Articles | Volume 15, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10033-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10033-2015
Research article
 | 
08 Sep 2015
Research article |  | 08 Sep 2015

Impact of 2050 climate change on North American wildfire: consequences for ozone air quality

X. Yue, L. J. Mickley, J. A. Logan, R. C. Hudman, M. V. Martin, and R. M. Yantosca

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Cited articles

Abbott, K. N., Leblon, B., Staples, G. C., Maclean, D. A., and Alexander, M. E.: Fire danger monitoring using RADARSAT-1 over northern boreal forests, Int. J. Remote Sens., 28, 1317–1338, https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160600904956, 2007.
Akagi, S. K., Yokelson, R. J., Wiedinmyer, C., Alvarado, M. J., Reid, J. S., Karl, T., Crounse, J. D., and Wennberg, P. O.: Emission factors for open and domestic biomass burning for use in atmospheric models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 4039–4072, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-4039-2011, 2011.
Amiro, B. D., Todd, J. B., Wotton, B. M., Logan, K. A., Flannigan, M. D., Stocks, B. J., Mason, J. A., Martell, D. L., and Hirsch, K. G.: Direct carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires, 1959–1999, Can. J. Forest Res., 31, 512–525, https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-31-3-512, 2001.
Amiro, B. D., Logan, K. A., Wotton, B. M., Flannigan, M. D., Todd, J. B., Stocks, B. J., and Martell, D. L.: Fire weather index system components for large fires in the Canadian boreal forest, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 13, 391–400, https://doi.org/10.1071/Wf03066, 2004.
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Short summary
Based on simulated meteorology from 13 GCMs, we projected future wildfire activity in Alaskan and Canadian ecoregions by the mid-century. The most robust change is the increase of 150-390% in area burned over Alaska and western Canada. The models also predict an increase of 45-90% in the central and southern Canadian ecoregions, but a decrease of up to 50% in northern Canada. We further quantify how the changes in wildfire emissions may affect ozone concentrations in North America.
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