Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-2007-2016

Research article 23 Feb 2016

Research article | 23 Feb 2016

On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event

Costas A. Varotsos et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Costas Varotsos on behalf of the Authors (13 Feb 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (15 Feb 2016) by Andreas Hofzumahaus
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Short summary
It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed a new analysis that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. The analysis of the SOI time series shows that the 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong” event and not "one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.
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