Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
Climate Research Group, Division of Environmental Physics
and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, University Campus
Bldg. Phys. V, Athens, 157 84, Greece
Chris G. Tzanis
Climate Research Group, Division of Environmental Physics
and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, University Campus
Bldg. Phys. V, Athens, 157 84, Greece
Nicholas V. Sarlis
Department of Solid State Physics, Faculty of Physics,
School of Science, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Panepistimiopolis Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece
Viewed
Total article views: 3,301 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Dec 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,919 | 1,285 | 97 | 3,301 | 85 | 103 |
- HTML: 1,919
- PDF: 1,285
- XML: 97
- Total: 3,301
- BibTeX: 85
- EndNote: 103
Total article views: 2,571 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 23 Feb 2016)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,561 | 926 | 84 | 2,571 | 73 | 91 |
- HTML: 1,561
- PDF: 926
- XML: 84
- Total: 2,571
- BibTeX: 73
- EndNote: 91
Total article views: 730 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Dec 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
358 | 359 | 13 | 730 | 12 | 12 |
- HTML: 358
- PDF: 359
- XML: 13
- Total: 730
- BibTeX: 12
- EndNote: 12
Cited
57 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-term changes in tropospheric temperature in India: Insights from radiosonde measurements, reanalysis data and CMIP6 model projections R. Kumar & J. Kuttippurath 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107583
- Empirical orthogonal function analysis of lightning flashes over India K. Prasanna et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106311
- On the Impacts of the Global Sea Level Dynamics C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/fractalfract8010039
- The impact of COVID-19 on turnover intention among hotel employees: A moderated mediation model J. Yin et al. 10.1016/j.jhtm.2022.05.010
- Distribution of Atlantidae species (Gastropoda: Pterotracheoidea) during an El Niño event in the Southern California Current System (summer-fall 2015) G. Aceves-Medina et al. 10.3354/meps13417
- Conjugate gradient descent learned ANN for Indian summer monsoon rainfall and efficiency assessment through Shannon-Fano coding S. Chattopadhyay & G. Chattopadhyay 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.07.015
- Fracture analysis of typical construction materials in natural time A. Loukidis et al. 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123831
- Ability of the GRAPES Ensemble Forecast Product to Forecast Extreme Temperatures over the Tibetan Plateau R. Wang et al. 10.3390/atmos14111625
- EIA: An algorithm for the statistical evaluation of an environmental impact assessment C. Guisande et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.06.011
- Time series analysis of sea surface temperature change in the coastal seas of Türkiye M. Bilgili et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106339
- The geomorphology and ecosystem service economic value baselines of tributary watersheds in Malaysia C. Ng et al. 10.1007/s10668-021-01253-y
- Entropy in Natural Time and the Associated Complexity Measures N. Sarlis 10.3390/e19040177
- Integrative overview of the herpetofauna from Serra da Mocidade, a granitic mountain range in northern Brazil L. Moraes et al. 10.3897/zookeys.715.20288
- The lesson learned from the unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic in 2020; A novel nowcasting tool for such extreme events C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105330
- Cyclones and Global Floods from an Observation-Simulation Evaluation: Contributions and Long-Term Changes L. Wang et al. 10.3390/w13212965
- Interannual early life history variation and larval dispersal of three tropical anguillid eel species recruiting in French Polynesia J. Viana et al. 10.1007/s11160-024-09905-8
- Natural Time Analysis of Seismicity within the Mexican Flat Slab before the M7.1 Earthquake on 19 September 2017 E. Flores-Márquez et al. 10.3390/e22070730
- Evaluation of January-to-April-2016 strong El Niño event impacts on the land surface radiation absorption along the west coast of Peru Z. Cao & W. Duan 10.1080/2150704X.2024.2439078
- On the Statistical Significance of the Variability Minima of the Order Parameter of Seismicity by Means of Event Coincidence Analysis S. Christopoulos et al. 10.3390/app10020662
- Total OH Reactivity Changes Over the Amazon Rainforest During an El Niño Event E. Pfannerstill et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2018.00012
- Sea Surface Height Changes due to the Tropical Cyclone-Induced Water Mixing in the Yellow Sea, Korea K. Kang & I. Moon 10.3389/feart.2022.826582
- A Hybrid Neural Network Model for ENSO Prediction in Combination with Principal Oscillation Pattern Analyses L. Zhou & R. Zhang 10.1007/s00376-021-1368-4
- Recent climate trends over Greece C. Tzanis et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104623
- Impact of forest conversion to oil palm and rubber plantations on microclimate and the role of the 2015 ENSO event A. Meijide et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.013
- Attributions of meteorological and emission factors to the 2015 winter severe haze pollution episodes in China's Jing-Jin-Ji area T. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-17-2971-2017
- Water mass characteristic in the outflow region of the Indonesian throughflow during and post 2016 negative Indian ocean dipole event A. Bayhaqi et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/149/1/012053
- Effects of ENSO on Temperature, Precipitation, and Potential Evapotranspiration of North India’s Monsoon: An Analysis of Trend and Entropy K. Tamaddun et al. 10.3390/w11020189
- Joint modeling of precipitation and temperature under influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation for compound event evaluation and prediction Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105090
- A Composite Tool for Forecasting El Niño: The Case of the 2023–2024 Event C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/forecast6010011
- On the observed time evolution of cosmic rays in a new time domain C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.actaastro.2024.09.034
- Impact of the El Niño on Fire Dynamics on the African Continent J. de Oliveira-Júnior et al. 10.1007/s41748-023-00363-z
- The Coastal El Niño Event of 2017 in Ecuador and Peru: A Weather Radar Analysis R. Rollenbeck et al. 10.3390/rs14040824
- Modelling the CO2 atmosphere-ocean flux in the upwelling zones using radiative transfer tools V. Krapivin & C. Varotsos 10.1016/j.jastp.2016.10.015
- Water quality variation during a strong El Niño event in 2016: a case study in Kampar River, Malaysia C. Ng et al. 10.1007/s10661-018-6784-2
- The global signature of the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation C. Varotsos et al. 10.1080/01431161.2018.1465617
- Fuzzy binary relation based elucidation of air quality over a highly polluted urban region of India G. Chattopadhyay et al. 10.1007/s12145-021-00625-2
- Operational Diagnosis of Arctic Waters with Instrumental Technology and Information Modeling V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-021-05068-5
- A Modeling System for Monitoring Water Quality in Lagoons V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-017-3581-4
- Early successional dynamics of ground beetles (Coleoptera, Carabidae) in the tropical dry forest ecosystem in Colombia G. Ariza et al. 10.3897/zookeys.1044.59475
- Comparative Analysis of the Soluble Proteome and the Cytolytic Activity of Unbleached and Bleached Millepora complanata (“Fire Coral”) from the Mexican Caribbean V. Hernández-Elizárraga et al. 10.3390/md17070393
- Seasonal dynamics of particulate organic matter and its response to flooding in the Pearl River Estuary, China, revealed by stable isotope (δ13C and δ15N) analyses F. Ye et al. 10.1002/2017JC012931
- The Dependence of the Soil Microwave Attenuation on Frequency and Water Content in Different Types of Vegetation: an Empirical Model V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-018-3773-6
- Understanding marine larval dispersal in a broadcast-spawning invertebrate: A dispersal modelling approach for optimising spat collection of the Fijian black-lip pearl oyster Pinctada margaritifera M. Lal et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0234605
- Τhe observational and empirical thermospheric CO2 and NO power do not exhibit power-law behavior; an indication of their reliability C. Varotsos & M. Efstathiou 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.01.006
- Review of the Natural Time Analysis Method and Its Applications P. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/math12223582
- A multi-class classification system for continuous water quality monitoring S. Shakhari & I. Banerjee 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e01822
- Persistent Behavior in Solar Energetic Particle Time Series N. Sarlis et al. 10.3847/1538-4357/ad479d
- On the association between the recent episode of the quasi-biennial oscillation and the strong El Niño event C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s00704-017-2191-9
- Multifractal analysis of the Southern Oscillation Index S. Jaroszewicz et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2023.106161
- Following the infection dynamics of the tropical trematodeOligogonotylus mayaein its intermediate and definitive hosts for 13 years A. May-Tec et al. 10.1017/S0022149X20000875
- Swept away: ocean currents and seascape features influence genetic structure across the 18,000 Km Indo-Pacific distribution of a marine invertebrate, the black-lip pearl oyster Pinctada margaritifera M. Lal et al. 10.1186/s12864-016-3410-y
- Shannon entropy maximization supplemented by neurocomputing to study the consequences of a severe weather phenomenon on some surface parameters S. Chattopadhyay et al. 10.1007/s11069-018-3298-8
- Geographic and ontogenetic variation in the diet of two commonly exploited batoids (Chilean eagle ray and Pacific guitarfish) off Peru: evidence of trophic plasticity A. Gonzalez-Pestana et al. 10.1007/s10641-021-01157-w
- Pengaruh El Niño 2015-2016 dan La Niña 2020-2021 Terhadap SPL, Klorofil-A, dan Intensitas Curah Hujan di Laut Sulawesi M. Alfiqri et al. 10.14710/ijoce.v6i3.20009
- Nowcasting of air pollution episodes in megacities: A case study for Athens, Greece C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2021.101099
- Estimating the Epicenter of an Impending Strong Earthquake by Combining the Seismicity Order Parameter Variability Analysis with Earthquake Networks and Nowcasting: Application in the Eastern Mediterranean P. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/app112110093
- Entropy in Natural Time and the Associated Complexity Measures N. Sarlis 10.3390/e19040177
56 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Long-term changes in tropospheric temperature in India: Insights from radiosonde measurements, reanalysis data and CMIP6 model projections R. Kumar & J. Kuttippurath 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107583
- Empirical orthogonal function analysis of lightning flashes over India K. Prasanna et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106311
- On the Impacts of the Global Sea Level Dynamics C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/fractalfract8010039
- The impact of COVID-19 on turnover intention among hotel employees: A moderated mediation model J. Yin et al. 10.1016/j.jhtm.2022.05.010
- Distribution of Atlantidae species (Gastropoda: Pterotracheoidea) during an El Niño event in the Southern California Current System (summer-fall 2015) G. Aceves-Medina et al. 10.3354/meps13417
- Conjugate gradient descent learned ANN for Indian summer monsoon rainfall and efficiency assessment through Shannon-Fano coding S. Chattopadhyay & G. Chattopadhyay 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.07.015
- Fracture analysis of typical construction materials in natural time A. Loukidis et al. 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123831
- Ability of the GRAPES Ensemble Forecast Product to Forecast Extreme Temperatures over the Tibetan Plateau R. Wang et al. 10.3390/atmos14111625
- EIA: An algorithm for the statistical evaluation of an environmental impact assessment C. Guisande et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.06.011
- Time series analysis of sea surface temperature change in the coastal seas of Türkiye M. Bilgili et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106339
- The geomorphology and ecosystem service economic value baselines of tributary watersheds in Malaysia C. Ng et al. 10.1007/s10668-021-01253-y
- Entropy in Natural Time and the Associated Complexity Measures N. Sarlis 10.3390/e19040177
- Integrative overview of the herpetofauna from Serra da Mocidade, a granitic mountain range in northern Brazil L. Moraes et al. 10.3897/zookeys.715.20288
- The lesson learned from the unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic in 2020; A novel nowcasting tool for such extreme events C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2020.105330
- Cyclones and Global Floods from an Observation-Simulation Evaluation: Contributions and Long-Term Changes L. Wang et al. 10.3390/w13212965
- Interannual early life history variation and larval dispersal of three tropical anguillid eel species recruiting in French Polynesia J. Viana et al. 10.1007/s11160-024-09905-8
- Natural Time Analysis of Seismicity within the Mexican Flat Slab before the M7.1 Earthquake on 19 September 2017 E. Flores-Márquez et al. 10.3390/e22070730
- Evaluation of January-to-April-2016 strong El Niño event impacts on the land surface radiation absorption along the west coast of Peru Z. Cao & W. Duan 10.1080/2150704X.2024.2439078
- On the Statistical Significance of the Variability Minima of the Order Parameter of Seismicity by Means of Event Coincidence Analysis S. Christopoulos et al. 10.3390/app10020662
- Total OH Reactivity Changes Over the Amazon Rainforest During an El Niño Event E. Pfannerstill et al. 10.3389/ffgc.2018.00012
- Sea Surface Height Changes due to the Tropical Cyclone-Induced Water Mixing in the Yellow Sea, Korea K. Kang & I. Moon 10.3389/feart.2022.826582
- A Hybrid Neural Network Model for ENSO Prediction in Combination with Principal Oscillation Pattern Analyses L. Zhou & R. Zhang 10.1007/s00376-021-1368-4
- Recent climate trends over Greece C. Tzanis et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104623
- Impact of forest conversion to oil palm and rubber plantations on microclimate and the role of the 2015 ENSO event A. Meijide et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.013
- Attributions of meteorological and emission factors to the 2015 winter severe haze pollution episodes in China's Jing-Jin-Ji area T. Liu et al. 10.5194/acp-17-2971-2017
- Water mass characteristic in the outflow region of the Indonesian throughflow during and post 2016 negative Indian ocean dipole event A. Bayhaqi et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/149/1/012053
- Effects of ENSO on Temperature, Precipitation, and Potential Evapotranspiration of North India’s Monsoon: An Analysis of Trend and Entropy K. Tamaddun et al. 10.3390/w11020189
- Joint modeling of precipitation and temperature under influences of El Niño Southern Oscillation for compound event evaluation and prediction Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105090
