Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-3653-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-3653-2026
Research article
 | 
12 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 12 Mar 2026

Past, present, and future arctic radiative states simulated by Polar-WRF

Cameron Bertossa, Tristan L'Ecuyer, and David Henderson

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The Polar Radiant Energy in the Far Infrared Experiment (PREFIRE) principal component-based cloud mask: A simulation experiment
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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2463,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2463, 2023
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Cited articles

Arouf, A., Chepfer, H., Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T. S., and Lac, J.: Surface cloud warming increases as late fall Arctic sea ice cover decreases, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL105805, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105805, 2024. a, b, c
Avila-Diaz, A., Bromwich, D. H., Wilson, A. B., Justino, F., and Wang, S.-H.: Climate extremes across the North American Arctic in modern reanalyses, Journal of Climate, 34, 2385–2410, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0093.1, 2021. a
Bertossa, C. and L’Ecuyer, T.: Two Ubiquitous Radiative States Observed across the High Latitudes, Journal of Climate, 37, 2585–2610, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0553.1, 2024. a, b
Bertossa, C. and L’Ecuyer, T.: A rapid deterioration of the transmissive atmospheric radiative regime in the western Arctic, Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2025GL115362, https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115362, 2025. a, b, c, d
Bertossa, C., L’Ecuyer, T., Henderson, D., and McIlhattan, E.: Under-Representation of Ubiquitous Opaque and Transmissive Arctic Atmospheric States in Modern Reanalyses, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0490.1, 2025. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j
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This study evaluates how well an Arctic-specific model can capture two key cloud states that control how the region traps surface radiation. The model reproduces these states better than others but still produces too many thick, low clouds. With further improvements, it could offer valuable insight into how Arctic cloud behavior and surface heat balance may evolve under future climate change.
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