Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Articles | Volume 20, issue 16
Articles | Volume 20, issue 16
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 9961–9977, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9961-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: Chemistry–Climate Modelling Initiative (CCMI) (ACP/AMT/ESSD/GMD...

Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 9961–9977, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9961-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 16

Research article 26 Aug 2020

Research article | 26 Aug 2020

Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry–climate models weighted by model performance and independence

Matt Amos et al.

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Latest update: 23 Sep 2021
Special issue
Chemistry–Climate Modelling Initiative (CCMI) (ACP/AMT/ESSD/GMD...
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Short summary
We present an updated projection of Antarctic ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry–climate models. To do so, we employ a method, more advanced and skilful than the current multi-model mean standard, which is applicable to other ensemble analyses. It calculates the performance and similarity of the models, which we then use to weight the model. Calculating model similarity allows us to account for models which are constructed from similar components.
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