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Volume 15, issue 17
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 10033–10055, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10033-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 10033–10055, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10033-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 08 Sep 2015

Research article | 08 Sep 2015

Impact of 2050 climate change on North American wildfire: consequences for ozone air quality

X. Yue et al.

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Cited articles

Abbott, K. N., Leblon, B., Staples, G. C., Maclean, D. A., and Alexander, M. E.: Fire danger monitoring using RADARSAT-1 over northern boreal forests, Int. J. Remote Sens., 28, 1317–1338, https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160600904956, 2007.
Akagi, S. K., Yokelson, R. J., Wiedinmyer, C., Alvarado, M. J., Reid, J. S., Karl, T., Crounse, J. D., and Wennberg, P. O.: Emission factors for open and domestic biomass burning for use in atmospheric models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 4039–4072, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-4039-2011, 2011.
Amiro, B. D., Todd, J. B., Wotton, B. M., Logan, K. A., Flannigan, M. D., Stocks, B. J., Mason, J. A., Martell, D. L., and Hirsch, K. G.: Direct carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires, 1959–1999, Can. J. Forest Res., 31, 512–525, https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-31-3-512, 2001.
Amiro, B. D., Logan, K. A., Wotton, B. M., Flannigan, M. D., Todd, J. B., Stocks, B. J., and Martell, D. L.: Fire weather index system components for large fires in the Canadian boreal forest, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 13, 391–400, https://doi.org/10.1071/Wf03066, 2004.
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Based on simulated meteorology from 13 GCMs, we projected future wildfire activity in Alaskan and Canadian ecoregions by the mid-century. The most robust change is the increase of 150-390% in area burned over Alaska and western Canada. The models also predict an increase of 45-90% in the central and southern Canadian ecoregions, but a decrease of up to 50% in northern Canada. We further quantify how the changes in wildfire emissions may affect ozone concentrations in North America.
Based on simulated meteorology from 13 GCMs, we projected future wildfire activity in Alaskan...
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