Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
Review article
25 Feb 2022
Review article |  | 25 Feb 2022

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

Adam A. Scaife, Mark P. Baldwin, Amy H. Butler, Andrew J. Charlton-Perez, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Steven C. Hardiman, Peter Haynes, Alexey Yu Karpechko, Eun-Pa Lim, Shunsuke Noguchi, Judith Perlwitz, Lorenzo Polvani, Jadwiga H. Richter, John Scinocca, Michael Sigmond, Theodore G. Shepherd, Seok-Woo Son, and David W. J. Thompson


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on acp-2021-719', Paul PUKITE, 16 Sep 2021
  • RC1: 'Comment on acp-2021-719', Anonymous Referee #1, 29 Oct 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on acp-2021-719', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Oct 2021
  • AC1: 'Comment on acp-2021-719', Adam Scaife, 10 Dec 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Adam Scaife on behalf of the Authors (10 Dec 2021)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Dec 2021) by Martin Dameris
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (12 Jan 2022)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (14 Jan 2022)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (18 Jan 2022) by Martin Dameris
AR by Adam Scaife on behalf of the Authors (20 Jan 2022)  Author's response   Manuscript 
Short summary
Great progress has been made in computer modelling and simulation of the whole climate system, including the stratosphere. Since the late 20th century we also gained a much clearer understanding of how the stratosphere interacts with the lower atmosphere. The latest generation of numerical prediction systems now explicitly represents the stratosphere and its interaction with surface climate, and here we review its role in long-range predictions and projections from weeks to decades ahead.
Final-revised paper