Articles | Volume 22, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-15333-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-15333-2022
Research article
 | 
05 Dec 2022
Research article |  | 05 Dec 2022

The historical ozone trends simulated with the SOCOLv4 and their comparison with observations and reanalyses

Arseniy Karagodin-Doyennel, Eugene Rozanov, Timofei Sukhodolov, Tatiana Egorova, Jan Sedlacek, William Ball, and Thomas Peter

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Cited articles

Alsing, J. and Ball, W.: BASIC Composite Ozone Time-Series Data, Mendeley Data, V3 [data set], https://doi.org/10.17632/2mgx2xzzpk.3, 2019. a, b, c
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Arsenovic, P., Rozanov, E., Anet, J., Stenke, A., Schmutz, W., and Peter, T.: Implications of potential future grand solar minimum for ozone layer and climate, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 3469–3483, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3469-2018, 2018. a
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Ball, W. T., Alsing, J., Mortlock, D. J., Rozanov, E. V., Tummon, F., and Haigh, J. D.: Reconciling differences in stratospheric ozone composites, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 12269–12302, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-12269-2017, 2017. a, b, c, d
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Applying the dynamic linear model, we confirm near-global ozone recovery (55°N–55°S) in the mesosphere, upper and middle stratosphere, and a steady increase in the troposphere. We also show that modern chemistry–climate models (CCMs) like SOCOLv4 may reproduce the observed trend distribution of lower stratospheric ozone, despite exhibiting a lower magnitude and statistical significance. The obtained ozone trend pattern in SOCOLv4 is generally consistent with observations and reanalysis datasets.
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