Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
ACP
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-6061-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-6061-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Research article
 | 
06 May 2026
Research article |  | 06 May 2026

Significance of microphysical processes for uncertainties in ensemble forecasts of summertime convection over central Europe

Christian Barthlott, Beata Czajka, Christoph Gebhardt, and Corinna Hoose

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Short summary
The study uses the ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic (ICON) model to examine how microphysical uncertainties affect summertime convection in central Europe. A 108-member ensemble varying aerosol and cloud parameters showed strong differences in precipitation intensity and location but little impact on convection onset. Results highlight that cloud microphysics is a key source of forecast uncertainty in convective weather prediction.
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