Articles | Volume 17, issue 22
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 13521–13543, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-13521-2017
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 13521–13543, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-13521-2017

Research article 15 Nov 2017

Research article | 15 Nov 2017

Bayesian inverse modeling of the atmospheric transport and emissions of a controlled tracer release from a nuclear power plant

Donald D. Lucas et al.

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Short summary
Monte Carlo ensemble simulations, Bayesian inversion, and machine learning are used to quantify uncertainty in the atmospheric transport and emissions of a controlled tracer released from a nuclear power plant. Uncertainty of different settings in a weather model and source terms in a dispersion model are jointly estimated. The algorithm is validated using model-generated output and field observations and can benefit atmospheric researchers who need to estimate tracer transport uncertainty.
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