Articles | Volume 20, issue 14
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 8441–8451, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8441-2020
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 8441–8451, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8441-2020

Research article 20 Jul 2020

Research article | 20 Jul 2020

Adding value to extended-range forecasts in northern Europe by statistical post-processing using stratospheric observations

Natalia Korhonen et al.

Download

Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Natalia Korhonen on behalf of the Authors (25 Nov 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Nov 2019) by Peter Haynes
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (13 Dec 2019)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (19 Dec 2019)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Jan 2020) by Peter Haynes
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (06 Mar 2020)  Author's response
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Mar 2020) by Peter Haynes
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (16 Apr 2020)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (16 Apr 2020) by Peter Haynes
AR by Svenja Lange on behalf of the Authors (04 Jun 2020)  Author's response
ED: Publish as is (20 Jun 2020) by Peter Haynes
Download
Short summary
Reanalysis data of the strength of the polar vortex is applied in the post-processing of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) winter surface temperature forecasts for weeks 3–4 and 5–6 over northern Europe. In this way, the skill scores of these forecasts are slightly improved. It is also found that, in cases where the polar vortex was weak at the start of the forecast, the mean skill scores of these forecasts were higher than average.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint