Articles | Volume 24, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12355-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12355-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Projected future changes in extreme precipitation over China under stratospheric aerosol intervention in the UKESM1 climate model
Ou Wang
State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resources Reuse, School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China
Department of Agricultural Meteorology, College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agriculture University, Beijing 100193, China
Yuchen Gu
Department of Earth Science, Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
Jim M. Haywood
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Environment, Science and the Economy, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK
Ying Chen
School of Geography Earth and Environment Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
Chenwei Fang
Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME), Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change (ILCEC), Collaborative Innovation Centre on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Key Laboratory for Aerosol-Cloud-Precipitation of China Meteorological Administration, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resources Reuse, School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impacts of solar radiation modification on precipitation extremes in Central China Z. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07882-7
- Impacts of stratospheric aerosol injection geoengineering deployment and termination on extreme climate events in China H. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-025-1886-7
- Tropical hydro-climatic responses to global warming and solar radiation modification in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia H. Du et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.587
- Nitrogen enrichment offsets the stimulation of soil respiration by increased precipitation in temperate grasslands R. Tian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110864
- Solar Radiation Modification impact on precipitation and temperature extremes in Hunan, China H. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102728
- Responses of precipitation extremes in the yellow river basin to solar radiation modification from GeoMIP6 multi-model ensembles C. Hou et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08344-4
- Global landscape fire-sourced ambient benzene and health risks in different future scenarios W. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126314
- 平流层气溶胶注入地球工程实施与终止对中国极端气候的影响 昊. 张 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/SSTe-2025-0201
- Divergent impacts of climate interventions on China’s north-south water divide X. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02708-0
- Legacy effects of extreme precipitation sustain carbon sink of a subtropical forest J. Deng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111142
- Solar radiation modification in Asia: Current progress, knowledge gaps and future priorities H. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2026.07.005
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Impacts of solar radiation modification on precipitation extremes in Central China Z. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07882-7
- Impacts of stratospheric aerosol injection geoengineering deployment and termination on extreme climate events in China H. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-025-1886-7
- Tropical hydro-climatic responses to global warming and solar radiation modification in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia H. Du et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.587
- Nitrogen enrichment offsets the stimulation of soil respiration by increased precipitation in temperate grasslands R. Tian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110864
- Solar Radiation Modification impact on precipitation and temperature extremes in Hunan, China H. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102728
- Responses of precipitation extremes in the yellow river basin to solar radiation modification from GeoMIP6 multi-model ensembles C. Hou et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08344-4
- Global landscape fire-sourced ambient benzene and health risks in different future scenarios W. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2025.126314
- 平流层气溶胶注入地球工程实施与终止对中国极端气候的影响 昊. 张 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/SSTe-2025-0201
- Divergent impacts of climate interventions on China’s north-south water divide X. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02708-0
- Legacy effects of extreme precipitation sustain carbon sink of a subtropical forest J. Deng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111142
- Solar radiation modification in Asia: Current progress, knowledge gaps and future priorities H. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.accre.2026.07.005
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 18 Sep 2026
Short summary
As extreme precipitation events increase in China, this study explores the potential of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) to mitigate these effects by the end of the 21st century using the UKESM1 model. Results show that SAI reduces extreme precipitation in eastern China. However, caution is advised due to potential side effects in high-latitude regions, and further optimization is required for future SAI deployment.
As extreme precipitation events increase in China, this study explores the potential of...
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