Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-5589-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-5589-2026
Research article
 | 
23 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 23 Apr 2026

ENSO contribution to the assessment of long-term cloud feedback on global warming

Huan Liu, Ilan Koren, Orit Altaratz, and Shutian Mu

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Cited articles

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Beobide-Arsuaga, G., Bayr, T., Reintges, A., and Latif, M.: Uncertainty of ENSO-amplitude projections in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, Clim. Dyn., 56, 3875–3888, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05673-4, 2021. 
Binder, H., Boettcher, M., Joos, H., Sprenger, M., and Wernli, H.: Vertical cloud structure of warm conveyor belts – a comparison and evaluation of ERA5 reanalysis, CloudSat and CALIPSO data, Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 577–595, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-577-2020, 2020. 
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Short summary
Clouds act as Earth’s thermostat, but their response to warming is uncertain. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a natural cycle of 2–7 years, complicates such estimates. Using extensive data and simulations, we show that these short-term fluctuations can significantly affect estimates of this response over decades and even centuries. Filtering out this natural noise is essential for reliable projections, helping society better prepare for the future.
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