Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-4039-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-4039-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Identifying forecast uncertainties for biogenic gases in the Po Valley related to model configuration in EURAD-IM during PEGASOS 2012
Institute for Energy and Climate Research – Troposphere (IEK-8), Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany
Rhenish Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
now at: Institute for Geophysics and Meteorology, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
Hendrik Elbern
Institute for Energy and Climate Research – Troposphere (IEK-8), Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany
Rhenish Institute for Environmental Research at the University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
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Short summary
Forecasts of biogenic trace gases highly depend on the model setup and input fields. This study identifies sources of related forecast uncertainties for biogenic gases. Exceptionally high differences in both biogenic emissions and pollutant transport in the Po Valley are identified to be caused by the representation of the land surface and boundary layer dynamics. Consequently, changes in the model configuration are shown to induce significantly different local concentrations of biogenic gases.
Forecasts of biogenic trace gases highly depend on the model setup and input fields. This study...
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