Articles | Volume 22, issue 17
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-11603-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-11603-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model output statistics (MOS) applied to Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS) O3 forecasts: trade-offs between continuous and categorical skill scores
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Dene Bowdalo
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Marc Guevara
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Oriol Jorba
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Jan Mateu Armengol
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Margarida Samso Cabre
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Kim Serradell
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Albert Soret
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Carlos Pérez Garcia-Pando
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
ICREA, Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies, Barcelona, Spain
Data sets
ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1959 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47
Short summary
This study investigates the extent to which ozone forecasts provided by the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS) can be improved using surface observations and state-of-the-art statistical methods. Through a case study over the Iberian Peninsula in 2018–2019, it unambiguously demonstrates the value of these methods for improving the raw CAMS O3 forecasts while at the same time highlighting the complexity of improving the detection of the highest O3 concentrations.
This study investigates the extent to which ozone forecasts provided by the Copernicus...
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