Articles | Volume 25, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3583-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3583-2025
Research article
 | 
26 Mar 2025
Research article |  | 26 Mar 2025

Construction and application of a pollen emissions model based on phenology and random forests

Jiangtao Li, Xingqin An, Zhaobin Sun, Caihua Ye, Qing Hou, Yuxin Zhao, and Zhe Liu

Related authors

Development of four-dimensional variational assimilation system based on the GRAPES–CUACE adjoint model (GRAPES–CUACE-4D-Var V1.0) and its application in emission inversion
Chao Wang, Xingqin An, Qing Hou, Zhaobin Sun, Yanjun Li, and Jiangtao Li
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 337–350, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-337-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-337-2021, 2021

Related subject area

Subject: Aerosols | Research Activity: Atmospheric Modelling and Data Analysis | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Physics (physical properties and processes)
The impact of uncertainty in black carbon's refractive index on simulated optical depth and radiative forcing
Ruth A. R. Digby, Knut von Salzen, Adam H. Monahan, Nathan P. Gillett, and Jiangnan Li
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 3109–3130, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3109-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-3109-2025, 2025
Short summary
Characterization of brown carbon absorption in different European environments through source contribution analysis
Hector Navarro-Barboza, Jordi Rovira, Vincenzo Obiso, Andrea Pozzer, Marta Via, Andres Alastuey, Xavier Querol, Noemi Perez, Marjan Savadkoohi, Gang Chen, Jesus Yus-Díez, Matic Ivancic, Martin Rigler, Konstantinos Eleftheriadis, Stergios Vratolis, Olga Zografou, Maria Gini, Benjamin Chazeau, Nicolas Marchand, Andre S. H. Prevot, Kaspar Dallenbach, Mikael Ehn, Krista Luoma, Tuukka Petäjä, Anna Tobler, Jaroslaw Necki, Minna Aurela, Hilkka Timonen, Jarkko Niemi, Olivier Favez, Jean-Eudes Petit, Jean-Philippe Putaud, Christoph Hueglin, Nicolas Pascal, Aurélien Chauvigné, Sébastien Conil, Marco Pandolfi, and Oriol Jorba
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2667–2694, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2667-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2667-2025, 2025
Short summary
Accounting for the black carbon aging process in a two-way coupled meteorology–air quality model
Yuzhi Jin, Jiandong Wang, Chao Liu, David C. Wong, Golam Sarwar, Kathleen M. Fahey, Shang Wu, Jiaping Wang, Jing Cai, Zeyuan Tian, Zhouyang Zhang, Jia Xing, Aijun Ding, and Shuxiao Wang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2613–2630, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2613-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2613-2025, 2025
Short summary
The effectiveness of solar radiation management using fine sea spray across multiple climatic regions
Zhe Song, Shaocai Yu, Pengfei Li, Ningning Yao, Lang Chen, Yuhai Sun, Boqiong Jiang, and Daniel Rosenfeld
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2473–2494, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2473-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2473-2025, 2025
Short summary
A global dust emission dataset for estimating dust radiative forcings in climate models
Danny M. Leung, Jasper F. Kok, Longlei Li, David M. Lawrence, Natalie M. Mahowald, Simone Tilmes, and Erik Kluzek
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2311–2331, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2311-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2311-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Aerts, R., Stas, M., Vanlessen, N., Hendrickx, M., Bruffaerts, N., Hoebeke, L., Dendoncker, N., Dujardin, S., Saenen, N. D., Van Nieuwenhuyse, A., Aerts, J.-M., Van Orshoven, J., Nawrot, T. S., and Somers, B.: Residential green space and seasonal distress in a cohort of tree pollen allergy patients, Int. J. Hygien. Environ. Health, 223, 71–79, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijheh.2019.10.004, 2020. 
Ahmed, A., Hakim, A., and Becker, A.: Evaluation of eczema, asthma, allergic rhinitis and allergies among the Grade-1 children of Iqaluit, Allerg. Asthma Clin. Immunol., 14, 9, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13223-018-0232-2, 2018.  
Asher, M. I., Montefort, S., Björkstén, B., Lai, C. K. W., Strachan, D. P., Weiland, S. K., and Williams, H.: Worldwide time trends in the prevalence of symptoms of asthma, allergic rhinoconjunctivitis, and eczema in childhood: ISAAC Phases One and Three repeat multicountry cross-sectional surveys, Lancet, 368, 733–743, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(06)69283-0, 2006. 
Bai, Y., Liu, A., Sun, M., Liu, G., and Meng, Y.: Effect of Pollen Pollution on Human Health, J. Anhui Agri. Sci., 37, 2220–2222, 2009. 
Bastl, K., Kmenta, M., Berger, M., and Berger, U.: The connection of pollen concentrations and crowd-sourced symptom data: new insights from daily and seasonal symptom load index data from 2013 to 2017 in Vienna, World Allerg. Org. J., 11, 24, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40413-018-0203-6, 2018. 
Download
Short summary
Climate change and pollution have intensified pollen allergies. We developed a pollen emissions model using phenology and random forests. Key factors affecting annual pollen emissions include temperature, relative humidity and sunshine hours. Pollen dispersal starts around 10 August, peaks around 30 August and ends by 25 September, lasting about 45 d. Over time, annual pollen emissions exhibit significant fluctuations and a downward trend.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint