Articles | Volume 18, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-17529-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-17529-2018
Research article
 | 
11 Dec 2018
Research article |  | 11 Dec 2018

Quantifying uncertainty from aerosol and atmospheric parameters and their impact on climate sensitivity

Christopher G. Fletcher, Ben Kravitz, and Bakr Badawy

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Cited articles

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The most important number for future climate projections is Earth's climate sensitivity (CS), or how much warming will result from increased carbon dioxide. We cannot know the true CS, and estimates of CS from climate models have a wide range. This study identifies the major factors that control this range, and we show that the choice of methods used in creating a climate model are three times more important than fine-tuning the details of the model after it is created.
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