Articles | Volume 23, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10677-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-10677-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Future dust concentration over the Middle East and North Africa region under global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios
Seyed Vahid Mousavi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Center for Research in Climate Change and Global Warming, Institute
for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences, Zanjan, Iran
Khalil Karami
Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
Simone Tilmes
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Helene Muri
Industrial Ecology Programme, Department of Energy and Process
Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim,
Norway
Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, New
Brunswick, NJ, USA
Abolfazl Rezaei
Center for Research in Climate Change and Global Warming, Institute
for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences, Zanjan, Iran
Department of Earth Sciences, Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences, Zanjan, Iran
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Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Change's Impact on the Concentration of Total Suspended Particles and Dust Falling Basra Governorate – Iraq (2014, 2023, 2024) A. Hanoon https://doi.org/10.59324/ejeba.2026.3(1).10
- Saharan dust transport event characterization in the Mediterranean atmosphere using 21 years of in-situ observations F. Vogel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-15453-2025
- South Asian Summer Monsoon under stratospheric aerosol intervention A. Asutosh et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00875-z
- Photovoltaic Modules’ Cleaning Method Selection for the MENA Region H. Abuzaid et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16219331
- Characterization and Transport Pathways of High PM2.5 Pollution Episodes During 2015–2021 in Tehran, Iran M. Ali-Taleshi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44408-025-00016-y
- Engineering and logistical concerns add practical limitations to stratospheric aerosol injection strategies M. Hack et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-20447-2
- Modeling and Analysis of Long-Range Dust Transport from the Sahara and Arabian Deserts To West Asia Using WRF-Chem and Remote Sensing: Insights from the Spring 2015 Dust Event Y. Aydin et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01043-4
- Future projections of dust storm dynamics and sources in the Middle East: Insights from CMIP6 models A. Saadat Abadi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2025.102775
- An Ensemble Learning Model Considering Multiple Spatial Proximities and Its Application in the Study of Dust Storm Source Area Susceptibility on the Mongolian Plateau M. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3602836
- Future water storage changes over the Mediterranean, Middle East, and North Africa in response to global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention A. Rezaei et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024
- A 13-year space-based climatological evolution of desert dust aerosols in the Middle East and North Africa regions observed by the CALIPSO S. Berhane et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174793
- Spatial and Statistical Analysis of Climate Change in the Middle East: A Study of Precipitation and Temperature Variability Using NOAA Weather Data and Geostatistical Methods M. Masoudi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-025-00802-z
- Atmospheric dust: cluster based frequency and intensity projections in Central Asia under SSP scenarios A. Fard et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeolia.2025.101009
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Change's Impact on the Concentration of Total Suspended Particles and Dust Falling Basra Governorate – Iraq (2014, 2023, 2024) A. Hanoon https://doi.org/10.59324/ejeba.2026.3(1).10
- Saharan dust transport event characterization in the Mediterranean atmosphere using 21 years of in-situ observations F. Vogel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-15453-2025
- South Asian Summer Monsoon under stratospheric aerosol intervention A. Asutosh et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00875-z
- Photovoltaic Modules’ Cleaning Method Selection for the MENA Region H. Abuzaid et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16219331
- Characterization and Transport Pathways of High PM2.5 Pollution Episodes During 2015–2021 in Tehran, Iran M. Ali-Taleshi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44408-025-00016-y
- Engineering and logistical concerns add practical limitations to stratospheric aerosol injection strategies M. Hack et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-20447-2
- Modeling and Analysis of Long-Range Dust Transport from the Sahara and Arabian Deserts To West Asia Using WRF-Chem and Remote Sensing: Insights from the Spring 2015 Dust Event Y. Aydin et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01043-4
- Future projections of dust storm dynamics and sources in the Middle East: Insights from CMIP6 models A. Saadat Abadi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2025.102775
- An Ensemble Learning Model Considering Multiple Spatial Proximities and Its Application in the Study of Dust Storm Source Area Susceptibility on the Mongolian Plateau M. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3602836
- Future water storage changes over the Mediterranean, Middle East, and North Africa in response to global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention A. Rezaei et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-91-2024
- A 13-year space-based climatological evolution of desert dust aerosols in the Middle East and North Africa regions observed by the CALIPSO S. Berhane et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174793
- Spatial and Statistical Analysis of Climate Change in the Middle East: A Study of Precipitation and Temperature Variability Using NOAA Weather Data and Geostatistical Methods M. Masoudi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-025-00802-z
- Atmospheric dust: cluster based frequency and intensity projections in Central Asia under SSP scenarios A. Fard et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeolia.2025.101009
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
Understanding atmospheric dust changes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region under future climate scenarios is essential. By injecting sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) geoengineering reflects some of the incoming sunlight back to space. This study shows that the MENA region would experience lower dust concentration under both SAI and RCP8.5 scenarios compared to the current climate (CTL) by the end of the century.
Understanding atmospheric dust changes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region under...
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