Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-1659-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-1659-2025
Research article
 | 
05 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 05 Feb 2025

Climate variability can outweigh the influence of climate mean changes for extreme precipitation under global warming

Kalle Nordling, Nora L. S. Fahrenbach, and Bjørn H. Samset

Data sets

Climate variability can outweigh the influence of climate mean changes for extreme precipitation under global warming Kalle Nordling https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10796384

Model code and software

kallenordling/variability: Codes making figures for Climate variability can outweigh the influence of climate mean changes for extreme precipitation under global warming (Version v1) Kalle Nordling https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14792740

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Short summary
People experience daily weather, not changes in monthly averages. We investigate the likelihood of events, which occurred once every 10 years in the pre-industrial era. We analyze how summertime precipitation and daily maximum temperature events evolve. Our focus is on understanding the role of day-to-day variability in the change in the number of extreme weather days. We find that in most regions, a change in variability is the primary driver for change in summertime extreme precipitation.
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