Articles | Volume 23, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7535-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7535-2023
Research article
 | 
11 Jul 2023
Research article |  | 11 Jul 2023

Better-constrained climate sensitivity when accounting for dataset dependency on pattern effect estimates

Angshuman Modak and Thorsten Mauritsen

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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
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Short summary
We provide an improved estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) constrained based on the instrumental temperature record including the corrections for the pattern effect. The improved estimate factors in the uncertainty caused by the underlying sea-surface temperature datasets used in the estimates of pattern effect. This together with the inter-model spread lifts the corresponding IPCC AR6 estimate to 3.2 K [1.8 to 11.0], which is lower and better constrained than in past studies.
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