Articles | Volume 25, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2589-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2589-2025
Research article
 | 
28 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 28 Feb 2025

Assessment of the 11-year solar cycle signals in the middle atmosphere during boreal winter with multiple-model ensemble simulations

Wenjuan Huo, Tobias Spiegl, Sebastian Wahl, Katja Matthes, Ulrike Langematz, Holger Pohlmann, and Jürgen Kröger

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Cited articles

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Butler, A. H., Perez, A. C., Domeisen, D. I. V., Simpson, I. R., and Sjoberg, J.: Predictability of Northern Hemisphere final stratospheric warmings and their surface impacts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 10578–10588, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083346, 2019. a
Chiodo, G., Marsh, D. R., Garcia-Herrera, R., Calvo, N., and García, J. A.: On the detection of the solar signal in the tropical stratosphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 5251–5269, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-5251-2014, 2014. a
Chiodo, G., Oehrlein, J., Polvani, L. M., Fyfe, J. C., and Smith, A. K.: Insignificant influence of the 11-year solar cycle on the North Atlantic Oscillation, Nat. Geosci, 12, 94–99, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0293-3, 2019. a, b
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Uncertainties of the solar signals in the middle atmosphere are assessed based on large ensemble simulations with multiple climate models. Our results demonstrate that the 11-year solar signals in the shortwave heating rate, temperature, and ozone anomalies are significant and robust. The simulated dynamical responses are model-dependent, and solar imprints in the polar night jet are influenced by biases in the model used.
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