Articles | Volume 24, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-6359-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-6359-2024
Research article
 | 
30 May 2024
Research article |  | 30 May 2024

Surface networks in the Arctic may miss a future methane bomb

Sophie Wittig, Antoine Berchet, Isabelle Pison, Marielle Saunois, and Jean-Daniel Paris

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Cited articles

AMAP: Assessment 2015: Methane as an Arctic climate forcer. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Oslo, Norway. vii + 139 pp., https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/amap-assessment-2015-methane-as-an-arctic-climate-forcer/1285 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2015. a, b
AMAP: Arctic Climate Change Update 2021: Key Trends and Impacts. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Tromsø, Norway, viii + 148 pp., https://www.amap.no/documents/doc/arctic-climate-change-update-2021-key-trends-and-impacts.-summary-for-policy-makers/3508 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2021. a, b
Ananthaswamy, A.: The methane apocalypse, New Sci., 226, 38–41, 2015. a
Anisimov, O. and Zimov, S.: Thawing permafrost and methane emission in Siberia: Synthesis of observations, reanalysis, and predictive modeling, Ambio, 50, 2050–2059, 2021. a, b
Arctic-Council: Expert Group on Black Carbon and Methane – Summary of Progress and Recommendations 2019, 88 pp., Arctic Council Secretariat, http://hdl.handle.net/11374/2610 (last access: 8 October 2023), 2019. a
Short summary
The aim of this work is to analyse how accurately a methane bomb event could be detected with the current and a hypothetically extended stationary observation network in the Arctic. For this, we incorporate synthetically modelled possible future CH4 concentrations based on plausible emission scenarios into an inverse modelling framework. We analyse how well the increase is detected in different Arctic regions and evaluate the impact of additional observation sites in this respect.
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