- A Composite Tool for Forecasting El Niño: The Case of the 2023–2024 Event C. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/forecast6010011
- On the observed time evolution of cosmic rays in a new time domain C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.actaastro.2024.09.034
- Impact of the El Niño on Fire Dynamics on the African Continent J. de Oliveira-Júnior et al. 10.1007/s41748-023-00363-z
- The Coastal El Niño Event of 2017 in Ecuador and Peru: A Weather Radar Analysis R. Rollenbeck et al. 10.3390/rs14040824
- Modelling the CO2 atmosphere-ocean flux in the upwelling zones using radiative transfer tools V. Krapivin & C. Varotsos 10.1016/j.jastp.2016.10.015
- Water quality variation during a strong El Niño event in 2016: a case study in Kampar River, Malaysia C. Ng et al. 10.1007/s10661-018-6784-2
- The global signature of the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation C. Varotsos et al. 10.1080/01431161.2018.1465617
- Fuzzy binary relation based elucidation of air quality over a highly polluted urban region of India G. Chattopadhyay et al. 10.1007/s12145-021-00625-2
- Operational Diagnosis of Arctic Waters with Instrumental Technology and Information Modeling V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-021-05068-5
- A Modeling System for Monitoring Water Quality in Lagoons V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-017-3581-4
- Early successional dynamics of ground beetles (Coleoptera, Carabidae) in the tropical dry forest ecosystem in Colombia G. Ariza et al. 10.3897/zookeys.1044.59475
- Comparative Analysis of the Soluble Proteome and the Cytolytic Activity of Unbleached and Bleached Millepora complanata (“Fire Coral”) from the Mexican Caribbean V. Hernández-Elizárraga et al. 10.3390/md17070393
- Seasonal dynamics of particulate organic matter and its response to flooding in the Pearl River Estuary, China, revealed by stable isotope (δ13C and δ15N) analyses F. Ye et al. 10.1002/2017JC012931
- The Dependence of the Soil Microwave Attenuation on Frequency and Water Content in Different Types of Vegetation: an Empirical Model V. Krapivin et al. 10.1007/s11270-018-3773-6
- Understanding marine larval dispersal in a broadcast-spawning invertebrate: A dispersal modelling approach for optimising spat collection of the Fijian black-lip pearl oyster Pinctada margaritifera M. Lal et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0234605
- Τhe observational and empirical thermospheric CO2 and NO power do not exhibit power-law behavior; an indication of their reliability C. Varotsos & M. Efstathiou 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.01.006
- Review of the Natural Time Analysis Method and Its Applications P. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/math12223582
- A multi-class classification system for continuous water quality monitoring S. Shakhari & I. Banerjee 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e01822
- Persistent Behavior in Solar Energetic Particle Time Series N. Sarlis et al. 10.3847/1538-4357/ad479d
- On the association between the recent episode of the quasi-biennial oscillation and the strong El Niño event C. Varotsos et al. 10.1007/s00704-017-2191-9
- Multifractal analysis of the Southern Oscillation Index S. Jaroszewicz et al. 10.1016/j.jastp.2023.106161
- Following the infection dynamics of the tropical trematodeOligogonotylus mayaein its intermediate and definitive hosts for 13 years A. May-Tec et al. 10.1017/S0022149X20000875
- Swept away: ocean currents and seascape features influence genetic structure across the 18,000 Km Indo-Pacific distribution of a marine invertebrate, the black-lip pearl oyster Pinctada margaritifera M. Lal et al. 10.1186/s12864-016-3410-y
- Shannon entropy maximization supplemented by neurocomputing to study the consequences of a severe weather phenomenon on some surface parameters S. Chattopadhyay et al. 10.1007/s11069-018-3298-8
- Geographic and ontogenetic variation in the diet of two commonly exploited batoids (Chilean eagle ray and Pacific guitarfish) off Peru: evidence of trophic plasticity A. Gonzalez-Pestana et al. 10.1007/s10641-021-01157-w
- Pengaruh El Niño 2015-2016 dan La Niña 2020-2021 Terhadap SPL, Klorofil-A, dan Intensitas Curah Hujan di Laut Sulawesi M. Alfiqri et al. 10.14710/ijoce.v6i3.20009
- Nowcasting of air pollution episodes in megacities: A case study for Athens, Greece C. Varotsos et al. 10.1016/j.apr.2021.101099
- Estimating the Epicenter of an Impending Strong Earthquake by Combining the Seismicity Order Parameter Variability Analysis with Earthquake Networks and Nowcasting: Application in the Eastern Mediterranean P. Varotsos et al. 10.3390/app112110093
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 25 Dec 2024
Short summary
It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed a new analysis that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. The analysis of the SOI time series shows that the 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong” event and not "one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.
It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint