Articles | Volume 24, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-6359-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-6359-2024
Research article
 | 
30 May 2024
Research article |  | 30 May 2024

Surface networks in the Arctic may miss a future methane bomb

Sophie Wittig, Antoine Berchet, Isabelle Pison, Marielle Saunois, and Jean-Daniel Paris

Related authors

Estimating methane emissions in the Arctic nations using surface observations from 2008 to 2019
Sophie Wittig, Antoine Berchet, Isabelle Pison, Marielle Saunois, Joël Thanwerdas, Adrien Martinez, Jean-Daniel Paris, Toshinobu Machida, Motoki Sasakawa, Douglas E. J. Worthy, Xin Lan, Rona L. Thompson, Espen Sollum, and Mikhail Arshinov
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 6457–6485, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6457-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-6457-2023, 2023
Short summary
Disentangling methane and carbon dioxide sources and transport across the Russian Arctic from aircraft measurements
Clément Narbaud, Jean-Daniel Paris, Sophie Wittig, Antoine Berchet, Marielle Saunois, Philippe Nédélec, Boris D. Belan, Mikhail Y. Arshinov, Sergei B. Belan, Denis Davydov, Alexander Fofonov, and Artem Kozlov
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 2293–2314, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-2293-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-2293-2023, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Gases | Research Activity: Atmospheric Modelling and Data Analysis | Altitude Range: Troposphere | Science Focus: Physics (physical properties and processes)
Quantifying transboundary transport flux of CO over the Tibetan Plateau: variabilities and drivers
Zhenda Sun, Hao Yin, Zhongfeng Pan, Chongyang Li, Xiao Lu, Ke Liu, Youwen Sun, and Cheng Liu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 6823–6842, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6823-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6823-2025, 2025
Short summary
Inverse modelling of New Zealand's carbon dioxide balance estimates a larger than expected carbon sink
Beata Bukosa, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher, Gordon Brailsford, Dan Smale, Elizabeth D. Keller, W. Troy Baisden, Miko U. F. Kirschbaum, Donna L. Giltrap, Lìyǐn Liáng, Stuart Moore, Rowena Moss, Sylvia Nichol, Jocelyn Turnbull, Alex Geddes, Daemon Kennett, Dóra Hidy, Zoltán Barcza, Louis A. Schipper, Aaron M. Wall, Shin-Ichiro Nakaoka, Hitoshi Mukai, and Andrea Brandon
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 6445–6473, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6445-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6445-2025, 2025
Short summary
Combined CO2 measurement record indicates Amazon forest carbon uptake is offset by savanna carbon release
Santiago Botía, Saqr Munassar, Thomas Koch, Danilo Custodio, Luana S. Basso, Shujiro Komiya, Jost V. Lavric, David Walter, Manuel Gloor, Giordane Martins, Stijn Naus, Gerbrand Koren, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Stijn Hantson, John B. Miller, Wouter Peters, Christian Rödenbeck, and Christoph Gerbig
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 6219–6255, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6219-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-6219-2025, 2025
Short summary
Distinct structures of interannual variations in stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone transport induced by the Tibetan Plateau thermal forcing
Qingjian Yang, Tiangliang Zhao, Yongqing Bai, Kai Meng, Yuehan Luo, Zhijie Tian, Xiaoyun Sun, Weikang Fu, Kai Yang, and Jun Hu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-737,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-737, 2025
Short summary
The importance of moist thermodynamics on neutral buoyancy height for plumes from anthropogenic sources
Sepehr Fathi, Paul Makar, Wanmin Gong, Junhua Zhang, Katherine Hayden, and Mark Gordon
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 2385–2405, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2385-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2385-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

AMAP: Assessment 2015: Methane as an Arctic climate forcer. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway. vii + 139 pp., https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/amap-assessment-2015-methane-as-an-arctic-climate-forcer/1285 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2015. a, b
AMAP: Arctic Climate Change Update 2021: Key Trends and Impacts. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Tromsø, Norway, viii + 148 pp., https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/arctic-climate-change-update-2021-key-trends-and-impacts.-summary-for-policy-makers/3508 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2021. a, b
Ananthaswamy, A.: The methane apocalypse, New Sci., 226, 38–41, 2015. a
Anisimov, O. and Zimov, S.: Thawing permafrost and methane emission in Siberia: Synthesis of observations, reanalysis, and predictive modeling, Ambio, 50, 2050–2059, 2021. a, b
Arctic-Council: Expert Group on Black Carbon and Methane – Summary of Progress and Recommendations 2019, 88 pp., Arctic Council Secretariat, http://hdl.handle.net/11374/2610 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2019. a
Short summary
The aim of this work is to analyse how accurately a methane bomb event could be detected with the current and a hypothetically extended stationary observation network in the Arctic. For this, we incorporate synthetically modelled possible future CH4 concentrations based on plausible emission scenarios into an inverse modelling framework. We analyse how well the increase is detected in different Arctic regions and evaluate the impact of additional observation sites in this respect.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint