the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Evaluation of SO2, SO42− and an updated SO2 dry deposition parameterization in the United Kingdom Earth System Model
Catherine Hardacre
Jane P. Mulcahy
Richard J. Pope
Colin G. Jones
Steven T. Rumbold
Colin Johnson
Steven T. Turnock
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- Final revised paper (published on 20 Dec 2021)
- Preprint (discussion started on 28 Apr 2021)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
-
CC1: 'Note bias in emissions data over western USA', Steven Smith, 13 May 2021
Note that the emissions data has a known bias, with SO2 emissions too high over the Western USA. This may be because the proxy data used to spatially distribute emissions does not take into account lower sulfur coal used in power plants and industry in the western USA. This will likely impact results there. (This has smaller relative impact eastern US emissions since values are much larger overall in the east.)
https://github.com/JGCRI/CEDS/issues/2
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-238-CC1 -
RC1: 'Comment on acp-2021-238', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Jun 2021
[General comments]
Hardacre et al. report the impact of revising a dry deposition parameterization for SO2 in the earth system model UKESM1. The model behavior before and after revising the dry deposition parameterization is evaluated using ground-level observations of SO2 and sulfate aerosols in USA and Europe, dry deposition fluxes of SO2 estimated in USA and satellite measurements of SO2 vertical column densities over USA, Europe and South to Northeast Asia, including their temporal trends over the period from 1987 to 2014. Major changes in the dry deposition parameterization are the consideration of leaf wetness after rainfall and more than 100-fold decrease of surface resistance from 148 s/m to 1 s/m on the water surface. The authors state that the relative humidity dependence of leaf and soil wetness is also a new addition to the revised algorithm. Other changes, which the authors state are of minor importance, are the lowering of reference height for the aerodynamic resistance calculation from 50 m to 10 m and the use of an alternative stability correction formula again for the aerodynamic resistance calculation. Although I argue that the revised treatment of wet surface/canopy resistance for SO2 employed in this study is not necessarily very new (e.g., Pleim and Ran, 2011, Figure 2), the description of models in the literature often lacks clarity in the details of what they are doing in the dry deposition parameterizations. There are indeed ongoing efforts in the air quality modeling community to come up with measures for evaluating the behavior of sub-components of dry deposition parameterizations (e.g., Hayden et al., 2021; Galmarini et al., 2021).
The results of model runs before and after the changes in the dry deposition parameterization are thoroughly evaluated against observations. This is a strength of the paper. On the other hand, the authors do not delve into changes in the atmospheric budgets (or lifetimes) of SO2 and sulfate aerosols, which obscures the meaning of the present study for the aerosol-climate modeling community. Obviously, the motivation of the study comes from significant high biases found in the ground-level concentrations and vertical column densities of SO2 simulated by UKESM1. The new parameterization has alleviated this problem; however, it has degraded the model performance in the simulation of ground-level aerosol sulfate concentrations in eastern USA and Europe, biased low before and even lower after the implementation of the new parameterization. In addition, the modeled SO2 dry deposition fluxes in USA are biased high before and even higher after the implementation of the new parameterization. This may be a case where the status quo of compensation errors is broken in the representation of atmospheric sulfur cycles; in the discussions section, the authors list a number of challenges that may need to be scrutinized in their forthcoming model versions.
The authors could make the paper more informative to the community if they would provide the global or regional (over SO2 source regions like eastern USA and Europe) budgets of SO2 and sulfate aerosols in the model and how they change before and after the implementation of the new parameterization. In addition, there is no demonstration of changes in the dry deposition velocities themselves. In my opinion, Section 4 and Figure 10 should be preceded by discussions and figures of how the new additions related to leaf and soil wetness affect the calculated dry deposition velocities across the globe and perhaps in different seasons. I recommend the authors to deal with the following aspects before the manuscript is accepted for publication.
[Specific comments]
- The crux of this study should be the impact of changing the dry deposition parameterization on the simulated tropospheric sulfur cycles. In order to serve for this purpose, the authors should beef up the contents of the manuscript in the model description and the discussion of dry deposition velocities. In section 2.2.1, the authors should provide a clear description of mathematical formulae employed for prescribing the leaf cuticle and soil resistances to SO2 uptake as a function of relative humidity and references for the basis of the employed formulae. Section 4 should begin with the discussion of simulated dry deposition velocities themselves (rather than the dry deposition fluxes) before and after the implementation of the new parameterization (see, for example, Ganzeveld et al., 1998).
- It is not clear whether other aerosol-climate and earth system models share some of the model biases reported in this study, which I hope the authors will touch on when revising the manuscript. The authors allude to inaccuracies in CMIP6 emissions as one of the error sources. It leads me to wonder if other models participating in CMIP6 exhibit the same problem as identified in this study. In addition, the authors need to elaborate the point of argument by Pope and Chipperfield (2021) regarding “total SO2 emissions in CMIP6 are moderately larger than the HTAP-OMI and EDGAR data sets” (L576-579).
- The analysis of the present model results will become much stronger if the authors can dive deeper into the metrics of model behavior related to the budget of atmospheric sulfur compounds and its changes with the revision of the dry deposition parameterization. This will allow us to grasp the broader context of this study. For example, the authors could calculate the regional lower-tropospheric budgets of SO2 and sulfate following Chin and Jacob (1996, Figs. 2-3) or re-iterate the global budget of SO2 discussed in Mulcahy et al. (2020, Tables 4-5) with possible extension of the comparison with yet other models. The point is that knowing the proportions of SO2 lost via dry and wet deposition and via oxidative conversion to sulfate provides a more in-depth measure of UKESM1’s performance in its sulfur cycle. As it stands in the present version of the manuscript, this aspect is discussed only qualitatively. Another useful metric would be the SO2 lifetime and its seasonal variations estimated from regional SO2 vertical column densities and emission intensities (e.g., Lee et al., 2011, Fig. 2; Buchard et al., 2014, Fig. 3).
- The authors state that emissions from the energy and industrial sectors are all emitted into the first model layer (line 156), which seems to have been indicated by Mulcahy et al. (2020) as one potential weakness for the handling of this process in UKESM1. The injection of SO2 emissions from large stacks across several vertical layers above the lowest model layer (in lieu of plume-rise modeling) has improved the agreement of ground-level SO2 concentrations simulated by GEOS-5/GOCART model with observations in USA, whereas the SO2 vertical column densities did not change significantly (Buchard et al., 2014). The authors should refer to this finding when discussing the model evaluation against observed ground-level SO2 concentrations. Perhaps it is too much to ask a new set of model runs for testing this emission treatment problem within the present study, but I am inclined to an idea that it can alleviate many problems identified in this study (high biases in the ground-level concentrations and dry deposition fluxes of SO2 and low biases in the ground-level aerosol sulfate concentrations in USA and Europe).
- The reactive uptake of SO2 on dust aerosols can notably reduce the SO2 concentrations and has a very large impact over China (e.g., Dentener et al., 1996; Liao et al., 2003, Bauer and Koch, 2005). It doesn’t appear that UKESM1 accounts for this process, hence another possible contributor to the model SO2 bias especially over China.
- The authors should justify the change of reference height from 50 m to 10 m for the computation of aerodynamic resistance, by explaining whether it comes with changes in the configuration of vertical layer thickness of the model. The reference height should be in general approximately half the thickness of the lowest model layer (e.g., Ganzeveld and Lelieveld, 1995, Section 3.2); if the lowest model layer thickness is substantially greater than 20 m (say, 40 m or greater), it calls for a strong rationale for using the reference height at 10 m. The authors should clarify the point of argument by Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) if UKESM1’s lowest model layer thickness is much greater than 20 m. Toyota et al. (2016, Section 2.2) gave a rationale in favor of Ganzeveld and Lelieveld (1995) for the choice of reference height from the mathematical formulation of aerodynamic resistance.
- Toyota et al. (2016) also noted that stability corrections applied for the computation of aerodynamic resistance are often inconsistent between dry deposition and host meteorological modules employed in the same model system. Does the use of the Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) function instead of the Dyer (1974) function reduce or eliminate this problem of inconsistency with meteorological flux calculation (i.e., u* and L) within UKESM1?
[Technical suggestions]
L158-159: “Gas- and aqueous-phase oxidation of …”
L113: Would you classify the gravitational settling as part of the wet deposition processes?
L126: “ares” -> “areas”
L136: “to be developed” -> “being developed”
L190: The soil pH is not taken care of in the model even after the revision to the parameterization, right? Please clarify. The authors may also want to cite Ganzeveld et al. (1998), which dealt with changes in the soil pH in their global tropospheric sulfur chemistry-transport model.
L201: Garland and Branson (1977) reported the dry deposition of SO2 to pine forest. Please correct me if I am wrong, but I cannot find the surface resistance of SO2 on the water surface in this study.
Figure 2 caption: “(a, c)” -> “(a, d)”, “(b, d)” -> “(b, e)” and “(c, e)” -> “(c, f)”
L376, 485 & 488: “peninsular” -> “peninsula”
Table 6 caption: Please come up with a better phrase for what “zonally averaged (median) time series” mean.
Figure 9: Change the figure title for “South East Asia” to “South to North East Asia”.
L486: “9” -> “8”
L503: “this aspect of THE change”
L538: “NMB = 0.25” -> “NMB = -0.25” and “NMB = 0.43” -> “NMB = -0.43”
L579: The authors need to be more specific about the data merging between OMI and HTAP.
L690: “would BE beneficial”
[References]
Bauer, S. E., and D. Koch (2005), Impact of heterogeneous sulfate formation at mineral dust surfaces on aerosol loads and radiative forcing in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D17202, doi:10.1029/2005JD005870.
Buchard, V., da Silva, A. M., Colarco, P., Krotkov, N., Dickerson, R. R., Stehr, J. W., Mount, G., Spinei, E., Arkinson, H. L., and He, H.: Evaluation of GEOS-5 sulfur dioxide simulations during the Frostburg, MD 2010 field campaign, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 1929–1941, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-1929-2014, 2014.
Chin, M., and D. J. Jacob (1996), Anthropogenic and Natural Contributions to Tropospheric Sulfate: A Global Model Analysis, J. Geophys. Res., 101 (D13), 18691, doi:10.1029/96jd01222.
Dentener, F. J., G. R. Carmichael, Y. Zhang, J. Lelieveld, and P. J. Crutzen, Role of mineral aerosol as a reactive surface in the global troposphere, J. Geophys. Res., 101, 22,869-22,889, 1996.
Dyer, A.: A review of flux-profile relationships, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 7, 363-372, 1974.
Galmarini, S., Makar, P., Clifton, O., Hogrefe, C., Bash, J., Bianconi, R., Bellasio, R., Bieser, J., Butler, T., Ducker, J., Flemming, J., Hozdic, A., Holmes, C., Kioutsioukis, I., Kranenburg, R., Lupascu, A., Perez-Camanyo, J. L., Pleim, J., Ryu, Y.-H., San Jose, R., Schwede, D., Silva, S., Garcia Vivanco, M., and Wolke, R.: Technical Note – AQMEII4 Activity 1: Evaluation of Wet and Dry Deposition Schemes as an Integral Part of Regional-Scale Air Quality Models, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-313, in review, 2021.
Ganzeveld, L., and Lelieveld, J. (1995), Dry deposition parameterization in a chemistry general circulation model and its influence on the distribution of reactive trace gases, J. Geophys. Res., 100(D10), 20999- 21012, doi:10.1029/95JD02266.
Ganzeveld, L., Lelieveld, J., and Roelofs, G.-J. (1998), A dry deposition parameterization for sulfur oxides in a chemistry and general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 103(D5), 5679-5694, doi:10.1029/97JD03077.
Hayden, K., Li, S.-M., Makar, P., Liggio, J., Moussa, S. G., Akingunola, A., McLaren, R., Staebler, R. M., Darlington, A., O'Brien, J., Zhang, J., Wolde, M., and Zhang, L.: New methodology shows short atmospheric lifetimes of oxidized sulfur and nitrogen due to dry deposition, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 8377–8392, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-8377-2021, 2021.
Holtslag, A. A. M., and De Bruin, H. A. R.: Applied Modeling of the Nighttime Surface Energy Balance over Land. J. Appl. Meteorol., 27, 689-704, 1988.
Lee, C., Martin, R. V., van Donkelaar, A., Lee, H., Dickerson, R. R., Hains, J. C., Krotkov, N., Richter, A., Vinnikov, K., and Schwab, J. J.: SO2 emissions and lifetimes: Estimates from inverse modeling using in situ and global, space-based (SCIAMACHY and OMI) observations, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D06304, doi:10.1029/2010JD014758, 2011.
Liao, H., P. J. Adams, S. H. Chung, J. H. Seinfeld, L. J. Mickley, and D. J. Jacob, Interactions between tropospheric chemistry and aerosols in a unified general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D1), 4001, doi:10.1029/2001JD001260, 2003.
Mulcahy, J. P., Johnson, C., Jones, C. G., Povey, A. C., Scott, C. E., Sellar, A., Turnock, S. T., Woodhouse, M. T., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., Bellouin, N., Browse, J., Carslaw, K. S., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Glover, M., Grosvenor, D. P., Hardacre, C., Hill, R., Johnson, B., Jones, A., Kipling, Z., Mann, G., Mollard, J., O'Connor, F. M., Palmiéri, J., Reddington, C., Rumbold, S. T., Richardson, M., Schutgens, N. A. J., Stier, P., Stringer, M., Tang, Y., Walton, J., Woodward, S., and Yool, A.: Description and evaluation of aerosol in UKESM1 and HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP6 historical simulations, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 6383–6423, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6383-2020, 2020.
Pleim, J., and Ran, L.: Surface Flux Modeling for Air Quality Applications, Atmosphere, 2, 271-302, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos2030271, 2011.
Toyota, K., Dastoor, A. P., and Ryzhkov, A.: Parameterization of gaseous dry deposition in atmospheric chemistry models: Sensitivity to aerodynamic resistance formulations under statically stable conditions, Atmos. Environ., 147, 409-422, 2016.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-238-RC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Catherine Hardacre, 16 Sep 2021
Reply to Reviewer 1
We thank the reviewer for their careful reading of the manuscript and their suggestions for improvement. The Reviewer's comments and our responses can be found below.
[Specific comments]1. The crux of this study should be the impact of changing the dry deposition parameterization on the simulated tropospheric sulfur cycles. In order to serve for this purpose, the authors should beef up the contents of the manuscript in the model description and the discussion of dry deposition velocities. In section 2.2.1, the authors should provide a clear description of mathematical formulae employed for prescribing the leaf cuticle and soil resistances to SO2 uptake as a function of relative humidity and references for the basis of the employed formulae. Section 4 should begin with the discussion of simulated dry deposition velocities themselves (rather than the dry deposition fluxes) before and after the implementation of the new parameterization (see, for example, Ganzeveld et al., 1998).
=> We have now included an Appendix (Appendix A) to provide a more detailed description of the changes to the SO2 dry deposition parameterization. The reader is directed to this from Section 2.2.1. This appendix includes a table illustrating how cuticular restistance (Rcut) and soil resistance (Rsoil) in are represented differently in UKESM1 and UKESM1-SO2. We include the mathematical formulae for calculating Rcut as a function of humidity and clearly state the references used for these formulae. In keeping the technical details of the SO2 dry deposition modifications separate from the main text we aim to keep the manuscript more streamlined for the reader.
=> As suggested by the reviewer we have now included an analysis of the SO2 dry deposition velocities in UKESM1 and UKESM1-SO2. In section 4.1 we have included a new figure showing the annual mean, DJF mean and JJA mean for SO2 dry deposition velocities for UKESM1, and difference plots showing the impact of the modifications to the SO2 dry deposition paramterization on the deposition velocities in UKESM1-SO2. These results are then summarized in Section 4.1, paragragh 1.
=> In response the comment in paragraph 1 of the reviewer's General Comments, we clarify here that we do not mean to suggest that we have developed a new treatment of surface canopy wetness. Rather that this is an update for the SO2 dry deposition parameterization in UKESM1. We have reworded the text in Section 2.1.1 to clarify that we have adapted the findings from observational studies and applied them to UKESM1.
2. It is not clear whether other aerosol-climate and earth system models share some of the model biases reported in this study, which I hope the authors will touch on when revising the manuscript. The authors allude to inaccuracies in CMIP6 emissions as one of the error sources. It leads me to wonder if other models participating in CMIP6 exhibit the same problem as identified in this study. In addition, the authors need to elaborate the point of argument by Pope and Chipperfield (2021) regarding “total SO2 emissions in CMIP6 are moderately larger than the HTAP-OMI and EDGAR data sets” (L576-579).=> With the exception of Aas et al., (2019) we are not currently aware of a study that has evaluated SO2/SO4(2-) across the CMIP6 ensemble. Aas et al. (2019) compare modelled and observed trends in SO2 and SO4 over the recent historical period, finding that the models do capture these trends over most regions. This is also the case for UKESM1 and UKESM1-SO2. We have added a snetence in Section 3.1, Para. 1 to highlight the agreement between out findings and those of Aas et al., (2019). However, it is not clear from Aas et al. (2019) how the models are are biased relative to SO2 or SO4(2-) concentrations. We note that in a communication from Stephen Smith in the open discussion of this manuscript that the CMIP6 emissions over the Western USA are too high, which we have highlighted in our revised manuscript, along with an elaboration on the statement regarding the differences between the CMIP6 dataset and the HTAP-OMI and EDGAR data sets (see Discussion, Para. 3). Further, Aas et al., (2019) also suggest that there are larger uncertainties in the emissions and representivity of the SO2 emissions over East Asia compared with Europe and North America, although the emission datasets used in that study were different from the CMIP6 emissions used in this study. We aim to evalaute sulphur species in the wider CMIP6 ensemble in a future study and this may shed some light on any systematic bias in the CMIP6 SO2 emissions dataset.
3. The analysis of the present model results will become much stronger if the authors can dive deeper into the metrics of model behavior related to the budget of atmospheric sulfur compounds and its changes with the revision of the dry deposition parameterization. This will allow us to grasp the broader context of this study. For example, the authors could calculate the regional lower-tropospheric budgets of SO2 and sulfate following Chin and Jacob (1996, Figs. 2-3) or re-iterate the global budget of SO2 discussed in Mulcahy et al. (2020, Tables 4-5) with possible extension of the comparison with yet other models. The point is that knowing the proportions of SO2 lost via dry and wet deposition and via oxidative conversion to sulfate provides a more in-depth measure of UKESM1’s performance in its sulfur cycle. As it stands in the present version of the manuscript, this aspect is discussed only qualitatively. Another useful metric would be the SO2 lifetime and its seasonal variations estimated from regional SO2 vertical column densities and emission intensities (e.g., Lee et al., 2011, Fig. 2; Buchard et al., 2014, Fig. 3).=> We have now calculated the SO2 budget using a 2 year AMIP simulation covering the period 1981–1983 inclusive. The SO2 budget for UKESM1 is in good agreement with that shown in Mulcahy et al. (2020). The budget for UKESM1-SO2 clearly shows the impact of the dry deposition modifications on the SO2 burden, SO2 lifetime and the deposition and oxidation processes. The SO2 budget is presented in Appendix C, with the main findings summarized in Section 4.1, para. 2 and discussed in the Discussion, para. 5 and 7.
4. The authors state that emissions from the energy and industrial sectors are all emitted into the first model layer (line 156), which seems to have been indicated by Mulcahy et al. (2020) as one potential weakness for the handling of this process in UKESM1. The injection of SO2 emissions from large stacks across several vertical layers above the lowest model layer (in lieu of plume-rise modeling) has improved the agreement of ground-level SO2 concentrations simulated by GEOS-5/GOCART model with observations in USA, whereas the SO2 vertical column densities did not change significantly (Buchard et al., 2014). The authors should refer to this finding when discussing the model evaluation against observed ground-level SO2 concentrations. Perhaps it is too much to ask a new set of model runs for testing this emission treatment problem within the present study, but I am inclined to an idea that it can alleviate many problems identified in this study (high biases in the ground-level concentrations and dry deposition fluxes of SO2 and low biases in the ground-level aerosol sulfate concentrations in USA and Europe).=> The reviewer is correct in that varying the height at which SO2 emitted in to the atmosphere, as opposed to emitting all SO2 at the surface, can reduce model bias in surface SO2 concentrations. This was demonstrated by Mulcahy et al. (2020) in their comparison between UKESM1 and HadGEM-GC3.1, although model bias in atmospheric SO4 concentrations was not reduced in this study. In emitting all SO2 at the surface in UKESM1 we maintain consistency with other Met Office model configurations, however, implementing a vayring emission height is a key development target for the model. We thank the reviewer for pointing us towards the study by Buchard et al. (2014) and we have cited this paper in the Discussion, para. 4.
5. The reactive uptake of SO2 on dust aerosols can notably reduce the SO2 concentrations and has a very large impact over China (e.g., Dentener et al., 1996; Liao et al., 2003, Bauer and Koch, 2005). It doesn’t appear that UKESM1 accounts for this process, hence another possible contributor to the model SO2 bias especially over China.
The authors should justify the change of reference height from 50 m to 10 m for the computation of aerodynamic resistance, by explaining whether it comes with changes in the configuration of vertical layer thickness of the model. The reference height should be in general approximately half the thickness of the lowest model layer (e.g., Ganzeveld and Lelieveld, 1995, Section 3.2); if the lowest model layer thickness is substantially greater than 20 m (say, 40 m or greater), it calls for a strong rationale for using the reference height at 10 m. The authors should clarify the point of argument by Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) if UKESM1’s lowest model layer thickness is much greater than 20 m. Toyota et al. (2016, Section 2.2) gave a rationale in favor of Ganzeveld and Lelieveld (1995) for the choice of reference height from the mathematical formulation of aerodynamic resistance.
Toyota et al. (2016) also noted that stability corrections applied for the computation of aerodynamic resistance are often inconsistent between dry deposition and host meteorological modules employed in the same model system. Does the use of the Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) function instead of the Dyer (1974) function reduce or eliminate this problem of inconsistency with meteorological flux calculation (i.e., u* and L) within UKESM1?=> The reviewer is correct in that UKESM1 does not account for the reactive uptake of dust on aerosols and we thank the reviewer for highlighting this potential source of bias in the model. Although we do not have specific plans to include this process in the model, it could be a target for future development.
=> We updated to Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) because it is considered a slightly more up-to-date set of equations for describing the fluxes in the boundary layer. In addition, by changing the the reference height from 50 m to 10 m we are making it more more consistent with the height of the lowest model level, which is 20 m in UKESM1. Unfortunately using Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) instead of Dyer does not increase consistency between meteorological stability functions and those used in UKESM1/UKCA. We are interested in updating the meteorological fluxes to also use Holtslag and De Bruin (1988) but this was not possible within this study. We agree with the reviewer that ideally there would consistency across the various flux formulations and we will aim study this, though changing the flux formulation across the meteorological subroutines is a major task.
[Technical suggestions]
1. L158-159: “Gas- and aqueous-phase oxidation of …”
=> Corrected as suggested
2. L113: Would you classify the gravitational settling as part of the wet deposition processes?=> The approach for dry deposition of aerosol in GLOMAP-mode within UKCA (where UKCA is the chemistry and aerosol model in UKESM) is the same as that described in Section 2.2.2 of Mann et al.(2010) with a dry deposition velocity (Vd) for each aerosol mode given as the combination of a gravitational settling velocity (Vgrav) and one-over the sum of the aerodynamic and surface resistances (Ra and Rs) i.e. Vd = Vgrav + (1 / Ra + Rs).
(Mann et al., Description and evaluation of GLOMAP-mode: a modal global aerosol microphysics model for the UKCA composition-climate model, Geosci. Model Dev., 3, 519–551, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-3-519-2010, 2010.)
3. L126: “ares” -> “areas”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
4. L136: “to be developed” -> “being developed”=> Sentence modified to "UKESM1 is the latest generation Earth System (ES) model developed in the UK." UKESM1 is the first generation of the model to be developed and was released in Jan 2020. As such it is not quite correct to say that this model version is still being developed.
5. L190: The soil pH is not taken care of in the model even after the revision to the parameterization, right? Please clarify. The authors may also want to cite Ganzeveld et al. (1998), which dealt with changes in the soil pH in their global tropospheric sulfur chemistry-transport model.=> The reviewer is correct, soil pH is not accounted for in UKESM's SO2 dry deposition parameterization.
6. L201: Garland and Branson (1977) reported the dry deposition of SO2 to pine forest. Please correct me if I am wrong, but I cannot find the surface resistance of SO2 on the water surface in this study.=> Thank for highlighting this error. We have now used the correct citation i.e., Garland, J. A., The dry deposition of sulphur dioxide to land and water surfaces, Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A. 354, 245-268 (1977)
7. Figure 2 caption: “(a, c)” -> “(a, d)”, “(b, d)” -> “(b, e)” and “(c, e)” -> “(c, f)”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error.Corrected.
8. L376, 485 & 488: “peninsular” -> “peninsula”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
9. Table 6 caption: Please come up with a better phrase for what “zonally averaged (median) time series” mean.=> We have re-worded this caption to clearly describe what the data represents.
10. Figure 9: Change the figure title for “South East Asia” to “South to North East Asia”.=> *******
11. L486: “9” -> “8”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
12. L503: “this aspect of THE change”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
13. L538: “NMB = 0.25” -> “NMB = -0.25” and “NMB = 0.43” -> “NMB = -0.43”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
14. L579: The authors need to be more specific about the data merging between OMI and HTAP.=> We have now included a reference to the relevant citation Liu et al., (2018) in Discussion, para. 3 as we didn't create the data set, just explore it. If the reviewer or reader are interested the details of how the data set was derived, we suggest they follow the reference.
15. L690: “would BE beneficial”=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Corrected.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-238-AC1
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RC2: 'Comment on acp-2021-238', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Jun 2021
Hardacre et al. evaluate the earth system (ES) model UKESM1 before and after update of the model parametrization by comparing with long term sulfur trends in in-situ observations in Europe and North America as well as observations from satellites. For me it does not seem like the new parametrization really improved the model bias. In some areas yes, in others not. Since the main purpose of this paper is to evaluate model performance and not primarily to assess the sulfur trends, I do miss quantifying (or more discussion of the relative importance) of the main errors and not a list of all the potential contributions to it.
Too high emissions and uncertainties in the injection height may surely influence the bias in the model predictions. But the bias is too high that these can be the main reasons. Neither the DMS chemistry, which is not that important, especially not for the earlier period when anthropogenic sources dominate. As the authors also state, there is a need to further assess the parameterization of sulfur chemistry in the model and include cloud water pH (which is very important) and other species which influence the non-linear trends in sulfur. If possible wet deposition should also be included to make it possible to look at the whole sulfur budget in the model output.
Has the model been compared to other ES models? If so do you have any references of that? In Aas et al( 2019) there are 6 different global models and they seem to better capture the trends and absolute values better than the UKESM1 model?
I am a bit skeptical when it comes to the selection of observations to be used for evaluating trends. More details of this and other specific comments in the bullet points:
- Line 35-38. Note that the unit is TgSOx (as SO2)
- Line 69. “Relatively short lifetime”. Relative to what? A lot of species has shorter lifetime than this
- Line 70. In this general statements it seems like the removal of SO2 is mainly described as deposition of the component. Even though it is described later in the introduction one should mention that oxidation of SO2 to SO4 is important factor for the lifetime of SO2, and that rate is dependent on the oxidation capacity and the acidity of the cloud droplets (which other atmospheric components like NH3 will influence). Maybe here just make it shorter and state that the lifetime of so2 depends on both wet and dry deposition of the molecule and the oxidation rate to SO4?
- Line 75-90. In this section, the references are really old.
- Line 119 – 122 starting with “Following the increasingly..” seems a bit oddly placed in the introduction. Should maybe be moved to the beginning as the reason why monitoring are being conducted?
- Line 118. I don’t really agree with the statement of “the main challenge to capture historical trends” is the lack of observations. Sulfur is one of the species that has been monitored the most in especially Europe and North America. But there are of course regions in the world where this stamen is very valid. I assume one of the challenges is the non-linearity in trends, i.e. the dependence on atmospheric chemistry on the sulfur trends, and the lack of a range of data to detailed process studies on a large scale as well as long term flux measurements and not only atmospheric concentrations?
- Chapter 2.4. It seems like it is not a criterion to have co-located SO2 and SO4 observations and then you could have benefited from also using SO4 aerosol data from IMPROVE. Has that been considered since you state in the beginning that too little data is hampering the comparison with models?
- Line 251. SO2 and SO4 are measured with filter pack sampler and weekly sampling intervals, not hourly measurements as stated.
- The number of sites has varied through the period and it seems like you have used all the sites without considering the length of the time series? If so, have you compared the trends using only sites with observations for the whole period? Especially in Europe the differences in site density throughout the period may influence the trend. In the beginning it was less sites in Southern Europe. Information about the number of sites should be included in the figure (and in table 3).
- Fig2 and Fig 4 (and fig 11) Why does SO4 in Europe only include data up to 2010? Surely there are observations after 2010 in EMEP, found in http://ebas.nilu.no/ (this database should also be included in the section of data availability). In Figure 6 it seems like you have used data up to 2014?
- Fig 3 and Fig 4. For the average annual concentrations for the different 5 years period. Have you used a criteria for the data capture needed to make an average. E.g 75%, 3 out of 5 years etc?
- Chapter 3.3. Have you calculated the per cent bias? That may give a different geographical distribution of the bias than absolute concentrations. In addition, it would be interesting to know whether the model is able to capture the per cent changes (trends) at the different sites, that will give further insight if the model and observations are responding similar to the emission changes.
- Fig 7. I assume the blue shaded areas for the modelled and the black variations in the observations indicate the standard deviations between the sites? Should be mentioned in the caption in addition to how many sites are included in the analysis (also in Table 5).
- Fig 12. In the figure caption you should include the time period you are looking at
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-238-RC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Catherine Hardacre, 16 Sep 2021
Reply to Reviewer 2
We thank the reviewer for their careful reading of the manuscript and their suggestions for improvement. The Reviewer's comments and our responses can be found below.
[Specific Comments]I am a bit skeptical when it comes to the selection of observations to be used for evaluating trends. More details of this and other specific comments in the bullet points:
1. Line 35-38. Note that the unit is TgSOx (as SO2)
=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Now corrected.
2. Line 69. “Relatively short lifetime”. Relative to what? A lot of species has shorter lifetime than this.
=> We have ammended this statement, please see our response to Comment 3.
3. Line 70. In this general statements it seems like the removal of SO2 is mainly described as deposition of the component. Even though it is described later in the introduction one should mention that oxidation of SO2 to SO4 is important factor for the lifetime of SO2, and that rate is dependent on the oxidation capacity and the acidity of the cloud droplets (which other atmospheric components like NH3 will influence). Maybe here just make it shorter and state that the lifetime of so2 depends on both wet and dry deposition of the molecule and the oxidation rate to SO4?=> We have reworded this paragraph in line with the reviewer's suggestions. The paragraph is now as follows: '... The lifetime of SO2 depends on both wet and dry deposition of the molecule and the oxidation rate to SO4. The 2 day lifetime is such that much of the loss via oxidation and deposition occurs locally. SO2 loss near sources and the impact of environmental conditions on loss processes have been investigated in a number of studies.'
4. Line 75-90. In this section, the references are really old.=> We agree that there references in this section are relatively old, these studies having been done from ~1970-1990 when acid deposition over Europe and North America was a serious problem. While there has been a number of measurement studies measuring SO2 dry deposition, particularly the impact of surface wetness on deposition velocity (e.g. Fowler et al., 1995; Feliciano et al., 2001; Matsuda et al., 2006; Tsai et al., 2011; Myles et al., 2012) there appears to have been less drive for the type of studies we reference here i.e. looking at loss rates close to sources. There has also been considerable work to develop parameterizations for SO2 dry deposition in regional and global scale models over the last 20 years or so (e.g. Zhang et al., 2003; Ganzeveld and Lelieveld, 1995; Ganzeveld et al., 1998). We particularly cite Garland and Branson, 1977; Fowler et al., 1978; Erisman and Baldocchi, 1994 and Erisman et al., 1994 as they highlight that the loss processes are occuring sub-grid scale compared to UKESM1.
5. Line 119 – 122 starting with “Following the increasingly..” seems a bit oddly placed in the introduction. Should maybe be moved to the beginning as the reason why monitoring are being conducted?=> We have re-worded this sentence as follows: 'In the 1970's and 1980's the increasingly detrimental impacts of rising SO2 emissions on acid deposition, air quality and human health in Europe and North America led to monitoring networks being set up in these regions...'
6. Line 118. I don’t really agree with the statement of “the main challenge to capture historical trends” is the lack of observations. Sulfur is one of the species that has been monitored the most in especially Europe and North America. But there are of course regions in the world where this stamen is very valid. I assume one of the challenges is the non-linearity in trends, i.e. the dependence on atmospheric chemistry on the sulfur trends, and the lack of a range of data to detailed process studies on a large scale as well as long term flux measurements and not only atmospheric concentrations?=> We agree with the reviewer in that sulphur species are relatively well observed compared to many atmospheric constituents, at least in Europe and North America for the period from the 1970's/80's to the present day. However, the point we woudl like to make is that even with these data sets we can still only evaluate part of the model's historical simulation (which runs from 1850 - 2014), and similar data sets are not available for other major source regions such as India, China and the Middle East, or remote regions. While the satellite observations of SO2 can help with spatial coverage they are somewhat temporally limited (with regard to evaluating the historical period) and capture only SO2 through the column. We do also mean to allude to the lack of data available for large scale process studies, i.e. flux measurements and co-located measurements for relevant species. We have ammended the paragraph to capture these points as follows:
'Sulphur species are relatively well observed compared to many atmospheric components as their role in air pollution is well established. In the 1970's and 1980's the increasingly detrimental impacts of rising SO2 emissions on acid deposition, air quality and human health in Europe and North America led to monitoring networks being set up in these regions (Torseth 2012; CASTNET 2004). Rising pollution in Asia also led to the establishment of the The Acid Deposition Monitoring Network in East Asia (EANET) in 2001 (e.g. Wang 2008). However, even with these data sets it is only possible to evaluate model simulations of the recent historical period and similar data sets are not available for other large source regions such as India, the Middle East, or remote regions. Further, the lack of a range of measurements, including flux observations, hinders detailed process studies at large scales.'
7. Chapter 2.4. It seems like it is not a criterion to have co-located SO2 and SO4 observations and then you could have benefited from also using SO4 aerosol data from IMPROVE. Has that been considered since you state in the beginning that too little data is hampering the comparison with models?=> The reviewer makes a valid point regarding the IMPROVE data set. However a clear advantage of the CASTNet data for this study is the co-location of the SO2 and SO4 observations, and SO2 dry deposition data. While we are not quite doing a full process analysis here, we are trying to understand bias in UKESM1's representation of sulphur cycle, including processes. In addition we seek to improve the model by modifying the dry deposition process and it is valuable to be able to link the impact of those changes through comparisons of dry deposition, SO2 concentration and sulphate. Please note that we have also ammended our EMEP data set, limiting the measurement sites to those which have longer term data sets and both SO2 and SO4 available (see also the response to Comment 9). We have updated Section 2.4 to include this information.
