Articles | Volume 26, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-12565-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-12565-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Coastal upwelling and tropical warm water intrusions are key drivers of interannual fog variability along the southwestern African coast
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Atmospheric Trace Gases and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
Jan Cermak
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Atmospheric Trace Gases and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
Hendrik Andersen
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Atmospheric Trace Gases and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, Karlsruhe, Germany
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Fog is a critical water source for life in the Namib Desert. To assess how fog may change in the future, we combined satellite observations with climate model projections. Warming ocean temperatures reduce fog, but stronger onshore winds and increased atmospheric stability counteract this effect. Overall, Namib fog appears more resilient to climate change than previously thought, a finding that may apply to other fog-prone coasts worldwide.
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Sarah Wilson Kemsley, Paulo Ceppi, Hendrik Andersen, Jan Cermak, Philip Stier, and Peer Nowack
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Matthew W. Christensen, Andrew Gettelman, Jan Cermak, Guy Dagan, Michael Diamond, Alyson Douglas, Graham Feingold, Franziska Glassmeier, Tom Goren, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Edward Gryspeerdt, Ralph Kahn, Zhanqing Li, Po-Lun Ma, Florent Malavelle, Isabel L. McCoy, Daniel T. McCoy, Greg McFarquhar, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Sandip Pal, Anna Possner, Adam Povey, Johannes Quaas, Daniel Rosenfeld, Anja Schmidt, Roland Schrödner, Armin Sorooshian, Philip Stier, Velle Toll, Duncan Watson-Parris, Robert Wood, Mingxi Yang, and Tianle Yuan
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Short summary
Fog is a vital water source in the Namib Desert, but its year-to-year variability is poorly understood. Using satellite observations and reanalysis data, we show that fog and low-cloud variability is closely tied to sea surface temperatures in the Benguela upwelling system. Warm events driven by tropical water intrusions are followed by reduced fog in the northern Namib, indicating that ocean state carries predictive information for fog in this hyper-arid ecosystem.
Fog is a vital water source in the Namib Desert, but its year-to-year variability is poorly...
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