Cracknell, A. P. and Varotsos, C. A.: New aspects of global climate-dynamics research and remote sensing, Int. J. Remote Sens., 32, 579–600, 2011.
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It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed a new analysis that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. The analysis of the SOI time series shows that the 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong” event and not "one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.
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