Articles | Volume 25, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-16833-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-16833-2025
Research article
 | 
26 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 26 Nov 2025

Explaining trends and changing seasonal cycles of surface ozone in North America and Europe over the 2000–2018 period: a global modelling study with NOx and VOC tagging

Tabish Ansari, Aditya Nalam, Aurelia Lupaşcu, Carsten Hinz, Simon Grasse, and Tim Butler

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Cited articles

Ansari, T.: Gridded and regional averaged ozone concentrations over North America and Europe and their NOx and VOC contributions for 2000–2018 [Data set]. In Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17227809, 2025. 
Ansari, T. U., Wild, O., Li, J., Yang, T., Xu, W., Sun, Y., and Wang, Z.: Effectiveness of short-term air quality emission controls: a high-resolution model study of Beijing during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit period, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 8651–8668, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-8651-2019, 2019. 
Ansari, T. U., Wild, O., Ryan, E., Chen, Y., Li, J., and Wang, Z.: Temporally resolved sectoral and regional contributions to air pollution in Beijing: informing short-term emission controls, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 4471–4485, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-4471-2021, 2021. 
Ashmore, M. R.: Assessing the future global impacts of ozone on vegetation, Plant Cell Environ., 28, 949–964, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3040.2005.01341.x, 2005. 
Atkinson, R.: Gas-phase tropospheric chemistry of organic compounds: A review, Atmos. Environ. Pt. A: Gen. Top., 24, 1–41, https://doi.org/10.1016/0960-1686(90)90438-S, 1990. 
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Short summary
Surface ozone can travel far from its sources. In recent decades, emissions of ozone-forming gases have decreased in North America and Europe but risen in Asia, alongside rising global methane levels. Using advanced modeling, this study reveals that while local reductions in nitrogen oxides have lowered summer ozone, increases in ozone production from natural and foreign sources offset these gains. Methane remains important, but its ozone impact has declined with reduced local emissions.
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