Articles | Volume 18, issue 23
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 17529–17543, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-17529-2018

Special issue: NETCARE (Network on Aerosols and Climate: Addressing Key Uncertainties...

Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 17529–17543, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-17529-2018

Research article 11 Dec 2018

Research article | 11 Dec 2018

Quantifying uncertainty from aerosol and atmospheric parameters and their impact on climate sensitivity

Christopher G. Fletcher et al.

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Latest update: 25 Oct 2021
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Short summary
The most important number for future climate projections is Earth's climate sensitivity (CS), or how much warming will result from increased carbon dioxide. We cannot know the true CS, and estimates of CS from climate models have a wide range. This study identifies the major factors that control this range, and we show that the choice of methods used in creating a climate model are three times more important than fine-tuning the details of the model after it is created.
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