Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 2007–2011, 2016

Research article 23 Feb 2016

Research article | 23 Feb 2016

On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event

Costas A. Varotsos et al.


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Costas Varotsos on behalf of the Authors (13 Feb 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (15 Feb 2016) by Andreas Hofzumahaus
Short summary
It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed a new analysis that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. The analysis of the SOI time series shows that the 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong” event and not "one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.
Final-revised paper