Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
ACP
Articles | Volume 23, issue 19
Articles | Volume 23, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12477-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12477-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 23, issue 19
Research article
 | 
09 Oct 2023
Research article |  | 09 Oct 2023

Using synthetic case studies to explore the spread and calibration of ensemble atmospheric dispersion forecasts

Andrew R. Jones, Susan J. Leadbetter, and Matthew C. Hort

Viewed

Total article views: 1,495 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
1,235 213 47 1,495 87 38 45
  • HTML: 1,235
  • PDF: 213
  • XML: 47
  • Total: 1,495
  • Supplement: 87
  • BibTeX: 38
  • EndNote: 45
Views and downloads (calculated since 17 Apr 2023)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 17 Apr 2023)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 1,495 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,470 with geography defined and 25 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 29 Mar 2025
Download
Short summary
The paper explores spread and calibration properties of ensemble atmospheric dispersion forecasts for hypothetical release events. Real-time forecasts from an ensemble weather prediction system were used to generate an ensemble of dispersion predictions and assessed against simulations produced using analysis meteorology. Results demonstrate good performance overall but highlight more skilful predictions for material released in the upper air compared with releases near the surface.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint