Evaluating solar radiation forecast uncertainty

Tuononen, Minttu; O'Connor, Ewan J.; Sinclair, Victoria A.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-1985-2019

Articles | Volume 19, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-1985-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-1985-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 3

Research article

|

14 Feb 2019

Research article |

| 14 Feb 2019

Evaluating solar radiation forecast uncertainty

Minttu Tuononen, Ewan J. O'Connor, and Victoria A. Sinclair

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Final revised paper (published on 14 Feb 2019)
Preprint (discussion started on 13 Nov 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of "Evaluating solar radiation forecast uncertainty" by Tuononen et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Dec 2018
- AC1: 'Answers to the Referee 1 comments', Minttu Tuononen, 29 Dec 2018
RC2: '"Evaluating solar radiation forecast uncertainty" by Tuononen et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 04 Dec 2018
- AC2: 'Answers to the Referee 2 comments', Minttu Tuononen, 29 Dec 2018
RC3: 'Review of “Evaluating solar radiation forecast uncertainty” by Tuononen et al.', Anonymous Referee #3, 06 Dec 2018
- AC3: 'Answers to the Referee 3 comments', Minttu Tuononen, 29 Dec 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Minttu Tuononen on behalf of the Authors (13 Jan 2019) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (16 Jan 2019) by Jui-Yuan Christine Chiu

AR by Minttu Tuononen on behalf of the Authors (20 Jan 2019)

Short summary

Many applications require accurate forecasts of the amount of solar radiation reaching the surface, such as solar energy and UV radiation forecasts. This also means that cloud must be correctly forecast. We investigated the skill of these forecasts over Helsinki, Finland, using cloud and solar radiation observations. We found that there were errors in the model radiation forecast even when the clouds were correctly forecast, which we attribute to incorrect representation of the cloud properties.