Articles | Volume 21, issue 12 
            
                
                    
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-9545-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-9545-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Characterizing model errors in chemical transport modeling of methane: using GOSAT XCH4 data with weak-constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation
Ilya Stanevich
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                            
                                    
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Dylan B. A. Jones
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Kimberly Strong
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Martin Keller
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Daven K. Henze
                                            Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA
                                        
                                    
                                            California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Robert J. Parker
                                            Earth Observation Science, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
                                        
                                    
                                            National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO), University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
                                        
                                    Hartmut Boesch
                                            Earth Observation Science, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
                                        
                                    
                                            National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO), University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
                                        
                                    Debra Wunch
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Justus Notholt
                                            Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
                                        
                                    Christof Petri
                                            Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
                                        
                                    Thorsten Warneke
                                            Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
                                        
                                    Ralf Sussmann
                                            Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
                                        
                                    Matthias Schneider
                                            Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-ASF), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
                                        
                                    Frank Hase
                                            Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-ASF), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
                                        
                                    Rigel Kivi
                                            Finnish Meteorological Institute, Sodankylä, Finland
                                        
                                    Nicholas M. Deutscher
                                            Centre for Atmospheric Chemistry, School of Chemistry, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia
                                        
                                    Voltaire A. Velazco
                                            Centre for Atmospheric Chemistry, School of Chemistry, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia
                                        
                                    Kaley A. Walker
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
                                    Feng Deng
                                            Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                                        
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                            Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- CHEEREIO 1.0: a versatile and user-friendly ensemble-based chemical data assimilation and emissions inversion platform for the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model D. Pendergrass et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4793-2023
- Attribution of the 2020 surge in atmospheric methane by inverse analysis of GOSAT observations Z. Qu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8754
- Inverse modeling of 2010–2022 satellite observations shows that inundation of the wet tropics drove the 2020–2022 methane surge Z. Qu et al. 10.1073/pnas.2402730121
- Characterizing model errors in chemical transport modeling of methane: impact of model resolution in versions v9-02 of GEOS-Chem and v35j of its adjoint model I. Stanevich et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-3839-2020
- Use of Assimilation Analysis in 4D-Var Source Inversion: Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) with GOSAT Methane and Hemispheric CMAQ S. Voshtani et al. 10.3390/atmos14040758
- Global distribution of methane emissions: a comparative inverse analysis of observations from the TROPOMI and GOSAT satellite instruments Z. Qu et al. 10.5194/acp-21-14159-2021
- How well can inverse analyses of high-resolution satellite data resolve heterogeneous methane fluxes? Observing system simulation experiments with the GEOS-Chem adjoint model (v35) X. Yu et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-7775-2021
- Spatial-temporal variation in XCH4 during 2009–2021 and its driving factors across the land of the Northern Hemisphere X. Cao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106811
- Uncertainty in parameterized convection remains a key obstacle for estimating surface fluxes of carbon dioxide A. Schuh & A. Jacobson 10.5194/acp-23-6285-2023
- Long-term and interannual variations of atmospheric methane observed by the NIES and collaborative observation networks T. Umezawa et al. 10.1186/s40645-025-00711-9
- Significant response of methane in the upper troposphere to subseasonal variability in the Asian monsoon anticyclone S. Zhu et al. 10.5194/acp-25-9843-2025
- A Regional multi-Air Pollutant Assimilation System (RAPAS v1.0) for emission estimates: system development and application S. Feng et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-5949-2023
- Decadal Methane Emission Trend Inferred from Proxy GOSAT XCH4 Retrievals: Impacts of Transport Model Spatial Resolution S. Zhu et al. 10.1007/s00376-022-1434-6
- Global CH4 fluxes derived from JAXA/GOSAT lower-tropospheric partial column data and the CarbonTracker Europe-CH4 atmospheric inverse model A. Tsuruta et al. 10.5194/acp-25-7829-2025
- Assimilation of GOSAT Methane in the Hemispheric CMAQ; Part II: Results Using Optimal Error Statistics S. Voshtani et al. 10.3390/rs14020375
- A decade of GOSAT Proxy satellite CH4 observations R. Parker et al. 10.5194/essd-12-3383-2020
- The Carbon Cycle of Southeast Australia During 2019–2020: Drought, Fires, and Subsequent Recovery B. Byrne et al. 10.1029/2021AV000469
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- CHEEREIO 1.0: a versatile and user-friendly ensemble-based chemical data assimilation and emissions inversion platform for the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model D. Pendergrass et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4793-2023
- Attribution of the 2020 surge in atmospheric methane by inverse analysis of GOSAT observations Z. Qu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8754
- Inverse modeling of 2010–2022 satellite observations shows that inundation of the wet tropics drove the 2020–2022 methane surge Z. Qu et al. 10.1073/pnas.2402730121
- Characterizing model errors in chemical transport modeling of methane: impact of model resolution in versions v9-02 of GEOS-Chem and v35j of its adjoint model I. Stanevich et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-3839-2020
- Use of Assimilation Analysis in 4D-Var Source Inversion: Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) with GOSAT Methane and Hemispheric CMAQ S. Voshtani et al. 10.3390/atmos14040758
- Global distribution of methane emissions: a comparative inverse analysis of observations from the TROPOMI and GOSAT satellite instruments Z. Qu et al. 10.5194/acp-21-14159-2021
- How well can inverse analyses of high-resolution satellite data resolve heterogeneous methane fluxes? Observing system simulation experiments with the GEOS-Chem adjoint model (v35) X. Yu et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-7775-2021
- Spatial-temporal variation in XCH4 during 2009–2021 and its driving factors across the land of the Northern Hemisphere X. Cao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106811
- Uncertainty in parameterized convection remains a key obstacle for estimating surface fluxes of carbon dioxide A. Schuh & A. Jacobson 10.5194/acp-23-6285-2023
- Long-term and interannual variations of atmospheric methane observed by the NIES and collaborative observation networks T. Umezawa et al. 10.1186/s40645-025-00711-9
- Significant response of methane in the upper troposphere to subseasonal variability in the Asian monsoon anticyclone S. Zhu et al. 10.5194/acp-25-9843-2025
- A Regional multi-Air Pollutant Assimilation System (RAPAS v1.0) for emission estimates: system development and application S. Feng et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-5949-2023
- Decadal Methane Emission Trend Inferred from Proxy GOSAT XCH4 Retrievals: Impacts of Transport Model Spatial Resolution S. Zhu et al. 10.1007/s00376-022-1434-6
- Global CH4 fluxes derived from JAXA/GOSAT lower-tropospheric partial column data and the CarbonTracker Europe-CH4 atmospheric inverse model A. Tsuruta et al. 10.5194/acp-25-7829-2025
- Assimilation of GOSAT Methane in the Hemispheric CMAQ; Part II: Results Using Optimal Error Statistics S. Voshtani et al. 10.3390/rs14020375
Latest update: 31 Oct 2025
Short summary
                    We explore the utility of a weak-constraint (WC) four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation scheme for mitigating systematic errors in methane simulation in the GEOS-Chem model. We use data from the Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) and show that, compared to the traditional 4D-Var approach, the WC scheme improves the agreement between the model and independent observations. We find that the WC corrections to the model provide insight into the source of the errors.
                    We explore the utility of a weak-constraint (WC) four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data...
                    
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