8. Line 251. SO2 and SO4 are measured with filter pack sampler and weekly sampling intervals, not hourly measurements as stated.=> Thank you for highlighting theis error. Now corrected.
9. The number of sites has varied through the period and it seems like you have used all the sites without considering the length of the time series? If so, have you compared the trends using only sites with observations for the whole period? Especially in Europe the differences in site density throughout the period may influence the trend. In the beginning it was less sites in Southern Europe. Information about the number of sites should be included in the figure (and in table 3).=> In updating the EMEP data set to include the data from 2010-2014 we also revised the sites we used in the study. We limited the EMEP sites to those which had at least 10 years of continuous measurements (and in general where SO2 and SO4 measurements were co-located, see also the reply to Comment 7). In this study we have only considered the European region as a whole. Figure 6 shows that the model bias is indeed variable across Europe, and similarly to the USA, the biases are larger in the more polluted regions. As part of our wider analysis we did produce the plots shown in Figure 6 for the two time slices (1990-1995) and 2009-2014). However, the results were not substantially different from those for the whole time period, i.e model bias in SO2 and SO4 concentrations was lower at cleaner sites compared with polluted sites, (see also the response to Comment 12). Therefore we did not see any clear benefit to the manuscript. We have now included the number of sites used to produce Figures 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and Tables 3, 4, 5, 7 (see also the response to Comment 13).
10. Fig2 and Fig 4 (and fig 11) Why does SO4 in Europe only include data up to 2010? Surely there are observations after 2010 in EMEP, found in http://ebas.nilu.no/ (this database should also be included in the section of data availability). In Figure 6 it seems like you have used data up to 2014?=> We have now included the full EMEP data set up to 2014 for SO2 and SO4 and the relevant plots and statistical data have been modified (Figures 2, 4, 6, 7, 11 and Tables 3, 4, 5, 7). We have also included the website for the EMEP observations in the data availability section.
11. Fig 3 and Fig 4. For the average annual concentrations for the different 5 years period. Have you used a criteria for the data capture needed to make an average. E.g 75%, 3 out of 5 years etc?=> Yes, for the 5 year time slice statistics we have only used sites for which there was at least 3 out of 5 years. We have now added this information to Section 2.5.
12. Chapter 3.3. Have you calculated the per cent bias? That may give a different geographical distribution of the bias than absolute concentrations. In addition, it would be interesting to know whether the model is able to capture the per cent changes (trends) at the different sites, that will give further insight if the model and observations are responding similar to the emission changes.=> As part of our analysis we did look at percentage bias in addition to normalised mean bias (NMB) for the plots in Section 3.3 (Figures 5 and 6). However the percentage bias plots do not look substantially different from the NMB plots. The model bias (absolute or normalised) is greatest at the sites where the surface concentrations are highest. Given that the bias is very large at some sites, we felt that the NMB plots were easier to interpret than the plots of percentage bias, which could be much greater 100% in some cases. We also looked at the bias during the two time slices. Again, these plots did not show substantial difference from the plots for the full time period, i.e. the sites where the surface concentrations of SO2 ansd SO4 were greatest also had the hihgest bias. We have chosen not to focus on individual sites in this study as comparisons between point observational data and model grid cell output is difficult to justify in isolation, particularly for SO2 where loss processes (e.g. deposition/oxidation) are occuring within a single grid cell. We have summarised the trends in the modelled and observational data in Tables 3 and 4 where we report the trend for the two time slices and over the full period. While we acknowledge that some sites may be very different, we believe these results are indicative of the model's behaviour in the different regions.
13. Fig 7. I assume the blue shaded areas for the modelled and the black variations in the observations indicate the standard deviations between the sites? Should be mentioned in the caption in addition to how many sites are included in the analysis (also in Table 5).
=> In Figure 7 we have now added a description for what the blue shaded region and the black bars represent. We have also included the number of observational data sets used for each data set in the caption for Figure 7, and in Table 5.
13. Fig 12. In the figure caption you should include the time period you are looking at.=> We have included the time period (2005-2014) in the caption.
[References]
Feliciano et al., Evaluation of SO2 dry deposition over short vegetation in Portugal, Atmospheric
Environment, 35, 21, 3633-3643, 2001, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(00)00539-2Fowler et al., Long term measurements of SO2 dry deposition over vegetation and soil and comparisons with models, Studies in Environmental Science, 64, 9-19, Acid Rain Research: Do we have enough answers?, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0166-1116(06)80269-4,
Matsuda et al., Deposition velocity of O3 and SO2 in the dry and wet season above a tropical forest in northern Thailand, Atmospheric Environment, 40, 39, 7557-7564, 2006, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2006.07.003
Myles et al., A comparison of observed and parameterized SO2 dry deposition over a grassy clearing in Duke Forest, Atmospheric Environment, 49, 212-218, 2012, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.11.059
Tsai et al., Observation of SO2 dry deposition velocity at a high elevation flux tower over an evergreen broadleaf forest in Central Taiwan, Atmospheric Environment, 44, 8, 1011-1019, 2010, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.12.022
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-238-AC2