Articles | Volume 23, issue 21
Research article
08 Nov 2023
Research article |  | 08 Nov 2023

Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone forecasts and analysis using the ECMWF ensemble forecasting system with physical parameterization perturbations

Miriam Saraceni, Lorenzo Silvestri, Peter Bechtold, and Paolina Bongioannini Cerlini


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-952', Anonymous Referee #1, 08 Jun 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Miriam Saraceni, 24 Jul 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-952', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Jul 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Miriam Saraceni on behalf of the Authors (21 Sep 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (22 Sep 2023) by Stefano Galmarini
AR by Miriam Saraceni on behalf of the Authors (25 Sep 2023)  Author's response   Manuscript 
Short summary
This study focuses on three medicanes, tropical-like cyclones that form in the Mediterranean Sea, studied by ensemble forecasting. This involved multiple simulations of the same event by varying initial conditions and model physics parameters, especially related to convection, which showed comparable results. It is found that medicane development is influenced by the model's ability to predict precursor events and the interaction between upper and lower atmosphere dynamics and thermodynamics.
Final-revised paper