Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-1987-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-1987-2023
Research article
 | 
08 Feb 2023
Research article |  | 08 Feb 2023

Temperature and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) sensitivity of orographic precipitation enhanced by a mixed-phase seeder–feeder mechanism: a case study for the 2015 Cumbria flood

Julia Thomas, Andrew Barrett, and Corinna Hoose

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Cited articles

Alizadeh-Choobari, O.: Impact of aerosol number concentration on precipitation under different precipitation rates, Meteorol. Appl., 25, 596–605, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1724, 2018. a, b
Alizadeh-Choobari, O. and Gharaylou, M.: Aerosol impacts on radiative and microphysical properties of clouds and precipitation formation, Atmos. Res., 185, 53–64, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.10.021, 2017. a
Allen, R. and Ingram, W.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01092, 2002. a
Bechtold, P., Köhler, M., Jung, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Leutbecher, M., Rodwell, M. J., Vitart, F., and Balsamo, G.: Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time-scales, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 134, 1337–1351, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.289, 2008. a
Bergeron, T.: On the low-level redistribution of atmospheric water caused by orography, Proceedings of the international conference on cloud physics, Tokyo and Sapporo-shi, Japan, 24 May–1 June 1965, 96–100, 1965. a, b
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Short summary
We study the sensitivity of rain formation processes during a heavy-rainfall event over mountains to changes in temperature and pollution. Total rainfall increases by 2 % K−1, and a 6 % K−1 increase is found at the highest altitudes, caused by a mixed-phase seeder–feeder mechanism (frozen cloud particles melt and grow further as they fall through a liquid cloud layer). In a cleaner atmosphere this process is enhanced. Thus the risk of severe rainfall in mountains may increase in the future.
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